Txawm tias tom qab lub Ib Hlis Ntuj rau Phab Ntsa Street, nws yuav ua rau Asmeskas kev lag luam poob rau hauv kev lag luam nyiaj txiag ua ntej S&P 500 qhov kev pheej hmoo nkag mus rau lub lag luam dais, raws li Oxford Economics.
"Kev sib npaug yog flirting nrog kho thaj chaw. Peb xav tias qhov kev poob qis no yuav muaj me ntsis ntxiv mus raws li cov tub ua lag luam sib tw nrog ntau dua hawkish Fed thiab cov nyiaj tau los qeeb qeeb, "said David Grosvenor, tus thawj coj ntawm macro zoo ntawm kev tshawb fawb kev lag luam thiab kev lag luam, hauv tsab ntawv hnub Monday.
"Txawm li cas los xij, peb tsis xav tias nws yog qhov pib ntawm lub lag luam dais tshiab thiab peb nyob qis qis ntawm cov khoom lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tshaj peb txoj kev sib tw, txawm hais tias nrog ib tus txheeb ze qis dua ntawm kev loj hlob-hnyav US lag luam."
Tus nqi-sensitive Nasdaq Composite Index
COMP,
twb tau nkag mus rau qhov kho thaj chaw nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Ib Hlis, tom qab kaw tsawg kawg 10% hauv qab nws cov ntaub ntawv lub Kaum Ib Hlis tiav, thaum lub sij hawm me me-capitalization Russell 2000 index.
ROV,
Lub lim tiam dhau los poob rau hauv kev lag luam dais, txhais tau tias yog lub caij nplooj zeeg tsawg kawg 20% los ntawm qhov siab tshaj plaws tsis ntev los no.
Lub S&P 500
SPX,
kuj tau siv ob peb zaug nyob rau lub Ib Hlis lig kev lag luam hauv qab nws qhov kev kho theem ntawm 4,316.905 intraday, tab sis zam kev kaw hauv qab lub cim tseem ceeb. Kev sib tw rau cov khoom lag luam rau hnub Monday, nrog S&P 500 lub zog 1.9% siab dua, muab qhov kev ncua deb ntxiv ntawm nws thiab kho qhov av.
Dab tsi ntxiv, thaum kev lag luam tsis nyob rau hauv kev lag luam poob qis, kev kho keeb kwm rau S&P 500 tau txhais tau tias qhov nruab nrab poob qis ntawm 15.4% (saib daim duab), nrog "tsawg heev ua rau dais lag luam," raws li Grosvenor.
S&P 500 tsis tshua muaj poob rau hauv lub lag luam dais sab nraum kev lag luam
Oxford Kev Lag Luam
"Vim tias kev lag luam poob qis zoo li tsis zoo nyob rau lub sijhawm no, nrog kev kwv yees kev loj hlob thoob ntiaj teb kom nyob twj ywm siab dua xyoo no, peb pom qhov nruab nrab qis dua li cov lus qhia muaj txiaj ntsig zoo rau qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm qhov poob qis."
Cov ntawv txheeb xyuas cov tuam txhab kuj tseem tshwm sim nyob rau hauv "zoo dua li ua ntej muaj kev sib kis," raws li Grosvenor, uas tseem tau sau tseg tias cov tuam txhab loj tuav cov nyiaj ntsuab loj thiab tau thawb tawm lawv cov nuj nqis kom loj hlob hauv ob xyoos dhau los ntawm tus nqi qis heev. Txhua yam uas ua rau kev ua tsis raug cai thiab kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev lag luam tsis tshua muaj qhov tsis muaj "kev nruj nruj" nruj ntawm cov nyiaj txiag los yog "kev poob qis."
saib: Yuav ua li cas los ntawm kev lag luam nyob rau hauv rau lub lis piam tom ntej, ua ntej Federal Reserve revamps nws yooj yim-nyiaj stance
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/bears-beware-past-corrections-for-the-sp-500-are-only-15-on-average-outside-of-recessions-11643664801?siteid= yhoof2&yptr=yahoo