Blue Jays 'Jose Berrios tau ua phem dua li nws cov lej yuav qhia

Nyob rau lub asthiv tsis ntev los no hauv qhov chaw no, kuv tau nthuav tawm kuv qhov MLB Qhov Zoo Tshaj Plaws txhua xyoo. Nyem mus saib cov lus qhia tshwj xeeb ntawm kev hloov pauv, curveballs, cov cutters / splitters, plaub-seam fastballs, cov dab dej thiab zawv zawg. Lawv mam li muab ua ke los tsim 2021 Pitcher Qib-Point Nruab Nrab. Tam sim no, peb tab tom yuav khawb me ntsis tob rau hauv qee qhov xav tsis thoob 2021 GPAs, thiab suav nrog 2022 cov txiaj ntsig los ua qee qhov kev soj ntsuam txog yav tom ntej rau cov pitchers xaiv.

Tej zaum nws yuav xav tsis thoob me ntsis kom pom Jose Berrios hauv 3rd quartile ntawm MLB pib hauv kuv Qib-Point Nruab Nrab tsab xov xwm lub lim tiam dhau los. Nws yog ib qho khoom plig tau txais txiaj ntsig ntawm 2021 hnub kawg ntawm kev lag luam, txav los ntawm Twins mus rau Blue Jays thiab kos npe sai sai rau 7-xyoo, $ 131M txuas ntxiv uas ua rau nws nyob hauv Toronto txog 2028 thiab txawm muab nws xaiv tawm ntawm txoj kev. . Txawm hais tias kuv txoj kev ntsuam xyuas pob-raws li kev ntaus pob tsis tau ntsuas nws ntau npaum li cov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb, nws 86 "Tru" ERA- tsis deb dhau ntawm nws 80 ERA- thiab 81 FIP-.

Berrios yog ib tug ntawm cov hurlers uas nws GPA tsis tau synch nrog nws lwm metrics. Nws tau txheeb xyuas ntawm 2.71, tsis muaj ib qho saum toj kawg nkaus muab. Hauv xyoo 2021, nws cuam tshuam nws txoj kev nkhaus (30.5% tus nqi siv), sinker (29.6%) thiab plaub-seamer (26.7%) feem ntau, thiab tau txais "C +", "B" thiab "C +" qib, feem, rau cov pitches. , Nws qhov kev hloov pauv yog nws qhov pom meej thib plaub (13.2% tus nqi siv), thiab tau txais qib "B".

Thaum "Tru" ERA- thiab nws "Tru" Pitching Runs Above Average (TPRAA) counterpart yog qhov kuv siv los ntsuas qhov kev ua tau zoo ntawm pitcher, GPAs yog ib qho cuab yeej tshawb nrhiav uas kuv siv los ntsuas cov khoom siv, thiab qhov project qhov twg lub pitcher yuav tau mus. Qhov nruab nrab 2021 GPA tsis zoo rau Berrios, thiab raws li peb yuav pom, 2022 tsis tau ua siab zoo.

Qhov kev sib tw me me no yog ib qho tshiab rau Berrios - nws lub dab dej tau txais qib "A" hauv ob qho tib si 2018 thiab 2020, thiab ob lub dab dej thiab plaub-seamer tau txais qib "B +" hauv 2019. Lub sinker tau zoo tshaj qhov nruab nrab ntawm ob qho tib si kev sib cuag. kev tswj hwm thiab tus puav-tsis pom kev pom nyob rau hauv ob qho tib si ntawm "A"-qib lub caij, thiab plaub-seamer flashed ib qho siab tshaj qhov nruab nrab whiff tus nqi hauv 2019. Tej zaum qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws ntawm Berrios '2021 phiaj los nqis tes yog tias tsis muaj qhov no, suav nrog nws. yav tas los impressive fastballs, tau siab tshaj qhov nruab nrab ntawm ob qho kev qhuab qhia tseem ceeb.

Hauv xyoo 2021, nws qhov "B" hloov pauv tau tshaj tawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 77 Kho Cov qhab nias sib cuag thiab qis dua qhov nruab nrab 12.2% whiff tus nqi. Nws "C +" nkhaus tau tshaj tawm qis dua qhov nruab nrab 116 Kho Cov qhab nias sib cuag thiab qhov nruab nrab ntawm 14.1% whiff tus nqi. Nws "C +" plaub-seamer tau tshaj tawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 129 Kho Tus Kheej Tus Kheej thiab 8.3% whiff tus nqi, thiab nws "B" sinker tau tshaj tawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm 89 Kho Cov qhab nias sib cuag thiab 6.4% whiff tus nqi. Tsis muaj dab tsi saum nruab nrab, nyob qhov twg.

Thiab xyoo no, nws qhov kev ua tau zoo ntawm qhov chaw nruab nrab yog qhov hnyav dua thaum koj pib tev qee cov khaubncaws sab nraud povtseg. Nws tag nrho viav vias-thiab-nco tus nqi yog txoj kev nqis mus rau 8.4% - nws yog 11.6% tsis ntev los no xyoo 2020. Nws tus K tus nqi poob qis, nws lub npas ya thiab cov kab hluav taws xob tau nce, nws qhov pop up tus nqi poob qis……. tsis muaj qhov zoo. Thiab thaum koj kho qhov kev tawm mus ceev thiab tso lub kaum sab xis thiab ua rau nws poob rau ntawm qib suab-los-pitch, tej yam ua phem heev.

Raws li cov khoom sawv niaj hnub no, Berrios muaj peb qhov "F" thiab "C +". Qhov ntawd tsis yog misprint. Qhov "C +" nkhaus yog qhov "ci". Nws cov qib tag nrho tsis hloov pauv txij li xyoo 2021, nrog rau nws cov qhab nias hloov pauv tau txhim kho me ntsis (los ntawm 116 txog 103) thiab nws tus nqi qis qis me ntsis (los ntawm 14.1% mus rau 12.3%).

Qhov kev hloov pauv tseem yog nws qhov kev siv tsawg tshaj plaws, thiab txawm hais tias nws tus nqi qis tsis tau hloov pauv ntau (txog 12.2% mus rau 11.3%), nws cov qhab nias hloov kho yog los ntawm lub ru tsev (los ntawm 77 txog 178), tau txais qib "F". Qhov ntawd yog qhov tsawg kawg ntawm nws qhov kev txhawj xeeb.

Ob lub fastballs raug ntaus hnyav heev. Nws cuam tshuam nws plaub-seamer heev me ntsis ntxiv, ntawm tus nqi ntawm lub dab dej. Nws tus nqi sib tw zoo li tsis hloov pauv, nqis los ntawm 8.4% mus rau 8.3%, tab sis nws cov khoom siv pob batted yog qhov tsis zoo. Nws tsuas yog ntxias 3 pop ups nrog lub suab (tawm ntawm 38 pob batted), thiab 12 ntawm 16 lub npas ya nws tau tso cai tau ntaus ntawm 95 MPH lossis siab dua. Toss rau hauv ib lub suab tshwj xeeb 34.2% liner thiab 15.8% grounder tus nqi thiab koj tau txais lub tswv yim. Nws yog qhov kev tsis txaus siab, uas muaj qhov ua phem 217 Kho Cov qhab nia sib cuag.

Qhov xwm txheej sinker tej zaum yuav phem dua. Pib nrog 1.8% swing-and-miss tus nqi. Kuv yeej tsis tau pom tus nqi qis npaum li ntawd, txawm yog tus dab dej. Toss nyob rau hauv ib tug mere 37.5% grounder tus nqi thiab peb ntxiv 100 mph + ya npas, thiab nws 146 Kho Cov qhab nias tsis pab qhov ua rau.

Muaj hmoo rau Berrios, qhov no yog txhua yam tshwm sim hauv ib puag ncig uas lub pob tsis nqa deb li lub caij dhau los, txawm tias yog vim li cas lossis yog vim li cas. Qhov nrawm ntawm tag nrho nws cov pitches yog roughly unchanged los ntawm lub caij dhau los thiab nyob ze rau kev ua haujlwm siab.

Berrios tau yooj yim dua los pom thiab chim siab hauv 2021-22, thiab nws cov lus txib hauv thaj tsam tawm tsam tau dhau los ua qhov tsis sib xws. Tsis muaj txoj hauv kev uas nws yog qhov phem no, thiab cov qauv loj me me, tab sis nco ntsoov - tam sim no, nws yog cov khoom siv phem dua nws cov lej. Hauv kev sib tw AL East, nws yuav tsum xam nws tawm ntawm ya mus kom Blue Jays ntawm lossis ze rau pem hauv ntej ntawm kev sib tw.