70% ntawm cov kws tshawb fawb txog nyiaj txiag hais tias Amelikas tab tom mus rau kev poob nyiaj txiag: kev xaiv tsa. Yuav ua li cas nqis peev tam sim no

Kev txhawj xeeb txog kev poob nyiaj txiag? Nov yog qee cov lus qhia los ntawm cov kws tshaj lij


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Ntau tus kws tshawb fawb txog nyiaj txiag hais tias Tebchaws Meskas yuav poob rau kev lag luam nyiaj txiag xyoo tom ntej, raws li qhov tshiab pov npav los ntawm Lub Sijhawm Nyiaj Txiag thiab University of Chicago's Booth School of Business. Tseeb tiag, 70% ntawm 49 tus kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam tau hais tias lawv xav tias peb yuav tshaj tawm kev lag luam poob qis hauv 2023. Tau kawg, txawm tias qhov kev txhawj xeeb no ua pov thawj tias muaj tseeb tseem yuav pom, tab sis yog tias koj xav npaj rau qhov ua tau, ntawm no yog dab tsi. cov pros hais kom ua. 

Tsis txhob derail koj cov kev npaj mus sij hawm ntev vim yog fear

Nws yog ib qho tseem ceeb tsis txhob cia kev ntshai ua rau koj lub tswv yim kev nqis peev mus sij hawm ntev, pros hais. Nws tau coj S&P 500 tsuas yog 4 lub hlis, qhov nruab nrab, txhawm rau rov qab poob los ntawm 23 qhov kev lag luam kho (txo qis ntawm 10% mus rau 20%) txij li Tsov Rog Ntiaj Teb Zaum II, thiab 14 lub hlis, qhov nruab nrab, tom qab 10 "lub vaj ntau yam" dais kev lag luam (kev poob qis ntawm 20% mus rau 40%) nyob rau tib lub sijhawm ntawd, raws li cov ntaub ntawv sau los ntawm Sam Stovall, tus thawj tswj hwm kev nqis peev ntawm CFRA Research. "Yog hais tias koj yog ib tug ntshai Nelly, ces tsuas yog nco ntsoov koj tus kheej ntawm qhov ceev uas nws tau coj mus rau lub lag luam kom rov qab mus ua txhaum," hais Stovall.

Warren Buffett nws tus kheej hais txog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm kev nqis peev rau lub sijhawm ntev thiab sim tsis ua lub sijhawm ua lag luam, yam tsawg kawg rau cov tub ua lag luam feem ntau. "Tsis txhob saib lub khw ze," Buffett hais rau CNBC rov qab rau xyoo 2016. "Yog tias lawv tab tom sim yuav thiab muag cov khoom lag luam, thiab txhawj xeeb thaum lawv nqis me ntsis ... thiab xav tias tej zaum lawv yuav tsum muag lawv thaum lawv nce. , lawv yuav tsis muaj txiaj ntsig zoo heev. "

Tab sis yog tias koj ntshai heev, xav txog me ntsis ntxiv kev saib xyuas

Txawm li cas los xij, tsis yog txhua tus neeg nyiam caij cua daj cua dub uas coj nrog nws ntau yam tsis paub meej. Nyob rau hauv tas li ntawd, cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum coj ib tug me ntsis ntau conservative txoj kev nrog lawv cov portfolio, qhia Brian Robinson, ib tug certified nyiaj txiag npaj thiab koom tes nrog SharpePoint.

Qhov ntawd zoo li cas hauv kev xyaum? Pib los ntawm kev muag qee qhov kev nqis peev hauv koj cov ntaub ntawv, tom qab ntawd, Robinson hais tias, xav txog kev siv cov nyiaj tau los mus yuav khoom xws li cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj luv luv, cov nyiaj sib pauv pauv nyiaj, thiab cov koom haum ntawm cov tuam txhab uas them cov nyiaj tau los.

Cov kev hloov pauv ntawm cov ntaub ntawv no yuav ua rau koj nqis peev, txawm tias lub khw lag luam poob. "Koj xav ua qhov no dhau sijhawm," Robinson qhia. Koj tuaj yeem nthuav tawm qhov kev yuav khoom thiab muag hauv ib lub sijhawm ntawm ob peb lub hlis thiab xyuas kom koj yuav nrog lub hom phiaj ntawm kev tuav nws tsawg kawg ib ntus, cov kws tshaj lij hais. 

Thiab tsom mus rau qhov sib txawv ntawm cov ntaub ntawv sib txawv yog ib txoj hauv kev los ua tus kws tshaj lij, Stovall hais tias, ntxiv tias daim ntawv cog lus thiab cov khoom lag luam uas them cov nyiaj faib siab ob leeg muab "lub ncoo" yog tias kev lag luam poob qis. Dab tsi ntxiv, hu ua cov khoom tiv thaiv - tshwj xeeb hauv cov neeg siv khoom lag luam, kev noj qab haus huv thiab cov khoom siv hluav taws xob - feem ntau poob qis dua li lwm qhov ntawm lub khw thaum muag muag, nws hais ntxiv.

Yuav cov khoom lag luam ntawm tus nqi qis nrog cov nyiaj ntxiv uas koj muaj

Yog tias koj xav siv txoj hauv kev los mus rau kev lag luam kev sib tsoo, kev npaj tsuas yog ib nrab ntawm txoj kev npaj - koj yuav tsum tau siv sijhawm los yuav cov khoom lag luam ntawm tus nqi qis, cov lus hais. Tab sis ua nws siv nyiaj ntxiv uas koj muaj - thiab yuav cov peev nyiaj sib koom lossis lwm yam kev nqis peev uas koj nyiam cia zaum hauv khw ib ntus raws li cov nqi lag luam rov qab.

Kev txheeb xyuas qhov "txoj cai" kev lag luam poob mus yuav yog qhov nyuaj heev - thiab tej zaum yuav yog lub sijhawm zoo los txhuam cov kev tshuaj ntsuam xyuas lossis nrog tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam rau cov lus qhia, Stovall pom zoo. "Vim tias kev ntshai yog qhov kev txhawb siab zoo, qhov tseem ceeb yog tias nws zoo li txhua tus tab tom pov tus menyuam tawm nrog dej da dej, feem ntau yog lub sijhawm zoo los yuav," Stovall hais. 

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/story/70-of-economists-in-a-new-poll-say-america-is-headed-for-a-recession-in-2023-heres-how- pros-say-to-approach-investing-in-light-of-that-11655243150?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo