Kev nce nqi saum ntuj-siab thiab muaj qhov tshwm sim tsis tu ncua ntawm tus kab mob khaub thuas avian yog tsav tus nqi los tsim qaib ntxhw xyoo no thaum hem cov khoom siv..
In Meeker County, Minnesota, thaum kawg lub Yim Hli, 180,000 qaib ntxhw kis tus kab mob khaub thuas avian yuav tsum raug tua.
Cov neeg ua liaj ua teb tau tsa cov noog rau Hormel's Jennie-O hom, lub teb chaws tus thib ob loj tshaj plaws qaib ntxhw tsum. Tus kab mob tshwm sim hauv cov zej zog nyob deb nroog, 70 mais sab hnub poob ntawm Minneapolis, tseem tab tom ua rau cov neeg tawg rog.
"Peb tau ua haujlwm hnyav heev," Hormel CEO Jim Snee tau hais thaum lub tuam txhab lub Cuaj Hlis 1 cov nyiaj tau los hu. "Tab sis, kom meej meej, qhov no tseem yog qhov teeb meem."
Xyoo no, tus mob khaub thuas tau tua 44 lab tus noog, suav nrog 4.5 lab qaib ntxhw, lossis 2.5% ntawm Asmeskas cov qaib ntxhw. Ua ke nrog kev nce nqi siab tshaj plaws hauv 40 xyoo, uas tau tsoo cov nqaij nqaij ntawm ob npaug ntawm tus nqi ntawm lwm cov khoom siv vim tias cov khoom noj khoom haus ntau dua thiab cov roj kim dua, cov kws tshuaj ntsuam kwv yees tias Thanksgiving yuav raug nqi ntau dua rau xyoo no vim tias cov khoom noj qaib ntxhw poob qis.
Tsoomfwv Meskas Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Liaj Ua Teb cov ntaub ntawv tsis ntev los no qhia tau hais tias "tseem ceeb" qis ntawm cov qaib ntxhw hauv qhov txias txias, raws li tus tswv lag luam peev Walter Kunish, uas taug qab kev lag luam rau HTS Cov Khoom Muag. Feem ntau cov qaib ntxhw noj ntawm Thanksgiving tau sau tag nrho lub xyoo thiab khov, uas yog ib qho laj thawj vim li cas tus kab mob kis mus rau yim hli ntev tau muaj kev cuam tshuam zoo li no. Nrog rau 2022 qaib ntxhw cov khoom lag luam kwv yees tawm ntau dua 4% piv nrog 2021, tag nrho 8- txog 16-phaus cov lag luam wholesale tus nqi yuav tsum nce 23% siab dua xyoo tas los.
"Nrog rau qhov nce ntawm cov nqi qaib ntxhw peb ntseeg tias qhov kev poob qis hauv kev noj mov thaum hnub so tuaj yeem tshwm sim," Kunish, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag qub rau USDA uas tau ua haujlwm ntawm cov nqaij ua haujlwm sab saum toj Cargill thiab Tyson Foods, hais. Forbes. "Tus kab mob no tau ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj rau cov khoom siv qaib ntxhw."
Tus nqi nruab nrab ntawm ib phaus rau qaib ntxhw ntawm cov khw muag khoom loj thiab lwm cov khw muag khoom tam sim no yog kwv yees li 60% siab dua piv rau xyoo tas los, lossis qis dua $ 3 ib phaus, raws li NielsenIQ cov ntaub ntawv, uas txheeb xyuas cov nqi thiab cov ntawv txais nyiaj thoob plaws feem ntau ntawm US cov khw muag khoom noj.
Carman Allison, tus lwm thawj coj thiab tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag ntawm NielsenIQ tau hais tias Cov nqaij yog ib qho ntawm cov "kev cuam tshuam loj tshaj plaws los ntawm kev nce nqi". Nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no, cov nqi nqaij tau nce qhov nruab nrab ntawm 12%, thaum tus nqi qaib ntxhw tau nce ntau dua - 14%.
Ib tus neeg ua haujlwm kuaj tus qauv rau tus mob khaub thuas avian, tus kab mob kis tau zoo heev uas tau tua txog 44 lab tus noog.
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Nyob rau xyoo tas los Thanksgiving, tus nqi qaib ntxhw tshiab tau 10% kim dua piv nrog xyoo 2020, thiab vim li ntawd, qaib ntxhw muag ib phaus poob los ntawm 6%. Allison tau hais tias "Nrog cov nqi txuas ntxiv nce ntxiv thiab kev hem thawj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom lag luam poob qis, peb tuaj yeem cia siab tias yuav muaj kev poob qis zoo li lub caij so hnub so," Allison tau hais. "Cov neeg yuav khoom tuaj yeem yuav lawv cov qaib ntxhw ua ntej yog tias nws muag lossis nrhiav cov khw muag khoom nrog tus nqi qis tshaj. Qee tus neeg yuav khoom kuj tseem yuav nrhiav lwm txoj hauv kev pheej yig dua, xws li nqaij qaib lossis qaib ntxhw mis, tsis yog tag nrho qaib ntxhw. "
Ntawm Hormel lub Cuaj Hlis 1 cov nyiaj tau los hu, Tus Thawj Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag Jacinth Smiley tau hais tias mob khaub thuas avian yuav txwv Jennie-O cov khoom noj rau Thanksgiving ntau npaum li 30% piv rau xyoo tas los.
Smiley tau hais tias "Kev lag luam qis dua cov khoom siv qaib ntxhw yuav tsum ua kom tus nqi siab dua nyob ze," Smiley tau hais.
Butterball, tus neeg muag khoom qaib ntxhw loj tshaj plaws hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas, yuav muaj me ntsis qaib cov txwv rau muag no Thanksgiving piv rau xyoo tas los. Avian khaub thuas tau tsoo ib nrab ntawm ib feem pua ntawm lub tuam txhab cov khoom cog lus. Hauv kev lag luam, Butterball tso nyiaj tsawg dua 3% ntawm tag nrho cov kev cuam tshuam.
Qhov laj thawj tseem ceeb yog thaj chaw. Jennie-O tau raug mob hnyav dua li Butterball ib feem vim tias feem ntau ntawm Jennie-O qhov kev tsim khoom yog nyob hauv Minnesota, uas yog nyob nruab nrab ntawm cov noog qus tsiv teb tsaws chaw. Qhov ntawd tau ua rau muaj kev sib kis. Butterball, txawm li cas los xij, feem ntau rub nws cov qaib ntxhw los ntawm Sab Qab Teb, nrog cov liaj teb feem ntau hauv North Carolina thiab ob peb ntu thoob plaws Missouri thiab Arkansas.
Butterball CEO Jay Jandrain tau hais tias "Muaj 97-ntxiv rau feem pua ntawm tag nrho cov kev lag luam uas yuav tsum tau nqus cov brunt ntawm qhov ntawd," said Butterball CEO Jay Jandrain. "Peb tau raug cuam tshuam tsawg heev, hais lus."
Ua liaj ua teb zoo li no hauv Erlanger, Kentucky, qhov twg qaib cov txwv tau ntim ze ua ke sab hauv tuaj yeem kis mob khaub thuas sai dua.
Yees duab © JEFF DEAN / AFP / Getty Images
Cov chaw tsim khoom muaj ntau thiab kaw cia yog qhov tseem ceeb uas ua rau muaj kev kis tus kabmob. Kev ntxhov siab vim muaj neeg coob coob kuj tau pab. Kev tshawb fawb luam tawm nyob rau lub Ob Hlis los ntawm cov neeg lag luam network Farm Animal Investment Risk & Return, lossis FAIRR, uas yog nyob rau hauv UK thiab txhawb nqa los ntawm $ 48 trillion hauv cov cuab tam, pom tias 63% ntawm lub ntiaj teb 60 cov nqaij, ntses thiab cov khoom noj mis nyuj loj tshaj plaws tsis yog. ua cov kauj ruam los tiv thaiv tus kabmob kis mus rau tom ntej los ntawm kev tsim tawm ntawm ib qho ntawm lawv cov liaj teb. Kab mob npaws tuaj yeem hloov mus rau tib neeg, thiab muaj ntau tus neeg mob xyoo no ntawm cov neeg ua haujlwm uas mob.
44 lab tus noog tua los ntawm tus mob khaub thuas xyoo no tau nrawm mus txog cov ntaub ntawv teev tseg hauv xyoo 2015, thaum 50 lab tus noog raug tua nyob rau hauv qhov loj tshaj plaws hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tus kab mob npaws uas tau sau tseg. Tom qab ntawd, tus kab mob no tau hlawv thaum lub caij ntuj sov thiab tsis rov qab los rau lub caij nplooj zeeg, yog li qhov cuam tshuam rau Thanksgiving thiab hnub so noog tau txwv.
Xyoo no, tom qab lub sijhawm luv luv los ntawm kev sib kis loj thaum ntxov lub caij ntuj sov no, cov neeg mob tau nrov nrov. Kwv yees li 3 lab tus noog, suav nrog cov qe-txheej thiab qaib, tau kis tus kab mob thiab tua kom deb li deb thaum lub Cuaj Hli ib leeg.
Feem ntau, cov noog uas muaj kab mob no raug tua los ntawm kev tua cov cua hauv cov tsev uas ntau txhiab nyob, ua rau cua sov thiab cia cov noog ua pa. Ntau cov qaib ntxhw tau kis tus kab mob khaub thuas ntau dua li qaib broiler, ib feem vim lawv siv sij hawm ntev dua thiab yog li lawv muaj sijhawm ntau los kis tus kab mob.
"Tus kab mob no tau ua rau muaj kev puas tsuaj rau cov khoom siv qaib ntxhw"
Cov neeg yuav khoom uas xav tau qee yam qaib ntxhw yuav tsum yuav ntxov, cov kws tshaj lij hais. Ib qho kev daws teeb meem rau Thanksgiving cooks yuav yog hloov cov chav kawm tseem ceeb. Thaum tus nqi rau cov nqaij feem ntau yog nce, qaib ntxhw qhov nce 14% yog ntau dua qhov nce hauv spiralized nqaij npua, uas yog 10%. Yog tias cov neeg ua koob tsheej tuag rau ntawm cov noog ib txwm muaj, txawm li cas los xij, American Turkey Federation tau hais tias tus nqi siab yuav raug muag los ntawm kev txo nqi uas cov khw muag khoom yuav siv los nyiam cov neeg yuav khoom hnub so, txawm tias cov khw muag khoom poob rau qaib ntxhw muag.
"Peb tseem cia siab tias yuav muaj cov kev pom zoo no," said American Turkey Federation Thawj Tswj Hwm Beth Breeding. “Nws tsis yooj yim ua neeg ua teb, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum muaj tej yam zoo li no tshwm sim. Kev ntxhov siab heev, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thaum koj nyob hauv thaj tsam ntawm ntau qhov xwm txheej. Lawv tau dhau los ntau heev. "
XAV PAUB NTAU LOS RAU FORBES
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.forbes.com/sites/chloesorvino/2022/09/13/high-turkey-prices-to-dominate-thanksgiving-2022/