Amazon cov khoom lag luam tau poob qis txaus nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los los ua qhov kev puas tsuaj tiag tiag rau nws daim ntawv qhia mus sij hawm ntev - thiab txaus los ceeb toom cov tub ua lag luam qhov phem tshaj yuav tseem tuaj txog.
Tab sis thaum muaj kev kub ntxhov hauv kev ua lag luam thiab kev txhawj xeeb txog kev nce nqi thiab cov paj laum nrawm yuav ua rau lub lag luam loj loj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom hauv lub hlis tom ntej, kuj tseem muaj qee qhov kev qhia uas qhia tias cov Tshuag yuav tau txais zoo nkauj ze rau qhov cuam tshuam. .
Ua ntej, xov xwm phem. Amazon.com Inc.
AMZN,
+ 1.88%
cov khoom lag luam tau coj qhov kev ntaus keeb kwm txij li nruab nrab ntawm lub lim tiam dhau los. Thiab rau qhov kev sib tham thib tsib, cov khoom lag luam tau tshem tawm qhov nce hauv nruab nrab ntawm tsawg kawg yog 1% kom poob rau hauv liab.
Hnub Friday, nws tau nce ntau npaum li 3.5% thaum sawv ntxov ua ntej rub lub ntse U-tig rau kev lag luam poob 0.3% nyob rau yav tav su kev lag luam, mus rau qhov poob ntev tshaj plaws hauv peb lub xyoos. Nws tau plunged 26.1% thaum lub sij hawm streak, uas yuav yog qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv yim-hnub lub sij hawm txij li lub sij hawm uas xaus rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 14, 2008.
Tus nqi ntse tsis muaj zog los ntawm lub sijhawm tsis zoo ntawm kev txhim kho tseem ceeb, raws li lub tuam txhab lub lim tiam dhau los tau tshaj tawm poob siab rau peb lub hlis twg cov nyiaj tau los thiab downbeat outlook rau lub caij so thiab hais tias nws yog ncua kev ntiav neeg ua haujlwm thaum nws saib xyuas qhov kev xav ntawm kev lag luam.
John Kosar, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam ntawm Asbury Research, tau hais tias cov khoom lag luam tau tawg qis dua qib kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb ntawm $ 102.53 ntawm cov kab kos rau lub lim tiam ntev.
Ib qho qub Wall Street adage hais tias yav dhau los tsis kam, ib zaug tawg, feem ntau hloov mus rau hauv kev txhawb nqa. Qhov muaj zog tiv thaiv ntawm txoj kev nce, qhov muaj zog ntawm kev txhawb nqa ntawm txoj kev nqes.
Qhov kev xav yog tias thaum cov tub ua lag luam muag cov khoom lag luam ntawm ib qho nqi thiab cov khoom lag luam tom qab nce siab tshaj tus nqi ntawd thiab tom qab ntawd poob rov qab rau nws, nws yuav ua rau cov neeg muag khoom qub yuav yuav cov khoom ntawd rov qab.
Rau Amazon, kev txhawb nqa Kosar yog hais txog los ntawm tsib lub xyoos ib lub lis piam daim ntawv qhia, nrog rau txhua lub bar qhia txog lub lim tiam qhib, kaw thiab kev lag luam ntau.
Qhov $ 102.53 qib cim kev tiv thaiv ntawm qhov siab rau lub lim tiam xaus lub Cuaj Hlis 7, 2018, uas tau rov qab los rau ib hlis tom qab thaum cov khoom lag luam nce siab ntawm $ 101.66 ua ntej plummeting txog 36% rau Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 28 txhua lub lis piam qis ntawm $ 65.35. Qhov kev tawm tsam tau rov qab mus rau lwm qhov kev sib tw, raws li cov khoom lag luam tau nce siab ntawm $ 101.79 thaum Lub Xya Hli 2019.
Kev tawm tsam thaum kawg tau muab txoj hauv kev rau Lub Ob Hlis 2020 thiab, tom qab pib lub sijhawm thim rov qab, ua rau muaj kev sib tw uas coj cov khoom lag luam mus txog nws cov ntaub ntawv kaw thaum Lub Xya Hli 2021.
Tom qab kev tawm tsam kev sib kis tau ploj mus, kev tawm tsam yav dhau los dhau ob qhov kev sim nyuaj ntawm kev txhawb nqa nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis thiab Lub Rau Hli 2022, uas ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam loj rau lub Yim Hli.
Tab sis qhov tseeb kev muag khoom pov thawj ntau dhau rau kev txhawb nqa los daws.
Nrog kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb tawg, "nws tshem tawm txoj hauv kev rau kev nce mus rau $ 81.30," Kosar tau hais.
Qhov ntawd yog qhov qis rau lub lim tiam xaus rau Lub Peb Hlis 20, 2020, ntawm qhov siab ntawm COVID-19 qhov tsis paub tseeb thiab kev ntshai, thiab tseem yog qhov qis ntawm kev thim rov qab ua ntej qhov kev mob kis thoob qhov txhia chaw.
Tam sim no rau txoj xov zoo.
Ntxiv rau qhov tseem ceeb ntawm qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawd, ib qho kev nce ntxiv uas pib ntawm Lub Ib Hlis 2015 txhua lub lim tiam qis thiab txuas nrog lub Ib Hlis 2016 qis txuas mus rau saum toj no $ 81.
Kev sib koom ua ke ntawm ob hom kev txhawb nqa sib txawv yuav ua rau qib ntawd ib qho chaw txhawb zog txawm tias lawv tau sib cais.
Qhov thib peb daim duab taw tes yuav yog qhov ntxim nyiam. Qhov tseem ceeb 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ntawm qhov kev nce siab nce tawm ntawm Lub Ib Hlis 2016 txhua lub limtiam qis mus rau Lub Xya Hli 2021 txhua lub sijhawm txhua lub limtiam siab los ntawm kwv yees li tib theem.
Cov qib retracement yog raws li kev ua lej Fibonacci piv ntawm 1.618, uas tseem hu ua qhov sib piv golden muab nws qhov muaj nyob hauv cov txheej txheem ntuj. Ntau Fibonacci followers ntawm Wall Street ntseeg tias 61.8% retracement tuaj yeem ua raws li daim ntawv qhia tseem ceeb, vim tias yog nws tawg, nws qhia tias qhov kev sib tw ua ntej tsis zoo lawm. Nyeem ntxiv txog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Fibonacci piv hauv daim duab tsom xam.
"Fibo" qib tsis tas yuav yog thaj chaw ntawm kev txhawb nqa ntuj, tab sis lawv tuaj yeem ua raws li cov lus qhia, uas nyob rau lub sijhawm muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau tuaj yeem muab kev nplij siab rau cov tub ua lag luam. Thiab ntau daim ntawv qhia cov ntsiab lus uas tuaj txog ntawm qib zoo sib xws, qhov pom ntau dua lawv ua rau cov neeg yuav khoom muaj peev xwm - tshwj xeeb, tej zaum, thaum cov kab kos tau qhia txog kev sib txawv ntawm kev sib txawv.
Thaum Amazon tus nqi Tshuag tau poob qis, ua rau qis qis thiab qis qis, tus txheeb ze lub zog Performance index (RSI) tau nce siab dua rau ob peb lub hlis dhau los, ua rau siab dua thiab qis dua.
RSI yog qhov taw qhia lub zog hauv qab uas sim piav qhia txog qhov loj npaum li cas ntawm kev poob qis tsis ntev los no piv nrog cov txiaj ntsig tsis ntev los no. Thaum ib qho RSI ua rau qis dua thaum cov nqi poob, nws qhia tias nws siv zog ntau thiab ntau dua ntawm cov bears los thawb cov nqi qis dua, thiab cov bulls tab tom txhim kho lub zog.
Qhov kev sib txawv loj heev pom hauv Amazon daim ntawv qhia txhua lub limtiam yuav raug cais raws li qhov muaj zog tshaj plaws, lossis "Class A," divergence, raws li tau hais los ntawm CMT Uasskev ua haujlwm.
Technical divergences tsis yog cov cuab yeej siv sijhawm zoo, vim tias lawv tuaj yeem siv sijhawm ntev ua ntej lawv yuav daws qhov kawg. Tab sis lawv zoo li yuav daws lawv tus kheej nyob rau hauv cov kev taw qhia ntawm kev taw qhia.
Thiab lawv tuaj yeem ua raws li kev ceeb toom tsis txhob muag rau hauv thaws, yog tias thiab thaum twg tshwm sim.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amazon-stock-breaks-long-term-chart-support-and-the-worst-may-still-be-to-come-11667590598?siteid=yhoof2&yptr= yahoo
Amazon cov khoom lag luam rhuav tshem daim ntawv txhawb nqa mus ntev, thiab qhov phem tshaj tseem yuav tuaj
Amazon cov khoom lag luam tau poob qis txaus nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los los ua qhov kev puas tsuaj tiag tiag rau nws daim ntawv qhia mus sij hawm ntev - thiab txaus los ceeb toom cov tub ua lag luam qhov phem tshaj yuav tseem tuaj txog.
Tab sis thaum muaj kev kub ntxhov hauv kev ua lag luam thiab kev txhawj xeeb txog kev nce nqi thiab cov paj laum nrawm yuav ua rau lub lag luam loj loj ntawm cov neeg siv khoom hauv lub hlis tom ntej, kuj tseem muaj qee qhov kev qhia uas qhia tias cov Tshuag yuav tau txais zoo nkauj ze rau qhov cuam tshuam. .
Ua ntej, xov xwm phem. Amazon.com Inc.
+ 1.88%
AMZN,
cov khoom lag luam tau coj qhov kev ntaus keeb kwm txij li nruab nrab ntawm lub lim tiam dhau los. Thiab rau qhov kev sib tham thib tsib, cov khoom lag luam tau tshem tawm qhov nce hauv nruab nrab ntawm tsawg kawg yog 1% kom poob rau hauv liab.
Hnub Friday, nws tau nce ntau npaum li 3.5% thaum sawv ntxov ua ntej rub lub ntse U-tig rau kev lag luam poob 0.3% nyob rau yav tav su kev lag luam, mus rau qhov poob ntev tshaj plaws hauv peb lub xyoos. Nws tau plunged 26.1% thaum lub sij hawm streak, uas yuav yog qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv yim-hnub lub sij hawm txij li lub sij hawm uas xaus rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 14, 2008.
Tus nqi ntse tsis muaj zog los ntawm lub sijhawm tsis zoo ntawm kev txhim kho tseem ceeb, raws li lub tuam txhab lub lim tiam dhau los tau tshaj tawm poob siab rau peb lub hlis twg cov nyiaj tau los thiab downbeat outlook rau lub caij so thiab hais tias nws yog ncua kev ntiav neeg ua haujlwm thaum nws saib xyuas qhov kev xav ntawm kev lag luam.
John Kosar, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam ntawm Asbury Research, tau hais tias cov khoom lag luam tau tawg qis dua qib kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb ntawm $ 102.53 ntawm cov kab kos rau lub lim tiam ntev.
Ib qho qub Wall Street adage hais tias yav dhau los tsis kam, ib zaug tawg, feem ntau hloov mus rau hauv kev txhawb nqa. Qhov muaj zog tiv thaiv ntawm txoj kev nce, qhov muaj zog ntawm kev txhawb nqa ntawm txoj kev nqes.
Qhov kev xav yog tias thaum cov tub ua lag luam muag cov khoom lag luam ntawm ib qho nqi thiab cov khoom lag luam tom qab nce siab tshaj tus nqi ntawd thiab tom qab ntawd poob rov qab rau nws, nws yuav ua rau cov neeg muag khoom qub yuav yuav cov khoom ntawd rov qab.
Rau Amazon, kev txhawb nqa Kosar yog hais txog los ntawm tsib lub xyoos ib lub lis piam daim ntawv qhia, nrog rau txhua lub bar qhia txog lub lim tiam qhib, kaw thiab kev lag luam ntau.
FactSet, MarketWatch
Qhov $ 102.53 qib cim kev tiv thaiv ntawm qhov siab rau lub lim tiam xaus lub Cuaj Hlis 7, 2018, uas tau rov qab los rau ib hlis tom qab thaum cov khoom lag luam nce siab ntawm $ 101.66 ua ntej plummeting txog 36% rau Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 28 txhua lub lis piam qis ntawm $ 65.35. Qhov kev tawm tsam tau rov qab mus rau lwm qhov kev sib tw, raws li cov khoom lag luam tau nce siab ntawm $ 101.79 thaum Lub Xya Hli 2019.
Kev tawm tsam thaum kawg tau muab txoj hauv kev rau Lub Ob Hlis 2020 thiab, tom qab pib lub sijhawm thim rov qab, ua rau muaj kev sib tw uas coj cov khoom lag luam mus txog nws cov ntaub ntawv kaw thaum Lub Xya Hli 2021.
Tom qab kev tawm tsam kev sib kis tau ploj mus, kev tawm tsam yav dhau los dhau ob qhov kev sim nyuaj ntawm kev txhawb nqa nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis thiab Lub Rau Hli 2022, uas ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam loj rau lub Yim Hli.
Tab sis qhov tseeb kev muag khoom pov thawj ntau dhau rau kev txhawb nqa los daws.
Nrog kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb tawg, "nws tshem tawm txoj hauv kev rau kev nce mus rau $ 81.30," Kosar tau hais.
Qhov ntawd yog qhov qis rau lub lim tiam xaus rau Lub Peb Hlis 20, 2020, ntawm qhov siab ntawm COVID-19 qhov tsis paub tseeb thiab kev ntshai, thiab tseem yog qhov qis ntawm kev thim rov qab ua ntej qhov kev mob kis thoob qhov txhia chaw.
FactSet, MarketWatch
Tam sim no rau txoj xov zoo.
Ntxiv rau qhov tseem ceeb ntawm qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawd, ib qho kev nce ntxiv uas pib ntawm Lub Ib Hlis 2015 txhua lub lim tiam qis thiab txuas nrog lub Ib Hlis 2016 qis txuas mus rau saum toj no $ 81.
Kev sib koom ua ke ntawm ob hom kev txhawb nqa sib txawv yuav ua rau qib ntawd ib qho chaw txhawb zog txawm tias lawv tau sib cais.
Qhov thib peb daim duab taw tes yuav yog qhov ntxim nyiam. Qhov tseem ceeb 61.8% Fibonacci retracement ntawm qhov kev nce siab nce tawm ntawm Lub Ib Hlis 2016 txhua lub limtiam qis mus rau Lub Xya Hli 2021 txhua lub sijhawm txhua lub limtiam siab los ntawm kwv yees li tib theem.
FactSet, MarketWatch
Cov qib retracement yog raws li kev ua lej Fibonacci piv ntawm 1.618, uas tseem hu ua qhov sib piv golden muab nws qhov muaj nyob hauv cov txheej txheem ntuj. Ntau Fibonacci followers ntawm Wall Street ntseeg tias 61.8% retracement tuaj yeem ua raws li daim ntawv qhia tseem ceeb, vim tias yog nws tawg, nws qhia tias qhov kev sib tw ua ntej tsis zoo lawm. Nyeem ntxiv txog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Fibonacci piv hauv daim duab tsom xam.
"Fibo" qib tsis tas yuav yog thaj chaw ntawm kev txhawb nqa ntuj, tab sis lawv tuaj yeem ua raws li cov lus qhia, uas nyob rau lub sijhawm muaj kev ntxhov siab ntau tuaj yeem muab kev nplij siab rau cov tub ua lag luam. Thiab ntau daim ntawv qhia cov ntsiab lus uas tuaj txog ntawm qib zoo sib xws, qhov pom ntau dua lawv ua rau cov neeg yuav khoom muaj peev xwm - tshwj xeeb, tej zaum, thaum cov kab kos tau qhia txog kev sib txawv ntawm kev sib txawv.
Thaum Amazon tus nqi Tshuag tau poob qis, ua rau qis qis thiab qis qis, tus txheeb ze lub zog Performance index (RSI) tau nce siab dua rau ob peb lub hlis dhau los, ua rau siab dua thiab qis dua.
FactSet, MarketWatch
RSI yog qhov taw qhia lub zog hauv qab uas sim piav qhia txog qhov loj npaum li cas ntawm kev poob qis tsis ntev los no piv nrog cov txiaj ntsig tsis ntev los no. Thaum ib qho RSI ua rau qis dua thaum cov nqi poob, nws qhia tias nws siv zog ntau thiab ntau dua ntawm cov bears los thawb cov nqi qis dua, thiab cov bulls tab tom txhim kho lub zog.
Qhov kev sib txawv loj heev pom hauv Amazon daim ntawv qhia txhua lub limtiam yuav raug cais raws li qhov muaj zog tshaj plaws, lossis "Class A," divergence, raws li tau hais los ntawm CMT Uasskev ua haujlwm.
Technical divergences tsis yog cov cuab yeej siv sijhawm zoo, vim tias lawv tuaj yeem siv sijhawm ntev ua ntej lawv yuav daws qhov kawg. Tab sis lawv zoo li yuav daws lawv tus kheej nyob rau hauv cov kev taw qhia ntawm kev taw qhia.
Thiab lawv tuaj yeem ua raws li kev ceeb toom tsis txhob muag rau hauv thaws, yog tias thiab thaum twg tshwm sim.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/amazon-stock-breaks-long-term-chart-support-and-the-worst-may-still-be-to-come-11667590598?siteid=yhoof2&yptr= yahoo