Kev lag luam vaj tsev rov pib dua tau dhau los ua 'ntau tshaj qhov ntawd'

Kab lus no pom thawj zaug nyob hauv lub Caij Ntxov Nyuv Luv. Txais Cov Lus Qhia Thaum Sawv Ntxov xa ncaj qha rau koj lub inbox txhua hnub Monday txog Friday thaum 6:30 sawv ntxov ET. Sau npe yuav ua

Friday, Lub Xya hli ntuj 17, 2022

Cov ntawv xov xwm niaj hnub no yog los ntawm Myles Udland, senior kev lag luam editor ntawm Yahoo Finance. Ua raws nws ntawm Twitter @Mloog Udland thiab nyob rau LinkedIn.

Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tab tom sim ua qeeb kev lag luam, thiab cov vaj tsev nyob tau coj lub zog tag nrho ntawm cov kev ua tam sim no.

Tus nqi yog nce rau cov neeg yuav khoom. Kev ntseeg siab los ntawm cov neeg tsim khoom poob. Sau tus nqi raug txiav. Thiab yog hais tias lub tswv yim hais tias lub voj voog vaj tsev is lub voj voog kev lag luam tuav ib qho sway, txoj kev ua ntej tsis zoo nkauj.

Cov Suav Neeg Zej Tsoom luam tawm nws tsab ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab ntawm kev pib vaj tse thiab kev tso cai tsim tsev, uas muaj kev saib xyuas txhua hli ntawm kev tsim vaj tsev nyob thoob tebchaws, hnub Thursday sawv ntxov. Nws tau pom tias nyob rau lub Tsib Hlis, qhov nrawm ntawm kev tsim vaj tsev tshiab tau poob los ntawm 14% txij lub Plaub Hlis mus rau qhov qis tshaj plaws hauv ib xyoos.

Hauv kev ua lag luam qiv nyiaj, tej yam tseem ceeb dua.

Cov ntaub ntawv tawm hnub Thursday los ntawm Freddie Mac qhia qhov nruab nrab tus nqi ntawm 30-xyoo cov tsev qiv nyiaj ruaj khov tau nce mus rau 5.78% lub lim tiam dhau los, qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2008 thiab cim qhov loj tshaj ib lub lis piam nce txij li xyoo 1987.

Nyob rau hauv ib tug xovxwm sablaj rau hnub Wednesday, Fed Chair Jerome Powell tau hais tias kev lag luam vaj tsev tab tom ntsib "rov pib dua." Cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm hnub Thursday qhia rau tsawg kawg ib tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag uas "rov pib dua" tej zaum yuav tsis yog lo lus muaj zog txaus los piav qhia txog qhov muaj zog tshwm sim hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev tam sim no.

"Ob peb lub hlis tom ntej no yuav coj mus ntxiv, nce siab, txo qis hauv kev tsim vaj tsev, muab qhov tawg hauv qhov kev thov qiv nyiaj," Ian Shepherdson, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ntawm Pantheon Macro, tau sau hauv tsab ntawv ceeb toom tom qab hnub Thursday cov tsev nyob pib cov ntaub ntawv. "Thawj Powell nag hmo tau hais tias kev lag luam vaj tsev tab tom tab tom pib 'rov pib dua'; nws yog ntau tshaj qhov ntawd. "

Thaum ntxov lub lim tiam no, cov nyeem ntawv kawg ntawm homebuilder sentiment los ntawm National Association of Home Builders pom tias tsim kev ntseeg siab nyob rau lub Rau Hli poob mus rau nws qib qis tshaj hauv ob xyoos. Thiab ib tug tshiab qhia los ntawm Redfin (RDFN) tau qhia tias thaum muaj cov paj laum nce siab, qhov feem ntawm cov tsev muag khoom nrog cov nqi tsis ntev los no tau nce mus rau qib siab tshaj txij li tsawg kawg 2015.

Qhov feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov tsev nyob rau hauv kev ua lag luam nrog tus nqi poob yog nyob ntawm nws qib siab tshaj txij li tsawg kawg 2015, raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Redfin. (Qhov chaw: Redfin)

Qhov feem pua ​​​​ntawm cov tsev nyob rau hauv kev ua lag luam nrog tus nqi poob yog nyob ntawm nws qib siab tshaj txij li tsawg kawg 2015, raws li cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Redfin. (Qhov chaw: Redfin)

Taylor Marr, Tus Lwm Thawj Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam ntawm Redfin, tau hais tias kev lag luam vaj tsev "tsis poob, tab sis nws tab tom muaj kev poob qis vim nws nqis los ntawm qhov tsis muaj kev vam meej. Kev thov vaj tsev tau txias heev rau lub sijhawm uas kev lag luam tau pib ntsib kev tawm haujlwm. "

Redfin tau tso tseg 8% ntawm nws cov neeg ua haujlwm ua ntej lub lim tiam no, lub qhov tseeb nyob rau hauv ib txoj hlua ntawm layoffs peb tau pom tshaj tawm thoob plaws lub ntiaj teb tech uas zoo li yuav nthuav tawm.

Powell tau hais rau hnub Wednesday tias "Kuv xav hais yog tias koj yog tus neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev ... lossis tus tub hluas tab tom nrhiav yuav tsev, koj xav tau rov pib dua," Powell hais rau hnub Wednesday. "Peb yuav tsum tau rov qab mus rau qhov chaw uas cov khoom siv thiab kev xav tau rov qab los ua ke, qhov chaw nyiaj txiag poob qis dua, thiab cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj qis dua. Yog li qhov no yuav yog tus txheej txheem uas peb lub hom phiaj… ua peb txoj haujlwm nyob rau hauv txoj hauv kev uas lub tsev lag luam nyob hauv qhov chaw tshiab thiab kev muaj vaj tsev nyob thiab kev muaj peev xwm qiv nyiaj yog nyob rau theem tsim nyog. "

Txhais: Lub xeev tam sim no ntawm vaj tse tsis noj qab nyob zoo.

Thiab Fed cov lus pom zoo kho? hws tawm.

Economy

  • Muaj Ntau Lawm, lub hli dhau ib hlis, Tsib Hlis (0.4% xav tau, 1.1% thaum lub hli dhau los)

  • Kev siv peev xwm, Tsib Hlis (79.3% xav tau, 79.0% thaum lub hli dhau los)

  • Manufacturing (SIC) Ntau lawm, Tsib Hlis (0.2% xav tau, 0.8% thaum lub hli dhau los)

  • Ua Index, Tsib Hlis (-0.4% xav tau -0.3% lub hli dhau los)

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Nyeem cov xov xwm tshiab nyiaj txiag thiab lag luam los ntawm Yahoo Finance

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Tau qhov twg los: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/housing-morning-brief-june-17-2022-100036483.html