Tuam Tshoj Txoj Kev Sib Koom Ntawm Ntiaj Teb Kev Lag Luam Teeb Meem Rau Stall- Kev Tshawb Fawb Tshiab

Tuam Tshoj tus thawj tswj hwm Xi Jin ping tuaj yeem ua rau nws lub zog muaj zog hauv Suav teb, tab sis kev npau suav ntawm kev tswj hwm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tuaj yeem tshwm sim sai sai.

Tshaj li ib nrab xyoo dhau los, Suav kev lag luam tau hloov pauv los ntawm kev tawm tsam kev lag luam tawm mus rau hauv lub ntiaj teb lub zog lub tsev, nrog kev loj hlob siab xyoo tom qab xyoo tom qab xyoo, qee zaum ob tus lej nce.

Tab sis qhov kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam tab tom yuav tsum tau nres thiab los ntawm 2030 Tuam Tshoj txoj kev loj hlob txhua xyoo yuav poob mus rau paltry 2%, zoo ib yam li Asmeskas, raws li. Daim ntawv tshaj tawm tsis ntev los no los ntawm London-based kev pab tswv yim nyiaj txiag tuam txhab Capital Economics.

"Lub Tuam Tshoj-coj bloc qhov hnyav hauv kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb yuav tsis nce ntxiv ntxiv," hais tias tsab ntawv ceeb toom muaj npe. Lub Fracturing ntawm Ntiaj Teb Kev Lag Luam - Ib qho Taw Qhia. Ntau qhov tseeb, los ntawm 2050 Tuam Tshoj thiab nws cov phooj ywg yuav zoo li 23% ntawm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb thaum Asmeskas thiab nws cov phooj ywg yuav lav 45%, daim ntawv tshaj tawm tau hais.

Yog vim li cas rau qhov no yog qhov Capital Economics hu ua Fracturing ntawm kev lag luam. Los ntawm 2000 txog 2019 thoob ntiaj teb kev nthuav dav thiab thoob ntiaj teb, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog Tuam Tshoj thiab Asmeskas, vam meej. Tab sis ob peb xyoos dhau los uas xyoo-hauv-xyoo-tawm nthuav dav yog kev lag luam tau poob qis.

Kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb yuav tsis tawg tag nrho, Daim Ntawv Qhia Peev qhia. Hloov chaw, qhov tshwm sim feem ntau yog tias nws yuav tawg lossis tawg. "Peb xav tias kev lag luam hauv ntiaj teb yuav sib koom ua ke rau hauv ob qhov chaw nyob nruab nrab ntawm Asmeskas thiab Tuam Tshoj," tsab ntawv ceeb toom hais. Qhov kev tawg yuav tshwm sim vim tsoomfwv tsis muaj kev nkag los ntawm kev lag luam.

Cov txheej txheem fracturing no yuav zoo li shaving ib feem ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm kev tsim khoom thiab ntxiv kuv sliver ntawm kev nce nqi ntxiv, tsab ntawv ceeb toom hais. Qhov ntawd yuav muaj feem cuam tshuam me me.

Tab sis qhov loj takeaway yog tias Tuam Tshoj zoo li tsis muaj qhov xaus kev loj hlob thiab muaj zog ntxiv rau sab hnub poob yuav nres.

Tuam Tshoj thiab nws cov phooj ywg ntxiv rau cov teb chaws uas lean mus rau Tuam Tshoj suav txog 10% ntawm lub ntiaj teb kev lag luam tawm hauv xyoo 1990 piv rau 26% hauv 2021. Los ntawm 2050 tib lub bloc yuav ncav cuag 28% ntawm lub ntiaj teb tag nrho.

Tsawg kawg ib feem ntawm qhov teeb meem yog Tuam Tshoj txoj kev loj hlob ntawm cov khoom lag luam yuav muaj feem cuam tshuam vim qhov tawg. Daim ntawv tshaj tawm tau hais tias "Lub Tuam Txhab-coj tus thawj coj yog tswj hwm los ntawm Tuam Tshoj nws tus kheej, ua rau kev hloov kho nyuaj thiab yog li ua rau muaj peev xwm cuam tshuam txog kev lag luam," tsab ntawv ceeb toom tau hais. Thaum koj ntxiv nyob rau hauv qis productivity loj hlob ntxiv cov neeg poob qis hauv Suav teb, muaj ib qho laj thawj vim li cas Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam yuav nres.

Sib piv qhov sib koom ntawm Tuam Tshoj (ntxiv rau cov phooj ywg / phooj ywg) nrog Asmeskas, nws cov phooj ywg thiab cov uas lean ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas Qhov kev faib tawm ntawm Asmeskas yuav ntsuas 65% hauv 2050 piv rau 86% xyoo 1990.

Yog lawm US (thiab nws cov phooj ywg) sib koom tau poob tab sis Tuam Tshoj tuaj yeem tau tshaj tawm nws feem, daim ntawv tshaj tawm qhia.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/simonconstable/2022/10/24/chinas-share-of-global-economy-set-to-stallnew-research/