(Bloomberg) - Ib tus tub luam tau siv nyiaj txog $ 36 lab ntawm kev xaiv bullish wager khi rau S&P 500's qib nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej, kev lag luam uas tau txais kev txhawb nqa loj thaum cov khoom lag luam nce hnub Wednesday.
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Kev lag luam pom ib tus neeg yuav khoom kwv yees li 20,000 hu xov tooj uas txuas nrog S&P 500 thiab tag rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 30 nrog tus nqi tawm tsam ntawm 4,175. Raws li qhov ntsuas ntsuas ntsuas tau dhia 3.1% mus rau kaw ntawm 4,080, daim ntawv cog lus uas raug nqi $ 20 ib qho xaus ntawm $ 50.45, rau qhov muaj peev xwm nce ntawm 152%.
Alon Rosin, Oppenheimer & Co. tus thawj coj ntawm lub koom haum kev ncaj ncees derivatives hais tias "Nws yog ib qho yooj yim vanilla hu yuav," said Alon Rosin, Oppenheimer & Co. "Nws tuaj yeem yog macro / hedge nyiaj khiav lag luam luv luv thiab siv qhov no raws li xyoo kawg hedge lossis HF khiav qis tag nrho / cov txiaj ntsig cuam tshuam txog kev ua tsis tau zoo yog tias kev lag luam bounces tom ntej."
Thaum yav tav su, ib qho kev sib cais tawm mus, lub sijhawm no suav nrog kev yuav khoom ntawm 7,000 hu rau S&P 500 maturing ntawm lub xyoo kawg nrog tus nqi tawm dag zog ntawm 4,150. Ntawm tus nqi ntawm $ 21.60 txhua, daim ntawv cog lus yuav luag peb zaug kom tiav qhov kev sib tham ntawm $ 60.60.
Muab credit tag nrho cov cua daj cua dub rau Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Chair Jerome Powell, uas nws cov lus hais txog qhov muaj peev xwm poob qis hauv kev nrawm nrawm sai li sai tau thaum lub hlis tom ntej lub rooj sib tham tau ua rau muaj kev dhia hauv cov khoom lag luam, nrog rau S&P 500 tshem tawm kev poob ua ntej. Qhov ntsuas tau nce ntau dua 10% los ntawm nws lub Kaum Hlis trough nyob rau hauv ib feem ntawm kev cia siab tias qhov kev txav no tuaj yeem tshwm sim.
Thaum lub sij hawm post-Powell rally, ib tug txawv investor muag tso rau ntawm S&P 500, yuav kaw ib txoj hauj lwm, thaum yuav hu. Kev lag luam suav nrog kev pov tseg ntawm 27,000 tso tawm tas rau lub Ib Hlis nrog tus nqi tawm tsam ntawm 3,600 thiab kev yuav khoom ntawm kwv yees li 9,000 hu tuaj rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 30 nrog tus nqi tawm dag zog ntawm 4,200. Nrog tus nqi pib pib ntawm $ 27 txhua qhov, kev hu xov tooj kaw ntawm $ 40.50.
Nyeem ntxiv: Powell Signals Downshift Zoo Li Lub hli tom ntej, Ntau Hikes tuaj
Rau Steve Allread, tus tub luam ntawm cov khoom vaj khoom tsev thiab cov nyiaj tau los tas li ntawm Cutter & Co., Hnub Wednesday qhov kev tawm tsam tau raug tsav los ntawm bears yuam kom quav thiab txiav cov nyiaj poob. Ib qho Goldman Sachs Group Inc. pob tawb ntawm cov khoom luv luv tau dhia 4.6%.
Allread tau hais tias "Kuv tsis xav tias qhov no yeej hloov pauv qhov tseem ceeb ntawm lub hauv paus," Allread hais. "Lub S&P zoo li tuav nag hmo qis, tab sis lub pob yog tej zaum luv luv npog thiab tib neeg zoo siab me ntsis txog Powell cov lus."
Ua tsaug rau lub xyoo no kev muag khoom siab phem, cov thawj tswj hwm nyiaj txiag ntawm txhua tus kab txaij tau txiav lawv txoj kev sib raug zoo, nrog cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Morgan Stanley tus thawj brokerage chav tsev qhia txog nyiaj txiag nyiaj txiag net leverage zaum hauv 14 feem pua ntawm tsib xyoos. Thaum qee tus kws tshaj lij ntawm Phab Ntsa Street tau ceeb toom qhov phem tshaj tsis dhau, qhov kev sib tw tshiab tshaj plaws, nrog rau cov qauv zoo rau xyoo kawg, tej zaum yuav ua rau qee tus tub ua lag luam los caum cov txiaj ntsig los ntawm kev xaiv.
Xws li kev yuav khoom ntawm kev xaiv bullish nyob rau hauv lem pab ntxiv roj rau lub lag luam upside li cov neeg muag khoom nyob rau sab nraud ntawm cov kev lag luam uas xav tau los txhawm rau khaws cov khoom lag luam kom tswj tau qhov kev lag luam nruab nrab.
"Tus neeg ua lag luam no tuaj yeem nqis peev qis (lossis luv luv) thiab xav kom muaj kev tiv thaiv kev sib tw Santa Claus rau xyoo kawg. Lossis lawv tsuas tuaj yeem ua tus thawj koom ruam loj ntawm ib qho, "said Chris Murphy, tus thawj coj ntawm cov tswv yim derivatives ntawm Susquehanna International Group. "Cov ntim tau sib dua nyob rau hauv dav dav tsis ntev los no vim tias cov tub ua lag luam zoo li muaj kev ntseeg tsawg dua nyob rau hauv ob qho kev taw qhia ntawm qib tam sim no, yog li kev lag luam muaj feem cuam tshuam ntau dua."
- Nrog kev pab los ntawm Melissa Karsh.
(Ntxiv ntxiv kev hloov pauv pib hauv kab lus plaub.)
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