Qhov txawv, tab sis muaj tseeb: S & P 500 tau ruaj khov siab dua 12 lub hlis tom qab kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab ntawm txhua lub voj voog txij li xyoo 1954, raws li Yardeni Kev Tshawb Fawb, tsis hais tog twg yeej lossis poob. Qhov kev lag luam dav dav qhov nruab nrab ib xyoos nce hauv 17 lub qhov rais tom qab xaiv tsa tau kwv yees li 15%. Cov lus tseeb no nyob hauv peb lub siab Hnub Xaiv Tsa, raws li cov neeg pov npav pov npav thaum lub xyoo nyuaj ntawm Wall Street. Txhua leej txhua tus xav tsis thoob thaum peb yuav pom, lossis seb peb puas tau pom, hauv qab hauv khw dais tam sim no. Tau kawg, qhov kev ua tau zoo yav dhau los tsis yog qhov qhia txog cov txiaj ntsig yav tom ntej, thiab tam sim no ntau tus kws tshaj lij tau txhawj xeeb tias kev nce nqi thiab kev lag luam poob qis tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv hnyav rau cov khoom lag luam. Peb lees paub qhov tsis paub meej ntawm ib puag ncig yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau qhov kev sib tw tom qab nruab nrab ib txwm muaj. Txawm li cas los xij, peb xav tias keeb kwm tsim nyog taw qhia rau cov tswv cuab Club. Peb kuj xav kom zoom rau hauv nws los ntawm lub club tshwj xeeb lens, tshuaj xyuas seb 31 cov khoom lag luam hauv Jim Cramer's Charitable Trust tau ua li cas hauv 12 lub hlis tom qab kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab tsis ntev los no. Nov yog qhov peb tau ua, nrog qee qhov caveats. Peb tau saib tsuas yog tsib lub sijhawm nruab nrab - 2018, 2014, 2010, 2006 thiab 2002 - kom pom cov Club tam sim no twg muaj qhov loj tshaj 12 lub hlis nce tom qab kev xaiv tsa. S & P 500 qhov nruab nrab 12 lub hlis nce tom qab tsib qhov kev xaiv tsa no yog 8.3%. Ib qho kev txwv ntawm qhov kev tawm dag zog yog tias tsis yog txhua qhov khoom lag luam hauv peb cov ntaub ntawv tau raug pauv mus rau pej xeem hauv txhua tsib lub sijhawm xaiv tsa. Salesforce (CRM) thiab Alphabet (GOOGL) tau tuav thawj qhov kev tshaj tawm rau pej xeem thaum lub caij ntuj sov xyoo 2004, thaum Facebook niam txiv Meta Platforms (META) tau tshaj tawm rau lub Tsib Hlis 2012. Thaum peb tau xaiv los qhia txog cov neeg ua yeeb yam zoo tshaj plaws, kuj tseem muaj cov neeg ua yeeb yam tsis zoo thiab cov khoom lag luam uas muaj xim liab hauv txhua lub voj voog dhau los peb tau saib. Qhov kev tawm dag zog no yog tsim los qhia ntau npaum li cas cov khoom lag luam tau txav mus los thaum lub sij hawm bullish no tsis yog vim li cas lawv tau ua raws li lawv tau ua. Kev xaiv tsa xyoo 2018 Cov no yog tsib lub club cov khoom lag luam nrog qhov nce siab tshaj plaws thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis. 6, 2018 - thaum lub sijhawm nruab nrab tau tuav - thiab Kaum Ib Hlis. 6, 2019: Advanced Micro Devices (AMD), Microsoft (MSFT), Qualcomm (QCOM), Procter & Gamble (PG) thiab Estee Lauder (EL). Lub S & P 500 nce 11.7% nyob rau hauv qhov stretch. Kev xaiv tsa xyoo 2014 Lub S & P 500 tau nce 4.5% thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis. 4, 2014 and Nov. 4, 2015. Cov no yog tsib qhov ua tau zoo tshaj plaws hauv Club cov khoom lag luam hauv 12 lub hlis: Amazon (AMZN), Starbucks (SBUX), Constellation Brands (STZ), Nvidia (NVDA) thiab Meta Platforms. 2010 kev xaiv tsa Lub Kaum Ib Hlis. 2, 2010 and Nov. 2, 2011, S & P 500 nce 3.7%. Cov no yog Club tsib tus neeg ua yeeb yam saum toj kawg nkaus hauv lub sijhawm ntawd: Estee Lauder, Starbucks (SBUX), Humana (HUM), Bausch Health (BHC) thiab Costco Wholesale (COST). Nco tseg: Daim ntawv teev npe no tsis suav nrog Coterra Energy (CTRA), uas tau nce 163% hauv 12 lub hlis tom qab xyoo 2010 midterms. Lub tuam txhab hu ua Cabot Oil & Gas rov qab los. Nyob rau hauv 2021, nws rebranded li Coterra tom qab ib tug tag nrho-Tshuag merger ntawm sib npaug nrog Cimarex Zog. Kev xaiv tsa xyoo 2006 Lub S & P 500 tau nce 6.7% thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis. 7, 2006 and Nov. 7, 2007. Cov 5 lub npe Club no tau sau npe tau txais txiaj ntsig loj tshaj plaws nyob rau lub sijhawm 12 lub hlis: Apple (AAPL), Amazon, Wynn Resorts (WYNN), Nvidia thiab Google Niam Txiv Niam Ntawv. Kev xaiv tsa xyoo 2002 Tshaj li tsib lub sijhawm nruab nrab lub sijhawm dhau los, S & P 500 pom nws qhov loj tshaj 12 lub hlis nce ntawm Kaum Ib Hlis. 5, 2002 and Nov. 6, 2003, dhia 14.9%. Cov no yog qhov ua tau zoo tshaj plaws hauv Club tuav hauv qhov ncab: Amazon, AMD, Cisco Systems (CSCO), Humana thiab Wynn Resorts. Thaum kawg Club xav Tsuas yog ob lub club tuav tau zoo tshaj qhov S & P 500 hauv txhua qhov 12-hli lub qhov rais tom qab kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab: Apple, uas yog tus yeej loj tshaj plaws hauv xyoo 2006, thiab Honeywell (HON), txawm xav tias nws yeej tsis tawg lub sab saum toj tsib nyob rau hauv ib qho kev ncua ib xyoo. Qhov zoo siab, muaj tsib lub club tuav - Apple, Amazon, Honeywell, Costco thiab Estee Lauder - uas yog qhov zoo hauv 12 lub hlis tom qab nruab nrab ntawm txhua tsib lub sijhawm xaiv tsa dhau los. Thaum kawg, nws tseem tsim nyog ceeb toom rau txhua tus neeg tias kev ua tau zoo tshaj li 12 lub hlis tom qab ib qho xwm txheej tshwj xeeb - qhov no, kev xaiv tsa ib nrab - tsuas yog ib qho snapshot nyob rau lub sijhawm thiab tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam li cas lub tuam txhab kev lag luam tau ua thaum lub sijhawm. . Ntau yam ntawm ntau yam - qee qhov tshwj xeeb rau ib lub tuam txhab, lwm tus ntau qhov macro hauv cov xwm txheej - cuam tshuam li cas cov khoom lag luam hauv lub sijhawm ze. Tab sis nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev, cov tuam txhab zoo tshaj plaws yuav tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev ua lag luam. (Saib ntawm no rau tag nrho cov npe ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv Jim Cramer 'Charitable Trust.) Raws li ib tus neeg koom nrog CNBC Investing Club nrog Jim Cramer, koj yuav tau txais kev ceeb toom ua ntej Jim ua lag luam. Jim tos 45 feeb tom qab xa daim ntawv ceeb toom kev lag luam ua ntej yuav lossis muag cov khoom lag luam hauv nws qhov kev ntseeg siab ntawm cov ntaub ntawv. Yog tias Jim tau tham txog ib qho khoom lag luam ntawm CNBC TV, nws tos 72 teev tom qab tshaj tawm tsab ntawv ceeb toom ua ntej ua lag luam. COV NTAUB NTAWV QHIA TXOG QHOV CHAW UA HAUJ LWM yog ua raws li peb cov lus cog tseg thiab cov xwm txheej thiab txoj cai ntiag tug, ua ke nrog peb qhov kev tsis lees paub. TSIS TXAUS SIAB RAU LUB SIJ HAWM NTAWM LUB SIJ HAWM NTAWM LUB SIJ HAWM NTAWM LUB TSEV KAWM NTAWV, LUB SIJ HAWM NTAWM LUB SIJ HAWM NTAWM koj tau txais cov ntaub ntawv qhia txog kev sib txuas nrog lub koom haum ua lag luam.
Cov neeg taug kev dhau ntawm New York Stock Exchange (NYSE) ntawm Phab ntsa Street thaum Lub Xya Hli 12, 2022 hauv New York City.
Angela Weiss | AFP | Getty Dluab
Coj txawv txawv, tab sis muaj tseeb: Lub S&P 500 tau ruaj khov siab dua 12 lub hlis tom qab kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab ntawm txhua lub voj voog txij li xyoo 1954, raws li Yardeni Kev Tshawb Fawb, tsis hais tog twg yeej lossis poob. Qhov kev lag luam dav dav qhov nruab nrab ib xyoos nce hauv 17 lub qhov rais tom qab xaiv tsa tau kwv yees li 15%.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/11/08/midterm-election-rallies-club-names-that-have-been-big-winners-before.html