Tuam Tshoj siv txoj hauv kev ceev faj rau nws txoj kev lag luam hauv 2023

BEIJING - Tuam Tshoj cov thawj coj tau ntaus lub suab ceeb toom txog qhov kev pom zoo rau lub teb chaws kev lag luam rov qab los, tom qab xaus feem ntau Covid kev txwv rau kev ua lag luam xyoo tas los.

Beijing tshaj tawm hnub Sunday lub hom phiaj ntawm "nyob ib ncig ntawm 5%" kev loj hlob nyob rau hauv tag nrho cov khoom lag luam hauv tsev rau 2023, tsuas yog nce me ntsis hauv kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag.

"Tsoomfwv txoj kev loj hlob ntawm lub hom phiaj ntawm 5% rau 2023 lees paub tias kev khaws cia hauv Tuam Tshoj txoj kev loj hlob tseem tab tom ntsib teeb meem," Martin Petch, tus lwm thawj coj thiab tus thawj coj saib xyuas nyiaj laus, Moody's Investors Service, tau hais hauv tsab ntawv. "Cov no suav nrog kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev loj hlob qeeb hauv ntiaj teb ntawm Tuam Tshoj kev xa tawm thiab kev pheej hmoo cuam tshuam nrog cov cuab yeej cuab tam thiab tsoomfwv cov nuj nqis hauv nroog."

Petch tau hais tias "Tsoomfwv tsuas yog kev nthuav dav me me hauv kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag thiab cov phiaj xwm nyiaj txiag ntau dua qhia tau hais tias cov teeb meem mus sij hawm ntev nrog rau kev txwv tsis pub siv nyiaj thiab kev ruaj ntseg nyiaj txiag tseem yog cov ntsiab lus tseem ceeb ntawm txoj cai mus sij hawm ntev," Petch hais.

Thawj Tswj Hwm Li Keqiang tsoomfwv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm ua haujlwm tau tshaj tawm hnub Sunday tau taw qhia tias muaj kev tsis txaus ntseeg nyob hauv ib puag ncig thoob ntiaj teb. Ib tsab ntawv tshaj tawm los ntawm lub koom haum npaj nyiaj txiag - National Development and Reform Commission (NDRC) - tau nkag mus rau hauv cov ncauj lus tsis txaus ntseeg txog cov teeb meem hauv tsev.

"Tseem muaj qee yam tseem ceeb txwv kev rov qab los thiab kev loj hlob ntawm kev siv," tsab ntawv ceeb toom tau hais. "Resuming kev loj hlob hauv vaj tse peev yog kev sib ntaus sib tua nce toj."

"Qee lub nroog hauv nroog tab tom nrhiav kev rov qab los ntawm kev lag luam nyuaj thiab tab tom ntsib kev tsis txaus nyiaj txiag tseem ceeb," tsab ntawv ceeb toom tau hais. "Kev pheej hmoo ntawm cov nuj nqis los ntawm tsoomfwv hauv nroog cov nyiaj txiag platform yuav tsum tau hais tam sim ntawd."

Kev noj haus tuaj yeem dhau los ua tus thawj coj ntawm kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam xyoo no, Li Chunlin, tus thawj coj ntawm NDRC, hais rau cov neeg sau xov xwm hnub Monday.

Nws hais ntxiv tias pawg thawj coj muaj ntau yam cuab yeej los txhawb cov neeg siv khoom siv.

GDP tsuas yog nce los ntawm 3% xyoo tas los, zoo dua li lub hom phiaj tseem ceeb, raws li Covid kev tswj hwm thiab kev lag luam poob qis qis zuj zus. Kev muag khoom muag poob los ntawm 0.2% hauv 2022.

Qhov cuam tshuam los ntawm kev sib kis tau tsis muaj zog, thiab kev rov qab los ntawm kev muag khoom muag ib leeg tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev loj hlob, hais tias Zong Liang, tus kws tshawb fawb ntawm Bank of China.

Zuag qhia tag nrho, thaum muaj qhov xav tau rau qee qhov kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag, nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb kom tsis txhob "dig muag" nthuav cov kev txhawb nqa, nws hais tias, nco ntsoov tias tawm hauv chav rau yav tom ntej txoj cai txav. Qhov ntawd yog raws li CNBC txhais lus ntawm nws cov lus hais lus Mandarin.

Kev muag khoom muag tau rov qab los ntawm 12.5% ​​hauv 2021 Tom qab poob hauv 2020. GDP dhia los ntawm 8.1% hauv 2021.

Xyoo no, kev ntxhov siab ntawm kev lag luam tau poob qis, thiab kev lag luam tuaj yeem loj hlob ntawm lub hauv paus qis, hais tias Xu Hongcai, tus thawj coj ntawm Economics Policy Commission ntawm Tuam Tshoj Association of Policy Science. "Qhov tseem ceeb yog txhawm rau txhim kho kev loj hlob zoo."

Ib qho kev rov qab los ntawm kev lag luam tuaj yeem pab nyiaj txiag cov nyiaj tau los loj hlob, thiab txhawb kev thov rau cov neeg ua haujlwm, nws hais. Tab sis nws tau taw qhia tias "xyoo no, qhov kev ntxhov siab loj tshaj plaws yog kev lag luam tawm txawv teb chaws."

Ntau tus kws tshawb fawb xav tias Tuam Tshoj cov khoom xa tawm mus rau qhov zoo tshaj plaws, NW nyuam qhuav loj hlob xyoo no. Qhov ntawd yog vim qhov kev xav tau ntawm Suav cov khoom lag luam poob qis vim yog kev lag luam qeeb hauv Asmeskas thiab Europe.

Tuam Tshoj tshaj tawm hnub Sunday nws qhov kev poob qis-rau-GDP piv yuav tsum nce mus rau 3% los ntawm 2.8% xyoo tas los. Lub teb chaws kuj tau nce ib xyoos ib zaug ntawm cov nyiaj tshwj xeeb ntawm cov nyiaj tshwj xeeb los ntawm 150 billion yuan mus rau 3.8 trillion yuan, lossis kwv yees li $ 551.12 billion.

Cov kev ntsuas tsis nruj, ua haujlwm ntau dua li "tsis muaj nyiaj txiag," said Susan Chu, tus thawj coj laus ntawm S&P Global Ratings.

Nws tau hais tias "Vim tias Tuam Tshoj tsis yog rov qab los rau kev siv-tsav [kev lag luam]," nws hais. "Muaj ntau qhov kev sib tw sab nraud, khoom lag luam qeeb."

Cov hom phiaj kev lag luam tau tshaj tawm hnub Sunday ua raws li cov lus qhia tau teem rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis ntawm lub rooj sib tham sab saum toj hu ua Central Economic Work Conference.

Txawm hais tias txoj cai tswjfwm yog qhov tseeb zoo nkauj, xav tau kev txhawb nqa kev ntseeg siab ntxiv, hais tias Wang Jun, tus thawj coj ntawm Tuam Tshoj Chief Economist Forum. Nws hais tias cov ntsiab lus no tuaj yeem tuaj nyob rau ob peb hnub tom ntej no thaum lub rooj sib tham ntawm Tuam Tshoj lub rooj sib tham txhua xyoo.

Xyoo no, lub rooj sib tham tau teem rau formalize tus thawj tswj hwm tshiab thiab lwm tus thawj coj ntawm tsoomfwv, thiab tshaj tawm "txoj kev npaj hloov pauv" rau pawg tswj hwm Suav Tuam Tshoj thiab lub xeev cov koom haum.