(Bloomberg) - Raws li puas tau, kev lag luam nrawm nrawm tau nthuav tawm cov kev xav txog seb qhov kev txav mus los yuav kav ntev npaum li cas. Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam kab ntawv, paub tias tsis muaj kev sib sau ua ke tau muaj txoj sia nyob rau xyoo no qhov kev poob qis, feem ntau xav tias qhov no muaj chaw seem rau khiav.
Feem ntau Nyeem los ntawm Bloomberg
Hnub Monday qhov nce 2.6% hauv S&P 500 yog qhov dav dav: 486 ntawm nws cov tswv cuab tau txais. Qhov no yog ib qho metric Eric Johnston, tus thawj coj ntawm kev ncaj ncees derivatives thiab cross asset ntawm Cantor Fitzgerald, nyiam taug qab vim nws qhov tseem ceeb rau kev ua lag luam yav tom ntej.
"Thaum tus naj npawb ntawm cov neeg nce qib yog qhov dav-raws li no, nws qhia tau tias muaj kev nce siab ntxiv," nws sau ntawv rau cov neeg siv khoom. "Thiab thaum qhov no tshwm sim, kev rov qab los tom ntej muaj zog heev."
Cov kws tshaj lij ntawm Bespoke Investment Group tau taw qhia rau tib qhov kev ntsuas, hais tias kev lag luam dais yuav xaus nrog cov hnub loj loj xws li hnub Monday, nrog qhov nruab nrab ntawm kev txav mus los feem ntau yog siab dua 4%.
S&P 500 txuas ntxiv nws qhov kev ua ntej rau hnub thib ob, nce ntau npaum li 3% rau hnub Tuesday vim tias cov tub ua lag luam tau twv qhov kawg ntawm kev txwv nyiaj txiag tuaj yeem tuaj sai dua li qhov kev kwv yees yav dhau los. Qhov kev cia siab ntawd tau loj hlob tom qab Reserve Bank of Australia tau nce nqi los ntawm ib nrab ntau npaum li qhov tau xav tau.
"Cov neeg lag luam tab tom nrhiav rau ib qho kev kos npe uas lawv tuaj yeem pom tias cov tsev txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab yuav yooj yim rau lawv cov voj voog nruj," Lauren Goodwin, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag thiab tus kws tshaj lij ntawm New York Life Investments, tau hais hauv xov tooj.
Tab sis tej zaum nws tsuas yog tias hnub Monday qhov rov qab los yog rov qab los ntawm cov txheej txheem kev muag khoom?
Qhov kev nce siab thaum pib ntawm lub lim tiam tuaj txog ntawm cov qib muag muag rau tag nrho peb qhov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb - S&P, Dow Jones Industrial Nruab Nrab thiab Nasdaq - nrog rau txhua lub sijhawm txheeb xyuas lub zog nyeem nyob rau nruab nrab-20s. Qhov ntawd, thiab qhov tseeb tias lub Cuaj Hlis tau ua phem heev, yog "qhov pom tseeb tshaj plaws" vim li cas cov khoom lag luam tau sib sau ua ke, raws li Art Hogan, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam ntawm B. Riley.
"Txawm hais tias peb tsis paub yog tias qhov no yog kev sib tw dais-kev lag luam lossis ib yam dab tsi tseem ceeb tsuas yog ua tiav tom qab pom," nws hais hauv kev xam phaj.
Tom qab qhov tseeb, "txhua tus neeg tuaj yeem hais tau, qhov ntawd yog qhov hauv qab thiab nws tau pom tseeb heev thiab ntawm no yog tag nrho cov laj thawj," nws hais. Tab sis qhov kev qhia tiag tiag yuav yog cov xov xwm tsawg dua thiab cov xov xwm tseem ceeb - zoo li hnub Monday kev tsim khoom hauv Asmeskas. "Yog tias koj pib pom kev nce nqi nce nqi nce ntxiv, ces muaj caij nyoog uas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau txais rau lawv cov nqi davhlau ya nyob twg sai dua thiab nws qis dua."
Cov tub ua lag luam tau cuam tshuam nrog ntau qhov kev dag ntxias, nrog cov khoom lag luam sib sau ua ke thaum lub caij ntuj sov tsuas yog ntsuas qis ntawm lub xyoo hauv lub Cuaj Hli. Nrog rau qhov qis qis tshiab, ob peb tus tuaj yeem hais nrog kev ntseeg tiag tiag txawm tias lub lim tiam no bounce yog qhov tiag tiag.
Piv txwv li hnub Wednesday dhau los, pom S&P 500 ntxiv 2% nrog 486 cov tswv cuab tau txais. Hnub tom qab, cov khoom lag luam poob ntau dua 2%. Cov lus nug nyob rau lub lim tiam no yog "txawm tias peb yuav pom qhov kev hloov pauv tam sim no los ntawm lub sijhawm no," sau Frank Cappelleri ntawm CappThesis hauv ib daim ntawv. "Nrog rau hnub Wednesday dhau los qhov kev mob siab rau tag nrho rau hnub tom ntej, txoj kev xav thoob ntiaj teb tsis muaj kev ntseeg siab ntau."
Tseem, hnub Monday lub rip siab dua muaj qhov txawv txav rau nws, nws hais. Rau ib qho, ntau lub npe raug ntaus tsis tau ua ntej, txawm hais tias ntau tus thawj coj ntawm pawg tau ua thawj coj txhua xyoo.
Nws tau sau tias "Thaum qhov ntawd yog qhov piv txwv me me, nws qhia peb tias qhov kev thov tseem nyob ib puag ncig rau thaj chaw uas tau raug ntaus tsis ntev los no tab sis tseem nyob rau lub sijhawm ntev mus," nws sau. "Kev sib tw uas ntev tshaj li ib hnub lossis ob hnub xav tau ob tog kom nrawm nrawm nrawm."
Feem ntau Nyeem los ntawm Bloomberg Businessweek
© 2022 Bloomberg LP
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bear-bounce-something-big-surging-162027374.html