Nyob rau hauv lub limtiam khiav mus txog rau lub xyoo tshiab, Tuam Tshoj tau rhuav tshem qhov kawg ntawm nws txoj cai txwv tsis pub muaj tus kabmob coronavirus, nrog rau kev txiav txim siab cais cais tawm rau txhua tus neeg ncig tebchaws.
Txawm li cas los, tourists thiab cov neeg tuaj ncig ua lag luam tseem yuav tsum tau kuaj xyuas covid hauv lub sijhawm teem tseg.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
Nrog kev tshem tawm ntawm quotas ntawm txawv teb chaws flights, Tuam Tshoj tsuas yog rov tshwm sim los ntawm peb xyoos ntawm kev rov ua dua, tawm-dhau kev kaw, thaum muaj kev kub ntxhov rau pej xeem.
Tus Thawj Tswj Kev Muag Khoom Index (PMI) muab thawj daim duab tiag tiag ntawm lub xeev kev lag luam, thiab tshwj xeeb hauv lub tebchaws. raug sector tom qab industrial units tau deciated nyob rau hauv lub hlis thiab xyoo ua ntej.
General PMI
Qhov kev ntsuas uas ntsuas kev noj qab haus huv ntawm ob qho tib si kev tsim khoom thiab kev pabcuam kev pabcuam hauv thaj av loj, tau nce mus rau 52.9, uas yog qhov kev nyeem ntawv siab tshaj plaws txij li Lub Rau Hli 2022. Qhov no qhia txog kev txhim kho kev lag luam thiab kev nyab xeeb dav.
Kev nce siab sai tau xav tau, tab sis nws qhov loj me kuj xav tsis thoob.
Lub hli dhau los, qhov ntsuas tau qis dua 50 ntawm 42.6.
TradingEconomics.com tau kwv yees nce mus rau qhov tseem-contractionary 46.
Txawm hais tias qhov kev cia siab zoo, kev lag luam tau paub tias qhov kev thov tseem nyob qis qis, thiab nws tsis zoo li qhov kev cia siab tias kev loj hlob yuav zoo li qub kom txog thaum cov neeg siv khoom xav rov qab los, thiab kev siv peev tseem ceeb tau muab tso rau hauv qhov chaw.
A Bloomberg tsab ntawv ceeb toom tau sau tseg tias cov nqi sib koom ntawm cov tuam txhab vaj tse, qhov taw qhia tseem ceeb ntawm kev noj qab haus huv ntawm Tuam Tshoj kev lag luam thiab cov neeg siv khoom, txuas ntxiv poob rau hauv kev lag luam vaj tse dej nyab nrog cov khoom muaj nqis qis.
Cov neeg siv khoom ntseeg siab tuaj yeem raug dented mus tas li thaum cov tub ntxhais hluas yuav khoom qhuav hauv lub qub txeeg qub tes chaw, thiab thaj chaw kev muag khoom poob 14% xyoo-rau-xyoo.
Raug PMI
Lub tuam txhab lag luam kuj tau rov zoo dua ntau dua li qhov kev cia siab, nce mus rau 50.1, tsuas yog khawb mus rau hauv thaj chaw nthuav dav, cim thawj qhov kev loj hlob txij thaum Lub Kaum Hli 2022.
Nrog rau kev tshem tawm ntawm xoom covid txoj cai thiab kho qee cov saw hlau, kev tsim khoom lag luam outdd pom zoo kwv yees ntawm 49.8.
Kev txiav txim tshiab uas languished ntawm 43.9 nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, nce mus rau 50.9 ntawm lub sij hawm luv luv Suav Xyoo Tshiab xav tau, tsav qhov nce.
Tsis tsim khoom PMI
Kev xav ntawm cov kev pabcuam kev lag luam tau txhim kho zoo heev rau 54.4, zoo tshaj qhov kev cog lus kev kwv yees uas hovered hauv 47-48 ntau. Qhov no kuj tau cim qhov kev noj qab haus huv zoo tshaj plaws txij thaum Lub Rau Hli 2022.
Kev txhawb nqa rau lub sector tau tsav los ntawm kev rov pib dua ntawm kev ncig tebchaws, kev mus ncig ua lag luam thiab lub xeev tau tshaj tawm cov kev ntsuas los pab txhawb cov vixaj nkag mus nrawm.
Kev lag luam profits
Nyob rau hauv ib xyoos ib zaug, Suav muaj Cov tuam txhab pom cov txiaj ntsig poob qis los ntawm 4%, raws li kev sib tw 3.6% poob los ntawm 11 lub hlis dhau los.
Cov neeg raug tsim txom tseem ceeb yog cov tuam txhab lag luam ntiag tug uas tawm tsam nyob rau hauv cov kev txwv ntev ntawm covid thiab kev nqis peev tsis tu ncua.
Outlook
Txawm hais tias qhov nce hauv lub teb chaws PMIs zoo siab txais tos, cov txiaj ntsig tsis tau xav txog tag nrho vim tias kev lag luam tau qis dua txij li xyoo 2020.
Qhov tseem ceeb, qhov kev ncua ntev ntev qhia tau hais tias txhua qhov kev rov qab mus ntev yuav xav tau kev nqis peev tseem ceeb thiab lub sijhawm cev xeeb tub ntev.
Thaum tsoomfwv tau tshaj tawm tias nws yuav nthuav tawm cov kev ntsuas xws li cov kab nyiaj txiag los txhawb kev rov qab los, nws tseem ntxov dhau los ntsuas seb qhov kev lag luam yuav teb li cas.
Nyob rau hauv txhua qhov zoo li, Tuam Tshoj kev tsim khoom lag luam yuav tsis tuaj yeem rov qab los rau nws qhov siab ua ntej, thiab yuav pom nws tus kheej poob sai sai thaum muaj kev txhawj xeeb thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam kev lag luam loj hlob thiab kev tshaj tawm txog cov mob tshiab tshiab.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/01/31/chinese-pmis-spark-to-life-after-covid-restrictions-lifted-but-investors-stay-wary/