Thaum cov bears tau hammering lub bulls lig, peb tab tom pom theem ntawm ob qhov taw qhia uas qhia tias qee qhov kev txo qis ntawm qhov tsis ntev los no yuav muaj nyob rau hauv qhov muab. Thiab yog tias cov indexes tswj kom kaw qhov zoo rau hnub Friday tom qab qhib tsis muaj zog, uas yuav zoo li txhawb peb qhov kev xav ntawm kev pab.
Tsis ntev los no kev muag khoom siab txuas ntxiv rau hnub Thursday, nrog rau tag nrho cov kev ntsuas tseem ceeb kaw ntawm lossis ze lawv qhov qis ntawm hnub thiab tag nrho tab sis ib qho kaw hauv qab lawv cov qib kev txhawb nqa. Yog li ntawd, tag nrho cov nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm luv luv downtrends thiab tseem tsis tau pom cov cim ntawm ib tug reversal ntawm tsis ntev los no tsis muaj zog ntawm tus nqi thiab kev sib piv.
Txawm li cas los xij, tam sim no peb muaj kev xav tias qee qhov kev pab cuam yuav nyob ntawm lub qab ntug raws li qib stochastic ntawm cov kab kos nrog rau 1-hnub McClellan OB / OS Oscillators.
Cia peb saib tam sim no.
Nyob rau kab kos
Cov txiaj ntsig tseem ceeb tshaj plaws tau kaw qis hnub Thursday nrog kev tsis zoo sab hauv raws li kev lag luam ntim tau nce los ntawm kev sib tham ua ntej.
Txhua qhov kev txhawb nqa ua txhaum cai tshwj tsis yog Russell 2000 (saib saum toj). Yog li ntawd, tag nrho cov tseem nyob ze rau lub sij hawm downtrends thiab qis dua lawv 50-hnub tsiv nruab nrab.
Kev lag luam dav txuas ntxiv kom tsis muaj zog ib yam nkaus, nrog Tag Nrho Cov Txiaj Ntsig, NYSE thiab Nasdaq cumulative ua ntej / poob kab tsis zoo thiab qis dua lawv 50 DMAs.
Txawm li cas los xij, qib stochastic ntawm txhua daim duab qhia tau zoo heev thiab nyob rau theem sib txuam nrog kev lag luam tseem ceeb sib tw ntau zaus hauv lub xyoo dhau los. Peb pom cov lus qhia ntawm qee qhov kev pab cuam nyob ze.
Cov ntaub ntawv
Lub McClellan 1-Hnub Overbought / Oversold Oscillators tsuas yog txaj muag ntawm kev muag khoom loj heev, xa cov teeb liab zoo ib yam li cov ntawv nyeem (Txhua Txauv: -93.38 NYSE: -98.7 Nasdaq: -91.86).
Qhov feem pua ntawm S&P 500 teeb meem kev lag luam saum toj no lawv 50-hnub qhov nruab nrab txav mus rau 35% thiab tseem nyob nruab nrab raws li Open Insider Buy/Sell Ratio tau nce mus rau 50.2, nyob nruab nrab thiab.
Lub detrend Rydex Ratio (qhov taw qhia tsis sib xws), ntsuas qhov kev txiav txim ntawm cov tub luam ETF leveraged, tau nce mus rau 0.78 thiab tseem nyob nruab nrab.
Lub lim tiam no qhov sib txawv ntawm AAII Xyooj / Bull Ratio yog 0.98, kuj tseem nyob nruab nrab.
Investors Intelligence Bear/Bull Ratio (23.5/50.6) (tsis sib haum xeeb qhia) tseem nyob nruab nrab raws li tus naj npawb ntawm bulls thiab bears poob los ntawm lub lim tiam ua ntej.
Ntsuas thiab Yields
Qhov kev pom zoo rau yav tom ntej 12-hli cov nyiaj tau los kwv yees rau S&P 500 los ntawm Bloomberg tau poob rau $ 221.84 ib feem. Raws li xws li, S&P's forward P / E ntau plam mus rau 20.2x nrog "txoj cai ntawm 20" nrhiav ballpark ncaj ncees tus nqi ntawm 18.2x.
S&P cov nyiaj tau los yav tom ntej yog 4.95%.
10-Xyoo Treasury yield tsis hloov ntawm 1.83%. Peb saib kev txhawb nqa rau 10-Xyoo ntawm 1.60% nrog kev tawm tsam ntawm 1.93%.
Nyob ze-Term Outlook
Thaum hnub Thursday tus swb txuas ntxiv qhov mob tsis ntev los no, tawm hauv daim ntawv qhia kev sib txawv thiab qhov dav hauv cov duab tsis zoo, qhov loj ntawm kev muag khoom tsis ntev los no tau thawb cov theem stochastic thiab McClellan mus rau cov ntsiab lus uas ua ntej kev sib tw tseem ceeb ntau zaus hauv xyoo dhau los. Yog tias kev lag luam kaw qhov zoo nyob rau hnub, tom qab qhib tsis muaj zog, qhov ntawd yuav txhawb nqa peb qhov kev xav ntawm qee qhov kev pab.
Tau txais email ceeb toom txhua zaus kuv sau ib tsab xov xwm txog Nyiaj Tiag. Nyem rau “+ Ua Raws” tom qab ntawm kuv kab ntawv rau kab lus no.
Tau qhov twg los: https://realmoney.thestreet.com/markets/as-bears-pound-the-bulls-2-indicators-strongly-suggest-relief-is-on-the-way-15890938?puc=yahoo&cm_ven=YAHOO&yptr= yahoo