Cov kev cia siab tias cov paj laum yuav poob sai dua li yav tom ntej yuav poob siab, raws li CEO ntawm Bank of America, leej twg kwv yees daim duab yuav tsis pib poob rau tsawg kawg 12 lub hlis ntxiv.
Cov nqi tam sim no zaum ntawm 4.75% - nws tsis yog qhov siab no txij li xyoo 2007 - thiab tseem muaj cov neeg tawm tswv yim feem ntau xav tias Fed yuav nce tus nqi tsawg kawg ib zaug ntxiv rau xyoo no.
Brian Moynihan, tus thawj coj ntawm BofA, cia siab tias cov qib tsuas yog poob qis hauv peb lub hlis twg ntawm xyoo tom ntej.
Hais lus ntawm Kev Tshawb Fawb Txog Nyiaj Txiag Lub rooj sib tham ua lag luam hauv Australia rau hnub Tuesday, Moynihan tau piav qhia tias: "Lawv yuav tsum tau tuav nws nyob ntawd ntev ntev vim hais tias ncaj ncees, kev ua lag luam tseem nruj heev, txawm hais tias koj tau hnov txog kev tawm haujlwm, thiab nyiaj txiag muaj zog, yog li ntawd. cov tuam txhab muaj kev nkag mus rau peev, txawm tias tus nqi siab dua. "
Nws los tom qab Moynihan tus npoj yaig thiab Wall Street tus kws tshaj lij Mike Wilson tau ceeb toom tias Fed yuav tsum tau nce nqi. mus rau "qhov mob" yog tias kev nce nqi yuav raug coj rov qab mus rau 2% xyoo-rau-xyoo lub hom phiaj kev loj hlob.
Moynihan tau tshaj tawm tias cov neeg siv khoom tam sim no tsis muaj kev cuam tshuam los ntawm tus nqi nce thiab qhov kev siv nyiaj tau nce ntxiv nyob rau lub Ib Hlis thiab Lub Ob Hlis.
Nws hais ntxiv tias cov neeg siv khoom tseem "muaj nyiaj hauv lawv cov nyiaj" uas tuaj yeem hloov pauv Fed caj npab mus rau hauv kev nqis tes ua.
"Peb lub hauv paus kev kwv yees yog rau kev lag luam kev lag luam tshwm sim hauv Asmeskas kev lag luam pib hauv peb lub hlis twg ntawm 2023, tshwm sim los ntawm lub quarter thib plaub ntawm 2023 thiab mus rau thawj peb lub hlis twg ntawm 2024," nws hais.
Kev lag luam yuav sib cog lus nruab nrab ntawm 0.5% thiab 1% txhua lub hlis twg, nws hais ntxiv, ua rau "kev lag luam me me hauv cov phiaj xwm".
Nws tau piav qhia tias qhov kev poob qis yuav mob me me uas "ntau tus neeg yuav tsis pom ntau npaum li ntawd", nws piav qhia, teeb tsa qhov teeb meem raws li "kev lag luam" kev lag luam tsis zoo li "kev poob qis".
Engineering ib qho nyuaj tsaws
Cov lus saum toj no yuav qhia tau tias Moynihan vam tias yuav muaj qhov hu ua 'muab tsaws' rau kev lag luam, txawm li cas los xij, lwm tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam tau hais tias qhov kev tsaws nyuaj yog qhov yuav tsum tau zam thiab tej zaum yuav xav tau kev tsim kho.
"Kuv xav tias Fed tsis muaj kev xaiv tab sis los tsim kev tsaws nyuaj," TD Securities tus kws tshaj lij Priya Misra hauv kev xam phaj nrog CNN hnub Monday.
"Kuv xav tias cov lus nug loj loj yog 'Puas yog cov ntaub ntawv muaj zog vim tias Fed tsis tau txwv txaus, lossis cov lags tsis tau ua haujlwm dhau los?' Peb nyob nraum lags saib. Kuv xav tias yog koj saib cov paj laum lawv tau txwv tsis pub, kuv yuav sib cav, thaum lub Kaum Ob Hlis xyoo tas los. Peb ob lub hlis tawm.
"Nws yuav siv sij hawm ib ntus -12 txog 18 lub hlis- rau qhov kev lag luam pib.
"Nws yuav nres qhov chaw ntawm 5.25% thiab 5.75%, tej zaum lawv yuav tsum tau nce siab me ntsis. Kuv xav tias qhov ua lag luam ua tiav yog saib rau cov ntaub ntawv muaj zog thiab xav tias peb yuav tsis muaj kev tsaws. "
Zaj dab neeg no yog thaum chiv keeb los Fortune.com
Ntau los ntawm Fortune:
Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/bank-america-ceo-predicts-most-160019029.html