Auto Production Wild Card Rau 2022 Raws li cov neeg muag khoom ntau tseem nyob deb

Lub tsheb thiab cov tsheb thauj khoom tau tawm ntawm cov kab sib dhos me ntsis sai dua li cov neeg tsim tsheb nrhiav kev daws teeb meem los daws qhov tsis txaus ntawm cov khoom siv hluav taws xob, tab sis cov neeg muag khoom feem ntau yuav raug kev txom nyem los ntawm qhov khoob zes rau ob peb lub hlis ntxiv raws li cov ntaub ntawv kev lag luam.

Muab pov rau hauv qhov zoo li tias nws pib thauj cov paj laum yuav nce thiab nws ntxiv rau tsis muaj kev pab rau cov neeg yuav khoom nrhiav kev xaiv txaus, lossis feem ntau cov tsheb tshiab, ntawm tus nqi pheej yig. Tseeb tiag, yog tias tus tsav tsheb caij tsheb tseem tuaj yeem ua haujlwm tau, nws yuav ua rau muaj kev txiav txim siab zaum tawm 2022 thiab tos kom cov khoom muag rov qab thiab tus nqi rov qab los ntawm kev ncav cuag rau ntau tus nqi xwb.

Kev ntxhov siab rau automakers thiab cov tswv lag luam yog qhov tseeb muaj tsuas yog tsis muaj tsheb txaus thiab cov tsheb thauj khoom muaj kom tau raws li qhov xav tau muaj zog heev. Hauv 2021 lub tsheb tshiab muag tsuas yog qis dua 15 lab units. Qhov ntawd yog kwv yees li 2 lab tsawg dua 2019 ua ntej qhov pib ntawm Covid-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw.

Nws tsis yog rau qhov tsis txaus siab los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom.

"Kev thov tseem muaj zog hauv khw thiab peb tuaj yeem pom kev muag khoom hauv 17 lab chav tsev (rau 2022). Yog li feem ntau yuav yog tias tsheb thauj khoom tuaj tos peb yuav pom kev rov qab los ntawm kev muag khoom ua ntej rov qab los hauv cov khoom muag, "said Kevin Roberts, Tus Thawj Coj ntawm Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Tshawb Fawb thiab Kev Tshawb Fawb rau tsheb yuav khoom thiab tshawb fawb qhov chaw CarGurus.com
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nyob rau hauv kev sib tham.

Raws li National Auto Dealers Association cov khoom lag luam nyob rau thaum xaus lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2021 tag nrho 1.12 lab units, nce 7.4% piv rau thaum kawg lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2021, tab sis poob 59.1% piv rau thaum xaus lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2020 tag nrho ntawm 2.75 lab units.

Kev tshuaj xyuas los ntawm Cox Automotive teeb tsa cov khoom lag luam tsis txaus nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm cov hnub muab khoom ntawm cov neeg muag khoom ntau lossis hauv kev thauj mus los - 60 hnub thaum pib xyoo 2021 poob qis rau tsawg dua 40 los ntawm Xyoo Tshiab Eve.

Txawm li cas los xij, raws li automakers sim nrhiav cov peev txheej tshiab ntawm semiconductor chips thiab lwm yam kev txiav txim siab yuav ua li cas kov yeej cov khoom lag luam tag nrho cov khoom lag luam qeeb qeeb zuj zus. Tab sis rov qab mus rau qib ib txwm muaj yuav yog ib qho kev mus ncig ua si raws li Charlie Chesbrough, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag laus ntawm Cox Automotive.

"Yog tias kev xa khoom rau tus tswv lag luam qeeb qeeb thiab loj hlob ntawm tsuas yog 1% mus rau 2% tus nqi txhua lub hlis mus txog rau xyoo ... tom qab ntawd kev lag luam tau mus rau xyoo tsis zoo dua li xyoo 2021," Chesbrough tau hais thaum lub sijhawm sib tham hauv online. "yog tias cov khoom siv rov tsim dua sai dua, txhua hli nce 3% lossis 4% dhau xyoo ... peb yuav muaj xyoo zoo dua."

Kevin Roberts ntawm CarGurus kwv yees qhov qeeb, tab sis kev txhim kho ruaj khov, muab "Nws yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua hauv Q1, nws yuav zoo dua hauv Q2, zoo dua hauv Q3. Ntau qhov kev kwv yees kuv tau pom, Q4 peb yuav tsum rov qab mus rau tag nrho cov tsheb tsim khoom. "

Qhov ntawd yuav tshwm sim tab sis tsis muaj leej twg kwv yees tias yuav rov qab los rau xyoo no rau qhov muag ntim ntawm 17 lab lub tsheb. Roberts tab tom saib ntawm 15-16 lab thaum Cox tus thawj coj nyiaj txiag Jonathan Smoke tab tom daws 16 lab txawm tias. NADA tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag Patrick Manzi tab tom saib 15.4 lab kev ua lag luam.

Rau cov neeg siv khoom uas twb tau pom lub nplhaib tooj dag txuas nrog lub tsheb tshiab lossis tsheb thauj khoom tsis zoo, lawv yuav tsum tsis txhob cia siab tias nws yuav dhau los ua qhov yooj yim dua rau xyoo no.

Roberts hais tias "Txawm tias cov khoom muag tseem nruj kuv tsis xav tias peb yuav pom tus nqi txhawb siab tiag tiag txav mus los," Roberts hais.

Tseeb, nws yuav tshwm sim qhov chaw ua si yog tipped nyob rau hauv kev pom zoo ntawm ib sab ntawm kev muag khoom sib npaug.

"Nrog kev lag luam ua tau zoo, kev poob hauj lwm thiab cov paj laum qis thiab muaj cov khoom muag nruj lub khw tam sim no yog cov neeg muag khoom," tshaj tawm Chesbrough. "Raws li qhov tshwm sim, cov neeg yuav khoom tsheb nrhiav kev pom zoo yuav raug sib tw. Cov khoom muag nruj tau tso cai rau cov tuam txhab lag luam rub rov qab rau kev txo nqi. "

Zoo, zoo rau automakers. Keeb kwm cov nqi lag luam siab tau tawg $ 47,000 thaiv vim kev muag khoom ntawm cov tsheb thauj khoom siab thiab SUVs tau ua rau muaj txiaj ntsig ntau dua txawm tias qhov muag qis dua.

Raws li Chesbrough, tag nrho cov nyiaj tau los rau automakers tau siab dua nyob rau hauv 2021 tshaj 2020 los ntawm ze li ntawm $ 70 billion thiab xav tsis thoob ntau dua 2019 los ntawm ze li $ 2 billion. Qhov ntawd yog ze li ntawm 2 lab tsawg lub tsheb muag.

Cov tsheb siv tau ib txwm ua raws li txoj kev npaj B rau cov neeg siv khoom uas pom tus nqi ntawm lub tsheb tshiab lossis tsheb thauj khoom tawm ntawm qhov ntau tab sis cov nqi tau nce siab thaum muaj kev sib kis thaum muaj kev lag luam poob qis ua rau cov khoom muag qis.

Muaj pov thawj xyoo 2022 yuav pom qee qhov kev pab rau cov neeg yuav khoom raws li Roberts uas tau sau tseg "raws li kev tsim tsheb tshiab khaws cov khoom siv yuav zaum nyob qhov twg lawv nyob, tab sis cov nqi yuav pib poob ntawm qhov ntawd. Keeb kwm siv tsheb xav tau muaj zog hauv Q1 thiab tom qab ntawd pib muaj lub caij nyoog poob qis hauv Q2, "uas, nws hais tias, feem ntau ua rau tus nqi qis dua.

Thaum kawg, cov neeg yuav khoom tuaj yeem yeej kev tsov rog txawm tias muaj kev txav los ntawm qee tus neeg tsim khoom lag luam viav vias mus rau qhov kev txiav txim, tom qab ntawd tsim qauv, uas txwv tsis pub cov tsheb thauj khoom ntau ntawm cov neeg muag khoom thiab zam qhov yuav tsum tau nteg cov kev txhawb nqa nplua nuj kom txav cov hlau.

"Automotive yog ib qho kev lag luam sib tw heev thiab nws muaj peev xwm sib npaug uas qhov kev xav tau rau kev muag khoom loj hlob thiab ntau qhov kev lag luam feem ntau muaj zog heev," Chesbrough hais. "Zoo li npauj rau nplaim taws nws yuav ua rau qee tus OEMs (automakers) kom nce cov khoom thiab txo qis uas yuav yuam kom txhua tus neeg ua raws. Cov cwj pwm qub yog qhov nyuaj rau rhuav tshem. "