Kev lag luam nce siab yog nyob rau ntawm qhov kev taw qhia 'loj' txav

Kev nrawm ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam nce ntxiv raws li nws txuas ntxiv tawm ntawm lub Rau Hli qis yog ze rau qhov loj uas tau ua ntej "loj" txav yav dhau los. Qhov teeb meem rau cov tub ua lag luam yog tias cov kev txav no tuaj yeem nyob rau hauv "txawm li cas los xij," cov kws tshuaj ntsuam ntawm Jefferies tau pom nyob rau hauv daim ntawv kawg.

Txog hnub Friday, S&P 500
SPX,
+ 0.76%
tau thaws ntau dua 13% ntawm nws 2022 kaw qis ntawm 3,666.77, teem rau Lub Rau Hli 16. Thaum S&P 500 tseem nyob hauv lub lag luam dais, tau poob ntau dua 20% los ntawm nws lub Ib Hlis 3 cov ntaub ntawv kaw, Dow Jones Industrial Average.
DJIA,
+ 0.80%
yuav tawm ntawm kev lag luam kho nrog qhov ze tshaj 32,877.66 thaum Nasdaq Composite
COMP,
+ 1.05%
yuav tawm ntawm nws txoj kev ua lag luam siab phem nrog kev ua tiav saum 12,775.32.

Nyeem: Vim li cas Asmeskas cov khoom lag luam sib tw zoo li zoo li lub khw muag nyuj tshiab dua li tus dais thaws rau cov kws tshuaj ntsuam no

Tab sis nws yog qhov loj-cap ntsuas S&P 500 qhov ntau tshaj-7% nce nyob rau plaub lub lis piam dhau los uas yog "muaj kev phom sij ze rau qhov txaus ntshai heev los ntawm qhov kev xav pom," sau Jefferies cov kws tshaj lij, suav nrog Andrew Greenebaum, hauv daim ntawv hnub Sunday.

Kev nce ntawm tsuas yog ntau dua 8% nyob rau plaub lub lis piam yuav kos ib qho kev sib txawv ntawm ob tus qauv rau S&P 500 kev sib tw, lawv tau pom, raws li cov ntaub ntawv rov qab mus rau xyoo 1990, uas txhais tau hais tias kev ua lag luam yuav tsis xav tau "cov kua txiv hmab txiv ntoo ntau dua" txhawm rau txhawm rau txheeb xyuas. thaj chaw tseem ceeb.

Thiab nyob rau hauv 17 lub sij hawm S&P 500 tau tsoo qhov pib, qhov kev ua haujlwm tom ntej "zoo li loj," lawv tau sau, qhov nruab nrab 9% nyob rau rau lub hlis tom ntej. Tab sis muaj ib qho kev ceeb toom tseem ceeb nyob rau hauv uas kuj tseem muaj ntau zaus uas pom ob tus lej tsis zoo rov qab los. Thiab thaum XNUMX lub hlis dhau los tsis zoo - ib yam li lub sijhawm no nyob ib puag ncig - "qhov zoo li qhov zoo rov qab los poob qis," lawv tau sau (saib daim ntawv qhia thiab cov lus hauv qab no).

Lub takeaway, lawv hais tias, yog tias "thaum qhov zoo li qhov tsis tuaj yeem nres tuaj yeem ntxias cov neeg nyob hauv, tseem muaj lub sijhawm muaj zog nws tsuas yog kev lag luam (kuj muag) dais lag luam rally."

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/a-surging-stock-market-is-on-the-verge-of-signaling-a-huge-move-but-theres-a-catch-11659959485? siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo