(Bloomberg) - Canadian cov nqi tsev poob qis tshaj plaws ntawm cov ntaub ntawv hauv xyoo 2022, vim tias cov paj laum tau nce sai sai ua rau kev hloov pauv kev lag luam uas yuav muaj ntxiv mus.
Feem ntau Nyeem los ntawm Bloomberg
Lub teb chaws tus nqi hauv tsev tau poob 1.6% thaum Lub Kaum Ob Hlis mus rau C $ 730,600, ua rau tag nrho cov kev txo qis txij li Lub Ob Hlis lub ncov mus rau 13.2%, Canadian Real Estate Association tau hais rau hnub Monday.
Qhov kev poob qis yog qhov loj tshaj plaws-rau-trough falloff txij li thaum pab pawg pib sau cov ntaub ntawv hauv xyoo 2005. Xyoo tas los kuj pom tus nqi poob qis tshaj plaws rau ib lub xyoo txij li cov ntaub ntawv pib, nrog rau 7.5% poob tag nrho.
Nrog rau kev lag luam hauv kev txaus ntshai ntawm kev nkag mus rau kev lag luam poob qis, thiab Bank of Canada ceeb toom ntawm kev nce nqi ntau dua los tiv thaiv kev nce nyiaj tsis tu ncua, kev lag luam vaj tsev yuav ntsib kev nyuaj siab ntxiv nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej.
Cov naj npawb ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom siv cov nuj nqis ntab rau kev yuav khoom thaum lub sijhawm Canada kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam boom, thiab cov neeg qiv nyiaj tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev nyuaj siab yog tias cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj tseem siab. Kev poob hauj lwm los ntawm kev lag luam poob qis kuj yuav ua rau cov neeg nyuaj kom khaws nyiaj qiv thiab nyob hauv lawv lub tsev.
Cov kws tshawb fawb tshawb fawb los ntawm Bloomberg kwv yees Canada yuav nkag mus rau kev poob qis hauv thawj feem ntawm lub xyoo no.
"Raws li peb saib ua ntej rau lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav tseem ceeb, cov lus nug tseem ceeb yog leej twg yuav tawm ntawm hibernation hauv ntau dua - cov neeg yuav khoom lossis cov muag khoom?" Douglas Porter, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ntawm Bank of Montreal, tau hais hauv tsab ntawv rau cov neeg siv khoom tawm tswv yim txog cov ntaub ntawv muag khoom tshiab. "Peb xav tias kev ua lag luam yuav tseem tab tom zom cov txiaj ntsig sai sai, thiab cov neeg yuav khoom yuav tsis kam rov tshwm sim dua, ua kom cov nqi qis dua rau qee lub sijhawm tsis tau."
Rub rov qab
Cov vaj tsev poob rau tam sim no feem ntau tau tsav los ntawm kev thim rov qab ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom uas tau raug nqi tawm vim yog cov paj laum ntau dua. Tus naj npawb ntawm kev lag luam nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis tau nqis 39% ntawm qhov tsis hloov raws caij nyoog los ntawm xyoo tas los, thaum lub khw tau nce mus txog qhov siab tshaj plaws thiab ua ntej cov paj laum pib nce.
Nyeem ntxiv: Ntiaj teb Central Banks tseem tsis tau tshaj tawm tias yeej muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv
Piv nrog rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis, tus naj npawb ntawm kev muag khoom nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis tau nce 1.3%, thaum cov npe tshiab tau poob 6.4% vim tias cov neeg muag khoom xav tau ntau tau xaiv los sim thiab tos lub lag luam tsis muaj zog.
Ib feem ntawm qhov ntawd yuav yog raws caij nyoog: Cov npe yuav qeeb thaum lub caij ntuj no Canada, tom qab ntawd rov tuaj dua thaum huab cua sov thaum lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav, ib txwm yog lub sijhawm muag khoom.
Txog tam sim no, qhov poob ntawm cov nqi zoo li tsis txaus los ntxias ntau tus neeg yuav khoom vim tias nws tau dhau los ntawm kev nce nqi qiv nyiaj. Los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv qis 0.25% dhau los Lub Peb Hlis Lub Txhab Nyiaj Txiag ntawm Canada tau nce nws cov txiaj ntsig rau 4.25% hnub no, txhais tau hais tias cov neeg yuav khoom yav tom ntej tab tom nrhiav 5-xyoo qiv tam sim no feem ntau ntsib tus nqi ntawm 6.5%.
Txawm hais tias lub xyoo dhau los poob qis, cov nqi tau nce sai heev thaum lub sijhawm muaj kev sib kis thoob ntiaj teb yuav frenzy uas lub teb chaws tus qauv nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis tseem tshuav 33% siab dua li peb xyoos dhau los. Ib daim ntawv tshaj tawm lub hli dhau los los ntawm Royal Bank of Canada tau qhia tias rau cov neeg yuav khoom ib txwm nyob ntawm kev qiv nyiaj, vaj tsev pheej yig tau poob qis mus rau qhov tsis zoo tshaj plaws raws li cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj tau nce nrog cov nqi tseem nce siab.
(Hloov kho nrog cov lus tawm tswv yim los ntawm tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag hauv kab lus xya thiab cov ntsiab lus ntxiv)
Feem ntau Nyeem los ntawm Bloomberg Businessweek
© 2023 Bloomberg LP
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/canadian-home-prices-post-record-143929244.html