(Bloomberg) - Spiraling poob ntawm Phab ntsa Street tam sim no snowballing mus rau hauv kev yuam cov cuab tam, raws li Bank of America Corp. cov tswv yim.
Feem ntau Nyeem los ntawm Bloomberg
NYSE Composite Index, uas suav nrog Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam, cov ntawv txais nyiaj tso nyiaj thiab kev nqis peev hauv vaj tse, tau tawg ntau qib kev txhawb nqa suav nrog nws 200-lub lim tiam txav nruab nrab, 14,000 cim, nrog rau 2018 thiab 2020 siab. Tam sim no cov nyiaj poob qis tuaj yeem yuam cov nyiaj los muag cov khoom muaj nqis ntxiv kom nce nyiaj ntsuab, ua kom nrawm rau kev muag khoom, raws li Bank of America.
NYEEM: S&P 500 Lub Taub Hau rau Peb Lub Hlis Milestone Xeem Pom Thaum Ntxov 2009
Qhov "zoo tshaj plaws Wall Street barometer" tab tom tawg, cov kws tshaj lij coj los ntawm Michael Hartnett tau sau rau hauv tsab ntawv rau hnub Thursday, ua kom muaj kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo kom txog thaum muaj kev ntshai muag ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam hauv tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab.
Lub S&P 500 Index tau mus rau nws lub quarter ncaj ntawm kev poob thawj zaug txij li xyoo 2009 thiab Nasdaq 100 Tshuag Index thawj zaug hauv 20 xyoo, nrog cov tub ua lag luam bracing rau qhov mob ntxiv. Cov khoom lag luam tau poob qis thaum muaj kev txhawj xeeb tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav cuam tshuam kev lag luam mus rau kev lag luam poob qis thaum nruj txoj cai, hnyav ntawm cov nyiaj tau los hauv cov txheej txheem.
Hartnett tau hais tias "Kev lag luam nres tsis txaus ntshai thaum lub tsev txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab pib ntshai," ntxiv tias nws cia siab tias S&P 500 yuav poob mus rau 3,333, yuam kom muaj "kev ceeb ntshai" tej zaum nyob ib puag ncig G20 lub rooj sib tham thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Nws kwv yees qhov kev sib tw sib npaug tom qab ntawd, tab sis hais tias Asmeskas kev lag luam yuav tsis ncav cuag "loj qis" kom txog rau thaum thawj peb lub hlis twg ntawm xyoo tom ntej, thaum muaj kev lag luam poob qis thiab qiv nyiaj yuav ua rau muaj kev poob siab, nyiaj daus las thiab Fed's hawkishness. .
BofA cov kws tshaj lij tau hais tias "tom" rau hauv S&P 500 ntawm 3,300 qib - txog 9% poob qis los ntawm qhov kawg kaw, "nibble" ntawm 3,600 thiab "gorge" ntawm 3,000. Hartnett thiab nws pab neeg tau hais ntxiv tias qhov poob ntawm 20% qis dua 200-hnub tsiv nruab nrab yog qhov zoo nkag mus rau hauv cov khoom lag luam hauv 100 xyoo dhau los.
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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bofa-strategists-see-wall-street-105835434.html