Nyob ze ntawm qhov cim ib nrab hauv lub xyoo tsis hloov pauv ntawm kev ua lag luam, S&P 500 Performance index poob qis, tab sis tsis tau tawm mus rau qhov chaw ntawm kev lag luam dais tseem.
Raws li cov ntsiab lus dav dav, lub lag luam dais tshwm sim thaum lub lag luam lossis kev ruaj ntseg poob qis 20% lossis ntau dua los ntawm qhov siab tsis ntev los no. S&P 500
SPX,
yog tawm 13.5% los ntawm lub Ib Hlis siab ntawm 4,796, uas tam sim no, tsuas yog txhais tau tias kho thaj chaw, feem ntau txhais tau tias yog 10% poob los ntawm qhov siab tsis ntev los no. Lub battered Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
lub caij no, tam sim no poob 23% los ntawm lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2021 siab.
Txawm li cas los xij, qhov kev sib cav ntawm S&P dais kev lag luam tab tom npau taws, nrog qee tus kws tshaj lij thiab cov neeg soj ntsuam hais tias S&P 500 tau nrov nrov zoo li lub lag luam dais yuav tsum. Wall Street cov tsev txhab nyiaj zoo li Morgan Stanley tau hais lub khw tau ze rau qhov ntawd.
Tab sis yog tias S&P 500 officially nkag mus rau dais lub lair, Bank of America cov tswv yim coj los ntawm Michael Hartnett, tau suav tias qhov mob yuav kav ntev npaum li cas. Saib ntawm keeb kwm ntawm 19 dais kev lag luam hauv 140 xyoo dhau los, lawv pom qhov nruab nrab tus nqi poob yog 37.3% thiab lub sijhawm nruab nrab ntawm 289 hnub.
Thaum "kev ua tau zoo dhau los tsis muaj kev qhia rau kev ua haujlwm yav tom ntej," Hartnett thiab pab pawg hais tias kev lag luam dais tam sim no yuav xaus rau Lub Kaum Hli 19 ntawm lub xyoo no, nrog S&P 500 ntawm 3,000 thiab Nasdaq Composite ntawm 10,000. Tshawb xyuas lawv daim ntawv qhia hauv qab no:
Kev Tshawb Fawb Thoob Ntiaj Teb BofA
Qhov "xov xwm zoo," yog tias ntau cov khoom lag luam twb tau mus txog qhov no. nrog 49% ntawm Nasdaq cov neeg koom nrog ntau dua 50% hauv qab lawv 52-lub lim tiam siab, thiab 58% ntawm Nasdaq ntau dua 37.3% nqis, nrog 77% ntawm qhov ntsuas hauv khw dais. Xov xwm zoo ntxiv? "Cov lag luam dais tau nrawm dua li cov khw muag nyuj," hais tias cov kws tshaj lij.
Lub tsev txhab nyiaj cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm txhua lub limtiam tshaj tawm rau hnub Friday, qhia ntxiv $ 3.4 nphom los ntawm cov khoom lag luam, $ 9.1 nphom los ntawm cov ntawv cog lus thiab $ 14 billion los ntawm cov nyiaj ntsuab. Lawv pom tias ntau qhov kev txav mus los no yog "kev pheej hmoo tawm" mus rau hauv lub rooj sib tham Federal Reserve tsis ntev los no.
thaum lub Fed nruj txoj cai raws li xav tau dua lub lim tiam no, tsis paub meej txog seb nws qhov kev coj ua tsis zoo dua li qhov kev ntseeg yav dhau los, nrog rau kev txhawj xeeb tias lub tuam txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab yuav tsis tuaj yeem nruj txoj cai yam tsis ua rau muaj kev lag luam poob qis, tshuav cov khoom lag luam poob qis rau hnub Thursday, nrog kev muag khoom ntau dua rau hnub Friday.
Cov tswv yim muab ib qhov tseeb kawg uas yuav ua rau cov tub ua lag luam muaj kev nplij siab. Hartnett thiab pab pawg tau sau tseg tias rau txhua $ 100 nqis peev hauv cov peev txheej hauv xyoo dhau los lossis yog li ntawd, tsuas yog $ 3 tau txhiv.
Ib yam nkaus li, $ 1.1 trillion uas tau ntws mus rau hauv cov peev txheej txij thaum Lub Ib Hlis 2021 muaj qhov nruab nrab nkag ntawm 4,274 ntawm S&P 500, txhais tau tias cov tub ua lag luam yog "hauv qab dej tab sis tsuas yog me ntsis," hais tias Hartnett thiab pab pawg.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/based-on-19-bear-markets-in-the-last-140-years-heres-where-the-current-downturn-may-end-says- bank-of-america-11651847842?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo