Cov khoom lag luam indexes kaw lwm lub lim tiam poob hauv lub Ob Hlis downbeat, raws li cov tub ua lag luam tseem sib cav txog txoj hauv kev ntawm kev lag luam thiab nyiaj txiag txoj cai. Nws yog ib qho kev txiav txim siab muddled qhov kev xav rau kev ua lag luam los ntawm qhov kev pom tseem ceeb, nrog rau qhov sib npaug ntawm cov ntaub ntawv ntawm bullish thiab bearish sab ntawm daim ntawv teev npe.
Cov ntaub ntawv tuaj yeem txhais tau tias yog xov xwm zoo lossis xov xwm tsis zoo, nyob ntawm ib qho kev tshaj tawm thiab lub sijhawm - kev lag luam muaj zog tam sim no tsuas yog txhais tau tias Fed nruj dua thiab nyuaj rau kev poob qis tom qab, tom qab tag nrho.
Nws yog qhov muaj zog uas Truist Advisory Services Co-Chief Investment Officer Keith Lerner hu ua "rov qab Tepper kev lag luam," xa mus rau qhov kev twv ua ntej los ntawm Tus thawj saib xyuas nyiaj txiag David Tepper xyoo 2010 tias kev lag luam yuav txhim kho lossis Fed yuav yooj yim, txhawb kev lag luam ob qho tib si.
Niaj hnub no, qhov kev xaiv yog nruab nrab ntawm kev lag luam tsis muaj zog uas ua rau muaj kev nce nqi qis tab sis kuj cuam tshuam cov txiaj ntsig ntawm cov tuam txhab, rub cov khoom vaj khoom tsev nqis, lossis kev lag luam muaj zog uas yuam Fed kom nruj ntau dua los tswj kev nce nqi, kuj tseem rub cov nqi khoom vaj khoom tsev.
Lub lim tiam dhau los no cov lej tau ua rau cov tub ua lag luam muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau txog: Kev yuav cov thawj tswj hwm qhov ntsuas tau muaj zog dua li qhov xav tau, cov nyiaj tau los ntawm tus kheej thiab kev siv nyiaj tau nce siab thaum Lub Ib Hlis, cov neeg siv khoom xav tau nce mus rau qhov kev nyeem ntawv siab tshaj plaws hauv ntau tshaj ib xyoos, thiab cov ntaub ntawv hnub Friday sawv ntxov pom. kub tshaj li qhov xav tau ntawm Lub Ib Hlis core inflation thiab kev kho dua tshiab rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis.
cov
Dow Jones Muaj Nruab Nrab
poob hauv av rau plaub lub lis piam ncaj, poob 2.99%. Cov
Nasdaq Composite
swb 3.33%, thiab
S&P 500
poob 2.67%.
Tsis muaj qhov hnyav ntawm cov pov thawj tseem ceeb hauv ib qho kev taw qhia lossis lwm qhov, nws them nyiaj los xyuas seb cov kab kos tau hais li cas. S&P 500 tau tawm tsam tawm ntawm lub rooj vag hauv 2023, nce ze li 9% thaum Lub Ib Hlis thiab nce 17% nce los ntawm nws nruab nrab Lub Kaum Hli. Qhov ntawd coincided nrog ib tug poob nyob rau hauv daim ntawv cog lus yields raws li cov tub luam thawj koom ruam nyob rau hauv ib tug ceev ceev kawg rau tus nqi hikes.
Txij thaum ntawd los, cov hauj lwm thiab kev nce nqi tau tuaj kub, thiab daim ntawv cog lus yields tau resumed lawv nce. S&P 500 poob qis dua 5% hauv Lub Ob Hlis, kaw hnub Friday ntawm 3970, tsuas yog siab dua nws 200-hnub txav nruab nrab ntawm 3940-ib theem tseem ceeb uas tuaj yeem ua raws li kev txhawb nqa lossis kev tawm tsam hauv kev sib tw lossis kev poob qis. Ib qho kev so hauv qab no uas yuav ua rau qib kev txhawb nqa tom ntej nyob ib puag ncig 3800, hais tias Lerner, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam chartered.
S&P 500's 5% rub rov qab rau lub hli dhau los tseem tso nws nrog ntau yam ntawm 17.5 npaug ntawm cov nyiaj tau los tom ntej. Qhov kev sib tw xyoo-rau-hnub tau raug tsav tag nrho los ntawm kev ntsuas kev nthuav dav, nrog kev kwv yees cov txiaj ntsig qis dua tib lub sijhawm. Qhov ntau yam yog hais txog qhov sib npaug ntawm qhov nruab nrab ntawm kaum xyoo dhau los, tab sis nrog ntau qhov tsis paub tseeb - thiab cov paj laum siab dua - niaj hnub no.
Technical uptrend nyob rau hauv lub 10-xyoo Txhab Nyiaj cim sau' s yield tseem nyob. Ntawm 3.95% Hnub Friday, nws tau tawm ntawm nws 200-hnub tsiv nruab nrab ob zaug thaum ntxov xyoo 2023, thiab tuaj yeem rov sim nws lub Kaum Hli siab ntawm 4.23%, Lerner hais. Qhov ntawd tsuas yog ntxiv rau qhov ntsuas ntsuas ntawm cov khoom lag luam.
Cov hauv paus ntsiab lus thiab cov txuj ci zoo li pom zoo: Ntawm qib tam sim no, S&P 500 tsuas yog tsis txaus ntseeg. Tej zaum yuav muaj txiaj ntsig zoo dua ntawm kev lag luam-cap scale, qhov twg me me- thiab nruab nrab-cap indexes tseem siab dua lawv 50-hnub txav nruab nrab thiab cov nqi qis dua.
Sau rau Nicholas Jasinski nyob [email tiv thaiv]