Kev lag luam loj tuaj yeem ua tau, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ceeb toom

Plua plav tawm ntawm koj lub caij txom nyem Kev npaj phau ntawv koj tau siv rov qab rau xyoo 2008-2009 raws li kev teeb tsa tshwm sim rau kev lag luam loj heev uas tsis nyob deb dhau rau yav tom ntej, ceeb toom ib tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam.

"Kev ua lag luam ua lag luam yog nruj heev, yog li qhov no tuaj yeem txhais tau tias muaj kev lag luam me me. Kuv tsis xav tias yog paub tau xwb. Ib qho uas peb tab tom pom los ntawm peb qhov kev tshawb fawb - vim tias peb saib ntawm 22 kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb - yog tias muaj kev teeb tsa rau kev lag luam loj dua. Kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb ntau dua. Lub sijhawm kawg peb muaj qhov ntawd yuav zoo li thaum ntxov 1980s, "Lub koom haum tshawb fawb Economic Cycle (ECRI) co-founder Lakshman Achuthan tau hais rau Yahoo Nyiaj Txiag Nyob.

Cov cim qhia txog kev lag luam brewing tsis nyuaj dhau los pom tam sim no.

Rau ib qho, cov xov xwm-lobbing layoffs tau nce.

E-commerce site Stitch Fix (SFIX) hais rau hnub Thursday nws yuav ax15% ntawm nws cov neeg ua haujlwm ua haujlwm raws li nws cuam tshuam nrog kev muag khoom qeeb thiab nce kev poob. E-kos npe software tuam txhab DocuSign (DOCU) tau hais tias lub lim tiam no nws yuav qeeb qeeb ntawm kev ntiav. Hluav taws xob scooter player Bird (BRDS) tshaj tawm lub lim tiam no nws yuav nteg tawm 23% ntawm nws cov neeg ua haujlwm raws li nws clamps rau cov nuj nqis.

Cov noog hluav taws xob scooters tau nres hauv Ocean Beach ib puag ncig ntawm San Diego, California, Asmeskas, ua ntej Plaub Hlis Ntuj hnub so Lub Xya Hli 3, 2020. REUTERS/Bing Guan

Cov noog hluav taws xob scooters tau nres hauv Ocean Beach ib puag ncig ntawm San Diego, California, Asmeskas, ua ntej Plaub Hlis Ntuj hnub so Lub Xya Hli 3, 2020. REUTERS/Bing Guan

Netflix (NFLX) thiab khw muag khoom lag luam platform Robinhood (Hood) tseem tau txiav cov hauj lwm tom qab tsis muaj kev vam meej thawj peb lub hlis twg. Meanwhile, cryptocurrency pauv platform Coinbase (NPAJ) tau tso tseg kev ntiav neeg ua haujlwm tshiab thiab txawm tias tshem tawm qee qhov kev lees paub ua haujlwm lawm.

Nyob rau hauv lem, qhov ntawd yog pib hnyav dua ntawm cov neeg siv khoom xav thiab kev siv nyiaj.

Michigan Consumer Sentiment nyeem ntawv tanked 14% nyob rau lub Rau Hli piv rau lub Tsib Hlis, nqa qhov Performance index mus rau trough hit nyob rau hauv nruab nrab ntawm lub xyoo 1980 recession. Cov neeg siv khoom 'kev ntsuam xyuas ntawm lawv tus kheej nyiaj txiag teeb meem phem zuj zus txog 20%, raws li cov daim ntawv qhia tshiab. Kwv yees li 46% ntawm cov neeg siv khoom tau suav tias lawv qhov kev xav tsis zoo ntawm lawv qhov xwm txheej nyiaj txiag mus rau theem siab ntawm kev nce nqi.

Meanwhile, retailer Target (TGT) ceeb toom lub lim tiam no nws yuav aggressively cim cia cov khoom muag raws li cov neeg siv khoom kav hauv lawv cov kev siv nyiaj ntawm cov khoom tsis tseem ceeb.

Kom paub meej, tsis yog txhua tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag nyob hauv qhov kev lag luam kev lag luam.

Goldman Sachs tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag Jan Hatzius kwv yees lub quarter thib ob US GDP kev loj hlob ntawm 2.8%, kev txhim kho los ntawm 1.5% poob hauv thawj peb lub hlis twg, tom qab ntawd GDP qhov nruab nrab 1.6% kev loj hlob dhau plaub lub hlis twg thiab tsis muaj kev poob qis.

"Txawm hais tias peb cov kev kwv yees kev loj hlob tau qis dua qhov kev pom zoo, peb ntseeg tias kev ntshai ntawm kev poob qis hauv kev lag luam xyoo no yuav ua pov thawj dhau heev tshwj tsis yog tias muaj kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo tshiab tshwm sim," Hatzius tau sau hauv tsab ntawv tsis ntev los no rau cov neeg siv khoom. "Txawm hais tias kev lag luam piav qhia txog kev ua lag luam poob qis thiab txo qis kev tswj hwm kev ntseeg siab, kev ntsuas kev ua haujlwm ntawm cov kev tshawb fawb muaj nyob rau lub Plaub Hlis thiab Tsib Hlis qhia txog kev poob qis dua li kev vau."

Brian Sozzi yog ib qho editor-at-large thiab thauj tog rau nkoj ntawm Yahoo FinanceCov. Ua raws li Sozzi ntawm Twitter @BrianSozzi thiab nyob rau LinkedIn.

Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance

Ua raws li Yahoo Finance Twitter, Facebook, Instagram, Flipboard, LinkedIn, Thiab YouTube

Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/a-severe-recession-is-possible-economic-expert-warns-162559630.html