Tsawg kawg yog 6 lub cim qhia tias lub khw lag luam pib tawg

Pluaj hauv! Nws tuaj yeem yog caij tsheb sib tsoo xyoo no.

Kev lag luam nyiaj txiag tau tawm mus rau qhov tsis zoo pib rau cov bulls hauv 2022. Kev liam tias kev nce nyiaj nce ntxiv, Federal Reserve tawm ntawm cov kauj ruam, lossis muaj kev sib kis loj heev. Tab sis txawm li cas los xij cov neeg koom nrog kev lag luam boogeyman txheeb xyuas, muaj cov cim qhia meej tias kev ua lag luam tau ntsib cov cim ntawm kev hnav thiab tsim kua muag.

Nov yog ob peb qhov kev lag luam-raws li qhov taw qhia uas ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam ntau dua hauv txoj kev ua ntej, lossis tsawg kawg qhia txog txoj kev tsis sib xws ntawm kev ua lag luam hla mus txog tam sim no.

Tech wreck

Lub Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
-1.15%
tau nyob rau hauv ib tug downward kauv. Qhov nrov thev naus laus zis Performance index rau hnub Wednesday tau kaw nws thawj zaug nyob rau hauv kev kho thaj chaw txij li lub Peb Hlis, kaw 10.69% qis dua nws lub Kaum Ib Hlis 19 cov ntaub ntawv ncov thiab ua tau raws li cov ntsiab lus siv feem ntau rau kev kho.

Nyob rau sab saum toj ntawm qhov ntawd, Nasdaq Composite rau hnub Tuesday tau kos nws thawj zaug nyob rau hauv qab qhov kev saib xyuas zoo, cov kab ntev ntev txij li lub Plaub Hlis 2020 - nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab. Kev ua txhaum cai ntawm nws 200-hnub tej zaum yuav yog qhov ua rau muaj kev txhawj xeeb rau cov neeg ua lag luam zoo, muab sijhawm ntev npaum li cas qhov ntsuas tau tuaj yeem nyob saum qib ntawd.

Tuag cross rau me me

Lub peev nyiaj me me tsom mus rau Russell 2000 qhov ntsuas qhov 50-hnub txav nruab nrab poob qis dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab. Ib qho "kev tuag hla" tshwm sim thaum 50-hnub txav nruab nrab hla (DMA) qis dua 200-DMA, uas ntau tus neeg saib daim duab qhia tau hais tias qhov chaw luv luv rub rov qab cov neeg kawm tiav mus rau lub sijhawm ntev dua.

Cov kaus mom me me, raws li ntsuas los ntawm Russell 2000 Performance index
ROV,
-1.60%,
tau dhau los yuav luag tsis zoo li kev sib koom siv thev naus laus zis, qis dua 8.1% hauv xyoo rau hnub tim.


Dow Jones Kev Lag Luam Cov Ntaub Ntawv

Raws li cov neeg ntawm Dow Jones Market Data:

  • Txij li thaum pib, Russell 2000 tau nkag mus rau hauv kev tuag hla nees nkaum rau lub sijhawm, suav nrog hnub Wednesday nkag.

  • Qhov nruab nrab ntawm cov hnub ua lag luam 50-hnub txav nruab nrab nyob qis dua 200-hnub txav nruab nrab yog 104 hnub ua lag luam

  • Hauv 2020, qhov ntsuas tau siv 103 hnub ua lag luam nrog 50-hnub txav nruab nrab qis dua 200-hnub txav nruab nrab

S&P 500's 100

S&P 500's midterm tsiv nruab nrab, nws 100-hnub, tau ua txhaum cai rau hnub Wednesday. Qhov kev lag luam dav dav tsis tau kaw qis dua li theem txij li thaum lub Kaum Hli 2021. Kev poob qis dua qhov cim tam sim no yuav qhia tau tias 200-hnub txoj kab sib txawv yuav nyob ze rau lub caij nplooj zeeg.


FactSet Inc.

Ntshai ntsuas

Kev ntsuas ze ze ntawm kev ua lag luam volatility feem ntau yog siv los ua tus tso cai rau cov neeg ua lag luam kev ntxhov siab, Cboe Volatiity Index
VIX,
+ 4.65%,
feem ntau raug xa mus los ntawm nws qhov ticker "VIX," tau nce siab rau ntau ntawm 2022. Qhov Performance index, uas muaj qhov nruab nrab ntev nyob ib ncig ntawm 20, tau dai saum toj no. Lub VIX, uas kaw ntawm 23.85, yog trading saum toj no nws 50-hnub tsiv nruab nrab ntawm 20.24, FactSet cov ntaub ntawv qhia.

Lub peev xwm ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam muaj peev xwm tuaj yeem cuam tshuam rau VIX, uas siv cov nqi kev xaiv ntawm S&P 500 cov khoom lag luam los ntsuas qhov cuam tshuam, lossis xav tau, tsis hloov pauv rau qhov ntsuas hauv 30-hnub tom ntej.

Lub VIX txav mus rau hauv cov khoom lag luam thiab nce VIX txhais tau hais tias cov tub ua lag luam tau twv txog kev kub ntxhov nyob rau lub hli tom ntej.

 

Bouncy pob

Ib qho ntawm cov teb chaws Europe tau saib xyuas cov nyiaj tau los ntawm tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los, 10-xyoo Nyiaj Txiag German, aka lub pob, tau ua zoo rau thawj zaug txij li xyoo 2019, qhia txog qhov dav dav dav dua hauv cov txiaj ntsig thoob ntiaj teb.

Cov tawm los rau 10-xyoo German pob
TMBMKDE-10Y,
-0.009%
nce siab li 0.021% rau hnub Wednesday, nrog rau US 10-xyoo Treasury yield
TUBMUSD 10Y,
1.850%
ntawm 1.826% thiab daim ntawv nyiaj 2 xyoo
TUBMUSD 02Y,
1.047%
yielding tshaj 1%.

Kev lag luam tau cia siab tias yuav muaj txoj hauv kev nruj heev rau txoj cai los ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve thiab uas yog rippling los ntawm thoob ntiaj teb kev lag luam, tsawg kawg ntawm tag nrho cov nyob rau hauv America.

Kev nce siab sai ntawm cov txiaj ntsig tau ua rau muaj kev kub ntxhov ntawm kev lag luam Tshuag thiab nce hauv German pob nyiaj yuav ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam rau US Treasury vim tias cov tub ua lag luam nyob sab Europe tuaj yeem pom qee tus nqi ntawm kev yuav pob khoom hauv thaj chaw zoo. Yields nce rau cov nuj nqis raws li tus nqi poob.

Slumping sectors

Tsuas yog 2 ntawm S&P 500's 11 sectors yog nyob rau hauv thaj chaw zoo rau lub xyoo kom deb li deb: lub zog
SP500.10,
-0.66%,
nce 16% thiab nyiaj txiag
SP500.40,
-1.65%,
nce 0.4%. Technology
SP500.45,
-1.37%
thiab vaj tse
SP500.60,
-1.21%
tab tom pom qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws kom deb li deb hauv 2022.

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/at-least-6-signs-show-the-stock-market-is-starting-to-break-down-11642632041?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo