Cov neeg siv khoom tseem yog Fed qhov teeb meem loj tshaj plaws: Cov Lus Qhia Tag Nrho

Kab lus no pom thawj zaug nyob hauv lub Caij Ntxov Nyuv Luv. Txais Cov Lus Qhia Thaum Sawv Ntxov xa ncaj qha rau koj lub inbox txhua hnub Monday txog Friday thaum 6:30 sawv ntxov ET. Sau npe yuav ua

Hnub peb, Kaum Hlis 7, 2022

Cov ntawv xov xwm niaj hnub no yog los ntawm Myles Udland, senior kev lag luam editor ntawm Yahoo Finance. Ua raws nws ntawm Twitter @Mloog Udland thiab nyob rau LinkedIn. Nyeem qhov no thiab xov xwm kev lag luam ntau ntxiv ntawm kev mus nrog Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag App.

Lwm lub hlis, lwm txoj haujlwm muaj zog tshaj tawm.

Xov xwm dhau hnub Friday tias ib txhia 263,000 txoj haujlwm tau tsim nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis tau qhia tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve txoj kev siv zog kom qeeb kev lag luam thiab txo qis kev nce nqi tseem nyob hauv kev ua haujlwm.

Lub lim tiam tom ntej, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav ntsib thiab tej zaum yuav pov npav kom nce paj paj ntxiv 0.50%.

Lub hom phiaj ntawm lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab hauv kev nce cov paj paj xyoo no tau pom meej: Ua kom muaj kev nce nqi. Tshwj xeeb, los ntawm kev qeeb qeeb ntawm kev siv nyiaj los ntawm kev lag luam thiab cov neeg siv khoom.

Raws li cov Financial Times tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday, ntawm kev lag luam thiab cov tub lag luam pem hauv ntej, cov tuam txhab lag luam loj loj tau hnov ​​​​cov lus ceeb toom ntau dua los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom thaum peb mus rau xyoo 2023.

Tab sis ntawm cov neeg siv khoom, qhov xwm txheej rau Fed yog qhov nyuaj dua.

Thiab cov neeg siv khoom, raws li ib txwm muaj, yog feem ntau ntawm zaj dab neeg rau Asmeskas kev lag luam. Cov neeg siv khoom siv nyiaj rau txog ob feem peb ntawm GDP. Chaw nyob, khoom noj, khaub ncaws, thiab so txhua yam haum rau hauv lub kaus no.

Dub Friday cov khoom ua si muag tau nthuav tawm ntawm lub khw Walmart hauv Wilmington, Delaware, thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 25, 2022. - Nrog kev nce nqi nce ntxiv, cov khw muag khoom cia siab tias ntau tus neeg yuav khoom yuav nrhiav tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov khoom lag luam zoo raws li kev txiav txim siab siv nyiaj poob. (Duab los ntawm Samuel Corum / AFP) (Duab los ntawm SAMUEL CORUM / AFP ntawm Getty Images)

Dub Friday cov khoom ua si muag tau nthuav tawm ntawm lub khw Walmart hauv Wilmington, Delaware, thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 25, 2022.(Duab los ntawm SAMUEL CORUM/AFP ntawm Getty Images)

Peb muaj sau rau hauv qhov chaw no ua ntej hais tias mus rau lub tsev lag luam, yog li mus rau kev lag luam. Tab sis lub tswv yim no tsuas yog ib txoj hauv kev hais tias vaj tsev yog tus nqi loj tshaj plaws rau cov neeg siv khoom feem ntau.

Cov neeg siv khoom - koj, kuv, peb cov phooj ywg thiab tsev neeg - yog lub cav loj tshaj plaws ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam. Thiab tam sim no Fed Chair Powell qhov teeb meem kev lag luam loj tshaj plaws.

Hauv email lub lim tiam dhau los ua ntej ntawm cov ntaub ntawv haujlwm no, Neil Dutta, tus thawj coj ntawm kev lag luam ntawm Renaissance Macro, tau hais txog daim npav rho nyiaj cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam, uas tau pom tias cov neeg siv khoom siv nyiaj tau los kwv yees li 11% siab dua qib ua ntej kev sib kis hauv thawj ob lub lis piam. ntawm Kaum Ib Hlis.

Raws li daim duab qhia hauv qab no los ntawm Dutta qhia, nyob rau ib lub lim tiam-rau-lub limtiam, kev siv nyiaj tawm tsam 2019 tau hloov pauv, qhia txog qhov pom tseeb ntawm lub taub hau cuav ntawm kev noj qab haus huv ntawm Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom.

Tab sis thaum ua kom zoo los cuam tshuam txog plaub lub lis piam nruab nrab hloov pauv rau xyoo tas los ua ntej muaj kev sib kis, peb pom kev loj hlob tsis tu ncua ntawm kev siv nyiaj ze li 10%.

Cov neeg siv khoom siv tau nyob ruaj khov nyob rau lub hlis tsis ntev los no, ib qho kev qhia rau qee tus kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam los ntawm Fed kom qeeb kev lag luam tseem tsis tau txais txiaj ntsig ntau. (Qhov chaw: Renaissance Macro)

Cov neeg siv khoom siv tau nyob ruaj khov nyob rau lub hlis tsis ntev los no, ib qho kev qhia rau qee tus kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam los ntawm Fed kom qeeb kev lag luam tseem tsis tau txais txiaj ntsig ntau. (Qhov chaw: Renaissance Macro)

"Muaj chaw rau cov neeg siv khoom siv nyiaj kom ruaj khov," Dutta sau. "Yog tias koj saib cov ntaub ntawv tshiab tshaj plaws, cov neeg siv khoom ib txhij pom qhov nce ntawm lawv cov nyiaj tau los tiag tiag vim cov nqi roj av poob thiab txo qis lawv qhov kev txuag nyiaj ntau."

Tsis yog txhua tus neeg muag khoom, ntawm chav kawm, yog qhov zoo tshaj plaws hauv lawv qhov kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm ib puag ncig tam sim no.

Hais lus nrog Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag lub lim tiam no, Costco (NQI) CEO Craig Jelinek hais tias muaj tej yam qhia ntawm cov neeg siv khoom coj ua ceev faj. High-end hniav nyiaj hniav kub thiab high-end TVs tau tshwj xeeb tshaj tawm los ntawm Jelinek raws li thaj chaw uas cov neeg siv khoom qeeb yuav khoom.

Cov neeg yuav khoom tawm ntawm lub khw muag khoom zoo tshaj plaws thaum lub sijhawm Black Friday muag hauv Brooklyn, New York, Asmeskas, Kaum Ib Hlis 26, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Cov neeg yuav khoom tawm ntawm lub khw muag khoom zoo tshaj plaws thaum lub sijhawm Black Friday muag hauv Brooklyn, New York, Asmeskas, Kaum Ib Hlis 26, 2021. REUTERS/Brendan McDermid

Lub hli tas los, Walmart (WMT) flagged kev nce hauv cov neeg siv khoom lag luam qis raws li kev nce nqi txuas ntxiv hnyav rau cov neeg yuav khoom.

Ib qho kev hloov pauv ntawm qee tus neeg siv khoom lossis kev nyiam tom qab lub xyoo frenetic ntawm kev noj nyob rau hauv 2021 tsis muaj qhov tsis ntseeg tias muaj kev sib tw ua haujlwm rau cov khw muag khoom. Thiab dab tsi Costco thiab Walmart qhia peb txog Asmeskas cov neeg siv khoom tsis raug tso tseg.

Tab sis hloov pauv txoj hauv kev rau cov paj los yog kev lag luam muag kev loj hlob - ob qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb rau cov thawj coj hauv khw muag khoom thiab cov tub ua lag luam - tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam qhov dav dav ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tus cwj pwm.

Dutta tau sau tias "Rau kuv qhov teeb meem tseem ceeb yog qhov ncaj ncees," "Rau txhua qhov kev sib tham txog kev lag luam ntev thiab tsis paub tseeb, Fed tau nce tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los ntawm 400 cov ntsiab lus hauv xyoo tas los thiab lub sijhawm no, kev noj haus nominal [tau] ruaj khov."

Thiab raws li kev noj nyob ruaj khov, Fed yuav nyob twj ywm hauv kev ua kom cov paj laum siab, uas txhais tau hais tias Powell qhov teeb meem loj tshaj plaws yog qhov teeb meem loj tshaj plaws hauv kev lag luam - US cov neeg siv khoom yuav tsis tso tseg.

Saib Dab Tsi Hnub No

Economy

  • MBA Daim Ntawv Thov Yuav Tsev, lub lis piam xaus Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2 (-0.8% lub lim tiam dhau los)

  • Nonfarm Productivity, Q3 kawg (0.7% xav tau, 0.3% thaum lub quarter dhau los)

  • Tus Nqi Ua Haujlwm, Q3 kawg (3.0% xav tau, 3.5% thaum lub quarter dhau los)

  • Tus Neeg Siv Khoom Txais Credit, Lub Kaum Hli ($ 28.000 billion xav tau, $ 24.976 thaum lub hli dhau los)

Nyiaj tau

  • Xim av-Forman (BF.B), Campbell Soup (CPB), C3.ai ib (AI), GameStop (GME), Korn/Ferry (KFY), Hlubsac (HLUB), Ollie's Khom Nqi Qhov Hluav Taws Xob (OLLI), Sportsman's Warehouse (SPWH), Thor Kev Lag Luam (THO), United Natural Foods (UNFI), Verint Tshuab (VRNT)

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Nyem rau ntawm no rau cov xov xwm tshiab tshaj tawm kev lag luam thiab kev txheeb xyuas qhov tob, suav nrog cov xwm txheej uas txav cov khoom lag luam

Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance

Rub tawm Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag app rau Kua or Android

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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/consumers-remain-the-feds-biggest-problem-morning-brief-103034998.html