Billionaire investor Bill Gross mloog thaum lub sij hawm Milken Institute Ntiaj Teb Kev Sib Tham hauv Beverly Hills, California, Asmeskas, Tsib Hlis 3, 2017.
Lucy Nicholson | Xov Xwm Reuters
Bill Gross, ib lub sijhawm hu ua vajntxwv daim ntawv cog lus uas tau tsim tsa cov nyiaj tau los ruaj khov loj Pimco, tau hais tias nws pom qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm stagflation hauv kev lag luam thiab nws yuav tsis yuav cov khoom lag luam hnyav tam sim no.
Tus neeg ua lag luam muaj hnub nyoog 77 xyoo ntseeg hais tias txawm hais tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yog lub hom phiaj los tawm tsam kev nce nqi nce ntxiv, nws tseem ntshai tias kev nce nqi ntau dhau tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev poob qis rau cov khoom vaj khoom tsev, ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov hauv kev lag luam nyiaj txiag.
"Kuv xav tias lawv tau raug kaw ntawm qhov lawv tuaj yeem ua tau, lawv tau qis heev. Thiab kev nce nqi tam sim no yog siab heev nyob rau hauv keeb kwm uas nws yuav nyuaj nce cov paj laum ntau dhau, "Gross tau hais rau hnub Thursday ntawm CNBC's "Kev Sib Tw Ntiaj Teb" hauv kev xam phaj nrog Brian Sullivan.
"Thiab kuv hais tias tsuas yog los ntawm qhov kev xav ntawm qhov kev xav tiag tiag uas lub khw lag luam tau tsav, ib feem, tej zaum 30% mus rau 40%, los ntawm cov paj laum qis, thiab tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov paj paj qis dua. Thiab rau qhov uas koj tam sim no nce lawv txawm tias los ntawm 50, mus rau 100 mus rau 150 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus ... muaj kev cuam tshuam tseem ceeb ntawm cov cuab tam nyiaj txiag, cov khoom lag luam tshwj xeeb, vim tias cov paj laum txo, cov nyiaj tau los tom ntej. Yog li kuv xav tias lawv yuav tsum tau ceev faj heev, "nws hais.
Yog tias lub tsev txhab nyiaj hauv ntiaj teb tau daig hauv ntiaj teb cov paj laum qis, uas tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev nce nqi pheej yig nrog rau kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb qeeb, ib puag ncig dubbed stagflation, Gross tau hais.
“Tej zaum nws txhais tau tias stagflation. Thiab, koj paub, kev nce nqi siab dua 3% mus rau 4% rau qee lub sijhawm tam sim no, "nws hais.
Cov neeg siv khoom tus nqi tau nce 7.5% los ntawm ib xyoos dhau los nyob rau lub Ib Hlis, thiab Fed qhov kev ntsuas kev nce nqi tau pom tau pom nws qhov loj tshaj 12 lub hlis nce txij li xyoo 1983.
Fed Thawj Tswj Hwm Jerome Powell tau hais rau hnub Wednesday tias nws tseem pom ntau lub quarter-feem pua cov ntsiab lus nce ntxiv tuaj, tab sis tau sau tseg tias kev ua tsov rog Russia-Ukraine tau txhaj tshuaj tsis meej rau qhov kev pom.
Kev lag luam tau tag nrho cov nqi nce ntawm lub Peb Hlis 15-16 lub rooj sib tham tab sis tau txo qhov kev cia siab rau lub xyoo tas los txij li kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv Ukraine tau pib, raws li CME Group cov ntaub ntawv.
Cov tub luam tam sim no tus nqi nyob rau hauv tsib lub quarter-feem pua cov ntsiab lus nce ntxiv uas yuav ua rau cov txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb ntawm tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los ntawm nws qhov tam sim no ntawm 0%-0.25% mus rau 1.25%-1.5%.
Gross tau hais tias nws xaiv los ua tus neeg khaws khoom ceev faj, ntxiv tias nws tuav kev txaus siab hauv cov kav dej, kev sib koom tes uas tsis muaj se.
“Kuv yuav tsis yog tus yuav khoom ntawm no. Kuv tsuas yog ib tus neeg ua lag luam ceev faj," Gross hais. "Muaj txoj hauv kev nyob ib puag ncig qhov no hais txog kev tau txais txiaj ntsig zoo yam tsis tau yuav cov khoom lag luam thiab ua qhov kev pheej hmoo ncaj ncees, lossis muag daim ntawv cog lus, uas peb pom nyob rau ob peb lub lis piam dhau los muaj kev pheej hmoo tseem ceeb thiab."
Gross rau hnub Thursday tau tshaj tawm nws zaj dab neeg "Kuv Tseem Nyob: Bond King Bill Gross thiab PIMCO Express." Tus neeg ua lag luam tau tswj hwm Pimco's Total Return Fund ua ntej tawm mus koom Janus Henderson hauv 2014.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/03/03/bill-gross-sees-possibility-of-stagflation-says-he-wouldnt-be-a-buyer-of-stocks-here.html