Ib lub lag luam loj-kev lag luam rov qab tom qab lub Ib Hlis Ntuj tsis zoo yuav cuam tshuam kev ntseeg siab hauv qhov kev sim ua lag luam yav dhau los thiab muaj tseeb, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Wall Street ceeb toom rau hnub Monday.
Lisa Shalett, tus thawj coj ua lag luam ntawm Morgan Stanley Wealth Management tau sau tias "Tom qab muaj kev poob qis ntawm cov khoom lag luam hauv Lub Ib Hlis, qee cov tub ua lag luam tau pom tias muaj kev txaus siab rau 'yuav lub dip," sau Lisa Shalett, tus thawj coj peev ntawm Morgan Stanley Wealth Management, hauv ib daim ntawv. "Txawm hais tias qhov kev txav no tau ua haujlwm zoo rau feem ntau ntawm kev lag luam no, peb xav tias nws yuav sai dhau mus rau tag nrho."
Nws tau pib hloov pauv mus rau 2022. Thaum kaw lub Ib Hlis 27, S&P 500 Performance index
SPX,
tau nqis 9.7% los ntawm nws cov ntaub ntawv thaum Lub Ib Hlis Ntuj siab, ua rau nws tsuas yog txaj muag ntawm kev kho thaj chaw - txhais tau tias yog 10% rub rov qab los ntawm qhov ncov tsis ntev los no. Lub Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
tau nqis 15.7%, Shalett sau tseg. Kev muag khoom tuaj raws li cov tub ua lag luam tau pib ua lag luam nyob rau hauv qhov kev sib tw ntau ntxiv ntawm tus nqi nce thiab lwm yam kev ntsuas nruj los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve hauv kev sib zog kom tau txais txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev tswj hwm.
Fed, thaum xaus ntawm nws lub Ib Hlis 25-26 lub rooj sib tham txoj cai, qhia tias qhov kev nce qib, yuav pib thaum Lub Peb Hlis, yog txoj hauv kev. Tsis ntev los no tau rov qab los, nrog rau S&P 500 snapping rov qab los ntawm 4% los ntawm nws lub Ib Hlis 27 qis txog rau hnub Friday kaw, thaum Nasdaq bounced 5.6%.
Saib: 'Qhov no tsis yog 1980': Dab tsi cov tub ua lag luam tab tom saib tom ntej US kev nce nqi nyeem looms
Shalett tau hais tias bulls tau nrawm nrawm rau cov txheej txheem kev taw qhia rau "cov khoom muag hauv qab," thiab tau txais kev nplij siab hauv cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm uas qhia tias nruj tshaj tawm los ntawm Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve dhau 60 xyoo dhau los yog qhov ua ntej rau kev lag luam rov qab.
Shalett tau lees paub tias keeb kwm tuaj yeem yog cov lus qhia muaj txiaj ntsig thiab tias feem ntau ntawm kev lag luam thiab kev hloov pauv hauv tsoomfwv tau nthuav tawm "rhyming" cov qauv nrog yav dhau los, tab sis ceeb toom tias txhua lub voj voog yog qhov tshwj xeeb - thiab qhov tam sim no, raws li cov neeg tsim cai tswjfwm cuam tshuam nrog cov teebmeem ntawm COVID. -19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw, tuaj yeem yog qhov tshwj xeeb.
Daim duab yog qhov nyuaj, ib feem, los ntawm keeb kwm kev lag luam muaj txiaj ntsig zoo (saib daim ntawv qhia hauv qab), nws tau hais tias, ceeb toom tias kev lag luam tseem tsis tau hloov kho rau nws qhov kev tshem tawm thaum kawg.
Morgan Stanley Kev Tswj Nyiaj Txiag
Thaum cov paj laum tau pib xav txog Fed cov lus qhia ntawm tus nqi nce xyoo no, qhov ntawd tsis yog tag nrho zaj dab neeg. Daim duab saum toj no qhia tau hais tias Goldman Sachs Nyiaj Txiag Cov Txheej Txheem Index - kev nyeem ntawv siab dua txhais tau tias muaj kev nruj dua. Qhov ntsuas qhia tau hais tias kev ua lag luam muaj peev xwm tseem nyob ze nws qib zoo tshaj plaws hauv peb lub xyoo caum, kwv yees li peb qhov kev sib txawv hauv qab qhov nruab nrab ntawm kev lag luam yav dhau los.
Archive: Ntau npaum li cas ntawm cov khoom lag luam nce siab vim QE? Nov yog qhov kwv yees
"Qhov tseem ceeb, txawm hais tias qee qhov sib cav tias Fed txoj cai pivot rau cov paj laum siab dua yog tus nqi rau hauv kev lag luam nyiaj txiag, peb tsis pom zoo," nws sau. "Cov nqi tam sim no tuaj yeem cuam tshuam txog Fed cov lus qhia raws li nws sawv, tab sis kev sib tw tseem tsis tau xaus thiab cov nyiaj txiag tseem nyob ze rau qib siab tshaj plaws hauv keeb kwm. Peb ntshai tias qhov nyiaj txaus txaus no tuaj yeem npog qhov kev pheej hmoo nce ntxiv vim muaj ntau yam kev cuam tshuam, suav nrog kev ua ntawm lwm lub tsev txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab, tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau Fed txoj cai. "
Nws tsuas yog thaum cov nqi pib nce thiab Fed muab cov lus qhia ntxaws ntxiv ntawm nws cov phiaj xwm txo qis nws daim ntawv tshuav nyiaj li cas uas cov khoom lag luam yuav "zoo dua xav txog qhov tseeb tshiab," Shalett tau sau, sib cav tias, lub sijhawm no, cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum tau npaj rau ib puag ncig. uas nyiam khaws cov khoom lag luam nrog kev tsom mus rau "kev tiv thaiv thiab kev sib tw nrog cov khoom zoo thiab tsis muaj nqis peev nyiaj txiag."
Xav paub: Crypto zoo li hydrogen, tus kws tshaj lij ntawm JPMorgan hais tias, nrog rau kev ntsuas ob qho tib si ua ntej ntawm kev muaj tiag
Cov khoom lag luam tawm tsam rau kev taw qhia hnub Monday kev sib tham tom qab S&P 500 thiab Nasdaq rau hnub Friday tau teev lawv qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws txhua lub lim tiam txij li lub Kaum Ob Hlis. Cov txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb tau hloov pauv ntawm qhov nce me me thiab poob ua ntej xaus ntawm daim ntawv muag muag, nrog Dow Jones Industrial Average
DJIA,
clinging nce ntawm tsuas yog 1 taw tes, thaum S&P poob 0.4% thiab Nasdaq muab 0.6%.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/stock-market-bounce-why-it-may-be-too-soon-to-go-all-in-on-buying-the-dip-11644261088? siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo