Tuam Tshoj txoj kev rov qhib dua los txhawb Hong Kong cov khoom lag luam

Nyob rau hauv lub teeb ntawm Tuam Tshoj rov qhib dua thiab easing ntawm Covid cov cai, Hong Kong cov cuab yeej ua lag luam yuav nyob rau hauv txoj hauv kev kom rov qab los hauv 2023, raws li kev pab tswv yim khoom vaj khoom tsev Colliers Hong Kong.  

Lub khw muag khoom tshwj xeeb yuav sau tau qhov "qhov txiaj ntsig zoo tshaj plaws," Hannah Jeong, Colliers 'tus thawj coj ntawm kev nqis peev thiab kev pab tswv yim, hais rau CNBC's "Squawk Box Asia”Rau hnub Thursday.

Txawm li cas los xij, tseem muaj qee qhov muaj peev xwm ua rau lub taub hau xyoo no uas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam Hong Kong txoj kev rov qab los, Colliers tau hais hauv nws. qhov tseeb qhia. Cov no suav nrog txuas ntxiv geopolitical nro thiab a muaj peev xwm kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb.

Jeong hais ntxiv tias "Peb tab tom saib qhov kev cia siab zoo dua rau xyoo 2023."

"Yuav muaj qhov tsis txaus ntseeg sib txawv los ntawm lwm yam tseem ceeb tab sis kev qhib ciam teb yog qhov tseeb yog ib qho kev txhawb nqa rau ntau lwm yam hauv kev lag luam vaj tse." 

Raws li Colliers, lub khw muag khoom sector - tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov khw hauv txoj kev siab - yuav yog "tus khiav thawj" tom qab-Covid rov qab los hauv 2023 nrog rau cov nqi xauj tsev thiab nqi. 

"Peb tab tom saib txog li 8% nce xyoo-rau-xyoo, hais txog kev ua haujlwm ntawm cov khw muag khoom xauj tsev," Jeong ntxiv. 

Nws tau hais tias, txawm li cas los xij, qhov no tseem yog kwv yees li 25% mus rau 30% qis dua qib ua ntej-Covid.

Collier tau hais ntxiv hauv nws tsab ntawv ceeb toom tias txawm tias Tuam Tshoj rov qhib dua, kev noj haus hauv zos yuav nyob twj ywm "tus tsav tsheb tseem ceeb" rau Hong Kong lub khw muag khoom hauv 12 lub hlis tom ntej.

"Lub hloov khoom lag luam qauv ntawm Mainlanders nyob rau hauv peb lub xyoos dhau los no yuav pleev xim rau daim duab tshiab rau lub khw muag khoom tshiab kev xav, "nws hais ntxiv. 

Hauv kev lag luam hauv chaw ua haujlwm, Qib A chav tsev xauj yuav rov qab los ntawm 3% xyoo no, hais tias Colliers - ua tsaug rau "kev thov nkag los ntawm Suav thiab cov tuam txhab txawv teb chaws." 

Txawm li cas los xij, Jeong tau hais tias Hong Kong lub chaw ua lag luam tseem muaj qhov chaw ua haujlwm siab, ntawm 14.7%.

"Tab sis nws tsis yog nws tsis yog qhov kawg ntawm lub ntiaj teb vim ... piv nrog rau lwm lub nroog cov phooj ywg, 8% txog 10% yog tus lej tsim nyog," nws hais ntxiv. 

Hong Kong cov nqi tsev poob qis rau tsib xyoos nyob rau lub Kaum Hlis raws li cov paj laum hikes nce nqi qiv. 

Qhov no ua rau "mob ntawm kev thov peev," Jeong hais, tab sis qhov kev thov los ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev tseem muaj. 

"Cov neeg yuav tsev ... [tau] siv lub sijhawm no thaum kev lag luam muag muag, lawv tuaj yeem txeeb cov tsev pheej yig dua," nws hais ntxiv. 

"Tab sis xyoo 2023, kuv xav tias tus paj laum ... yuav nce mus ntxiv. Peb tab tom saib kev ruaj ntseg yam tsawg kawg hauv ib nrab xyoo no. "

Lub hli dhau los, Hong Kong nce cov paj laum los ntawm 50 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus rau 4.75%, raws li US Federal Reserve.

Cov nqi qiv nyiaj siab yuav ua rau cov neeg nyob hauv khw xav tau thiab "qhov tsis zoo 5% mus rau 10% kev hloov pauv" yuav tsum yog li xav tau rau xyoo no, Jeong tau hais.