Ib daim duab ntawm Suav Thawj Tswj Hwm Xi Jinping ntawm Tsev khaws puav pheej ntawm Tuam Tshoj Communist Party hauv Beijing, … [+]
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Tuam Tshoj txoj cai tswjfwm kev lag luam tab tom los txog rau txoj hauv kev tseem ceeb ntawm Tuam Tshoj Communist Party Congress pib thaum Lub Kaum Hli 16, nrog kev xaiv los ntawm kev txhawb nqa ntau dua rau cov lag luam ntiag tug thiab ntau cov kev coj noj coj ua-kev coj noj coj ua, raws li Ma Guonan, tus khub laus ntawm Suav kev lag luam ntawm Asia Society Policy Institute's Center for China Analysis.
Cov neeg saib xyuas txaus siab thiab kev lag luam yuav tsum tau ua tib zoo saib cov kev xaiv thawj coj uas tawm hauv lub rooj sib tham, tom qab qhov nws tau piav qhia tias yog "straitjacket" ntawm ob qho tib si kev lag luam thiab kev nom kev tswv ntawm kev sib sau, Ma tau hais hauv lub rooj sib tham los ntawm Asia Society hauv New York. Hnub Monday, "Tuam Tshoj yav tom ntej: Nws txhais li cas rau Asia thiab lub ntiaj teb."
Ma, yav dhau los tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag laus ntawm Bank for International Settlement, Bankers Trust thiab lwm qhov, tsis tau kwv yees qhov tshwm sim tab sis tau hais tias: "Qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev txhim kho kev lag luam zoo li muaj qhov tshwj xeeb qis dua rau ntau thiab ntau zaus."
Txawm hais tias muaj kev cia siab tias yuav muaj kev ruaj ntseg ntawm lub sijhawm lig tom qab lub pob zeb thawj ib nrab, "Kev lag luam Suav tau tawm tsam, hais tsawg kawg," Ma hais. Piv txwv li, GDP loj hlob nyob rau lub quarter thib ob, tau nce 0.4% los ntawm ib lub xyoo dhau los.
Kev lag luam tau raug mob los ntawm kev cuam tshuam thoob ntiaj teb xws li Russia kev ntxeem tau ntawm Ukraine, nrog rau kev lag luam tsis tu ncua thiab thev naus laus zis nrog Washington, Ma hais.
Hauv tsev, txawm li cas los xij, Tuam Tshoj tau muab nws tus kheej tso rau hauv kev sib koom ua ke ntawm "tus nqi kim, mob heev" xoom-Covid cov cai uas tau ua rau muaj kev loj hlob, kev cuam tshuam ntawm cov txheej txheem thev naus laus zis, thiab kev poob ntawm txoj cai nruj tom qab xyoo qiv nyiaj ntau dhau rau cov tsim vaj tsev, Ma hais. Tuam Tshoj txoj kev tsim vaj tsev tam sim no, nws tau sau tseg, txawv ntawm Asmeskas xyoo 2008 hauv qhov ntawd Asmeskas tau tsim los ntawm kev qiv rau cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev. Tuam Tshoj txoj kev tsis muaj peev xwm khaws cia kev yug me nyuam kuj tau dhau los ua kev lag luam mus ntev rau nws txoj kev lag luam, Ma tau hais.
Thiab tseem cov lus teb rau txoj cai los ntawm Beijing txog niaj hnub no tau txwv los ntawm kev ceev faj txog kev nom kev tswv hauv lub tebchaws hauv kev khiav mus rau lub rooj sib tham tog, uas xav tias yuav ua rau lub sijhawm ua thawj coj thib peb rau Communist Party Secretary Xi Jinping, nws hais.
Ntawm ib sab, Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam kev lag luam xyoo no tau ua rau muaj kev ntseeg siab ntawm tsoomfwv txoj cai; tsis tau nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, nws tau dhau los ua nyuaj rau kev muab lwm txoj hauv kev ua ntej ntawm qhov kev tshwm sim loj. Li no, Ma txuas ntxiv mus, kev nom kev tswv thiab kev lag luam yog "nyob rau hauv ib qho kev sib tw ua ke," Ma hais. "Tsis muaj leej twg tuaj yeem ua qhov tseem ceeb." Zuag qhia tag nrho, nws hais tias, qhov kev cia siab yog "tau txais kev dag zog thiab tsis zoo" rau kev loj hlob.
Ib qho kev pom zoo mus rau yav tom ntej yuav yog "tsis muaj kev nruj dua thiab ua kom muaj txiaj ntsig zoo" nrog kev txhawb nqa ntau dua rau cov lag luam ntiag tug uas muaj zog, nws hais. Lwm qhov yuav cuam tshuam nrog lub luag haujlwm loj dua hauv lub xeev.
Rau cov lag luam thiab lwm tus neeg soj ntsuam hauv Suav teb, "txoj haujlwm tshiab uas tau xaiv los ntawm kev lag luam" tom qab lub rooj sib tham tog tuaj yeem taw qhia Tuam Tshoj txoj kev lag luam yav tom ntej los ntawm no, Ma hais.
Lwm qhov kev tshwm sim hais lus thiab cov kws tshaj lij ntawm Asia Society qhov kev tshwm sim suav nrog yav dhau los US Secretary of State Henry Kissinger, nrog rau Wu Guoguang, tus kws tshawb fawb laus ntawm Stanford Center ntawm Tuam Tshoj Kev Lag Luam thiab Cov Tsev Kawm Ntawv; Chris Johnson, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm kev tawm tswv yim txog kev pheej hmoo nom tswv Tuam Tshoj Strategies Group; Evan Medeiros, yav dhau los tus kws pab tswv yim sab saum toj Asia rau Thawj Tswj Hwm Barack Obama thiab cov kws tshawb fawb Asia tam sim no ntawm Georgetown University; thiab Rorry Daniels, tus thawj coj ntawm Asia Society Policy Institute.
Lwm cov kws tshaj lij suav nrog Dr. Selwyn Vickers, CEO ntawm Memorial Sloan Kettering Cancer Center (MSK); Dr. Bob Li, MSK Tus Kws Kho Mob Ambassador rau Tuam Tshoj thiab Asia-Pacific; thiab Kate Logan, tus thawj coj ntawm huab cua ntawm Asia Society Policy Institute. Cov qhua tuaj koom suav nrog cov thawj coj lag luam Joe Tsai thiab Ray Dalio.
Saib lwm cov posts:
Asia Society Launches New Center for China Analysis as "A Think and Do Tank"
Kev sib raug zoo ntawm Asmeskas-Tuam Tshoj yog "zoo dua li cov xov xwm"
@rflannerychina
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/russellflannery/2022/10/07/china-policy-straitjacket-may-end-after-party-congress-economist-says/