Cov neeg siv khoom xav tias yuav tau siv sijhawm me ntsis ntxiv hauv Lub Xya Hli, tab sis Prime Day tuaj yeem txhawb kev muag khoom

Cov neeg yuav khoom hauv lub tsev loj vim tias kev nce nqi cuam tshuam rau cov neeg siv khoom lag luam hauv New York City, Lub Rau Hli 10, 2022.

Andrew Kelly | Xov Xwm Reuters

Cov neeg siv khoom xav tias yuav tau siv ntau me ntsis hauv Lub Xya Hli, tab sis lawv yuav tau txhawb nqa qhov lawv siv online hauv txoj kev loj.

Kev muag khoom hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas yuav tshaj tawm hnub Wednesday thaum 8:30 sawv ntxov ET. Lawv cia siab tias yuav pom qhov nce ntawm 0.1% hauv Lub Xya Hli, nqis los ntawm 1% nce txhua hli hauv Lub Rau Hli, raws li Dow Jones. Tsis suav nrog autos, kev siv nyiaj yuav tsum tau ua ncaj ncees.

Cov ntaub ntawv ntawd yuav muab ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm daim duab kev lag luam raws li cov kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam - thiab cov tub ua lag luam - sim kom tau txais kev pom tseeb dua tom qab tawg ntawm cov txheeb cais sib xyaw. Piv txwv li, cov ntaub ntawv ua haujlwm tau muaj zog heev, txawm tias muaj kev thov nce ntxiv rau cov nyiaj poob haujlwm. Qee cov ntaub ntawv tsim khoom tsis muaj zog, thaum hnub Tuesday tsab ntawv ceeb toom ntawm industrial ntau lawm pom ib tug xav tsis thoob muaj zog nce nyob rau hauv cov zis.

Cov neeg siv khoom yog lub luag haujlwm rau kwv yees li ob feem peb ntawm Asmeskas kev lag luam, yog li kev nkag siab txog kev siv nyiaj yog qhov tseem ceeb. Cov ntaub ntawv muag khoom muag kuj tseem cuam tshuam los ntawm kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv, thiab daim duab muag khoom yuav tsum muaj kev cuam tshuam rau cov nqi siab dua.

"Nws yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb vim tias peb tau txais cov hla tam sim no thaum nws los txog rau cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam," said Michelle Meyer, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag, Asmeskas ntawm Mastercard. Nws hais tias cov khoom lag luam tsis zoo hauv ob qho tib si thawj zaug thiab lub quarter thib ob ua rau muaj kev ntshai kev poob qis, tab sis cov ntaub ntawv ua haujlwm muaj zog sib piv nrog qhov ntawd.

Meyer tau hais tias Mastercard SpendingPulse cov ntaub ntawv nws saib xyuas muaj zog rau lub Xya Hli. "Kev siv nyiaj tau zoo," nws hais. "Peb cov kev siv nyiaj hauv khw muag khoom, tsis suav nrog tsheb, tau nce 11.2% xyoo dhau ib xyoos nyob rau lub Xya Hli."

Mastercard Kev Siv Nyiaj Pulse cov ntaub ntawv ntsuas hauv khw thiab kev siv nyiaj hauv online rau txhua hom kev them nyiaj.

Cov nqi siab dua

Tom Simons, tus kws paub txog nyiaj txiag ntawm Jefferies, tau hais tias nws cia siab tias yuav muaj zog ntau dua li qhov kev pom zoo nce ntawm 0.8% hauv daim ntawv tshaj tawm kev muag khoom thaum Lub Xya Hli, feem ntau vim yog lub zog ntawm cov nyiaj tau los thiab kev ua lag luam ua haujlwm zoo. Lub hli dhau los, lub kev lag luam ntxiv 528,000 txoj haujlwm, yooj yim ntaus kev cia siab.

Simons sau tseg txog kev muag khoom muag poob 1.1% dhau lub Xya Hli, yog li tus naj npawb xyoo dhau xyoo tuaj yeem loj. Nws tau hais tias "Yog tias koj ntxiv rau peb tus lej, koj yuav tau txais kev nrawm nrawm ntawm ze li 10% xyoo dhau los," nws hais. Nws tau sau tseg tias kev muag khoom tau nce 8.4% txhua xyoo hauv lub Rau Hli.

Meyer tau hais tias qee pawg hauv SpendingPulse cov ntaub ntawv rau Lub Xya Hli qhia pom qhov tseeb ntawm kev nce nqi thaum lwm tus tsis ua. Cov khw muag khoom noj, piv txwv li, tau nce 16.8% raws li cov nqi khoom noj tau nce.

Cov nqi roj av tau ntau dua li xyoo tas los, tab sis cov nqi ntawm lub twj tso kua mis poob tag nrho lub hli ntawm Lub Xya Hli los ntawm nruab nrab Lub Rau Hli. ncov ntawm $5.01 ib nkas loos ntawm unleaded, raws li AAA. Hauv kev ntsuas tus nqi ntawm cov neeg siv khoom, cov roj av Performance index poob 7.7% thaum Lub Xya Hli, offsetting nce hauv cov zaub mov thiab chaw nyob. Kev poob qis hauv cov roj av tau pab ua kom muaj kev nce nqi nce mus rau 8.5% txhua xyoo hauv lub Xya Hli, los ntawm 9.1% hauv Lub Rau Hli.

"Vim tias cov chaw siv roj av sawv cev rau 10.3% ntawm cov koob no thiab tsis muaj kev hloov pauv nyiaj txiag, kev thim rov qab hauv cov nqi roj hauv CPI txhais tau tias tag kis cov ntawv luam tawm yuav muaj kev tsis ncaj ncees rau qhov no ib leeg, yog li qhov kev pom zoo +0.1%," said Ian. Lyngen, tus thawj coj ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov tswv yim ntawm BMO Capital Markets. "Cov lus nug muaj feem ntau dhau los ua qib uas tsawg dua tus nqi roj tsis pub noj rau lwm yam khoom thiab kev pabcuam."

Raws li SpendingPulse, kev siv roj thiab kev siv yooj yim tau nce 32.3% xyoo dhau los hauv lub Xya Hli, tab sis qhov kev loj hlob qis dua lub Rau Hli nce 42.1%.

Kev dhia hauv kev siv nyiaj hauv online

Kev yuav khoom hauv online tuaj yeem txhawb nqa kev muag khoom muag, ua tsaug rau Amazon.

"Qhov kev sib tw loj tshaj plaws yog kev lag luam e-lag luam ... Nws tau nce 11.7%, thiab nyob rau lub Rau Hli, nws tau nce hauv ib tus lej qis," Meyer hais. Cov qeb hauv SpendingPulse cov ntaub ntawv tsis tau nce los ntawm ob tus lej txij li lub caij so yuav khoom thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis.

Meyer tau hais tias Amazon's Prime Day muag thaum Lub Xya Hli 12 thiab 13 thiab kev sib tw muag ntawm lwm cov khw muag khoom nyob rau lub sijhawm ntawd yog qhov zoo li tom qab dhia hauv kev siv nyiaj hauv online.

Meyer tau hais tias "Cov dab neeg kev nce nqi yog qhov tseem ceeb heev," "Cov se nce nqi uas cov neeg siv khoom tau cuam tshuam nrog tau pib yooj yim. Qhov ntawd yuav txaus siab heev kom pom tias qhov ntawd ua li cas. "

Kev siv nyiaj Lub Xya Hli suav nrog cov nuj nqis khi rau lub caij so so.

SpendingPulse cov ntaub ntawv tau pom nyob rau xyoo dhau ib xyoos, kev siv dav hlau tau nce 13.3%. Qhov chaw nyob tau nce 29.6%, thiab kev siv tsev noj mov nce 9.5%.

Kuj tseem muaj kev yuav khoom tom tsev kawm ntawv, nrog rau cov khw muag khoom muag tau nce 14% xyoo dhau los. Kev txhim kho tsev muag khoom lag luam, nce tsuas yog 2.9%. Khoom kim heev, tsis suav nrog cov hniav nyiaj hniav kub, poob 3.7%.

"Cov neeg siv khoom tseem tsis tau siv nyiaj. Cov neeg siv khoom pom tseeb tau sim mus rau qhov chaw kev lag luam no. Qhov ntawd txhais tau tias muaj kev hloov pauv hauv lawv li cas siv, ”Meyer hais.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/16/consumers-are-expected-to-have-spent-slightly-more-in-july-but-prime-day-could-have-boosted- muag.html