50% ntawm kev ua lag luam yog nyob rau hauv npuas, Dan Suzuki ceeb toom raws li Fed tau npaj txhij los ntsib

Kev ua lag luam tej zaum yuav nyob rau hauv lub sijhawm thaum ntxov ntawm kev poob qis.

Txawm hais tias hnub Monday lub tech rov qab los, tus thawj tswj nyiaj txiag Dan Suzuki ntawm Richard Bernstein Advisors ceeb toom cov pab pawg nyob rau hauv "npuas."

“Rov qab mus saib keeb kwm ntawm npuas. Lawv tsis maj mam kho thiab ces tawm mus rau kev sib tw rau lub hlis tom qab. Koj feem ntau pom qhov kev kho loj, koj paub, 50% lossis ntau dua. Thiab, feem ntau nws los nrog kev tawm tsam, "tus thawj tswj hwm tus thawj tswj hwm kev nqis peev tau hais rau CNBC's "Nyiaj ceev nyiaj. "

Suzuki qhia tias cov ceg txheem ntseeg siab nyob rau lub lim tiam no nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tau teem rau lub rooj sib tham ob hnub. Wall Street kev pom zoo cia siab tias yuav nce ib nrab taw tes rau hnub Wednesday. Qhov loj tshaj wildcard, raws li Suzuki, yuav yog kev taw qhia.

Suzuki, uas kuj yog ib tug qub Bank of America-Merrill Lynch tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam hais tias "Tej zaum muaj ntau qhov kev poob qis dua mus. “Cov ntaub ntawv siv tshuab, kev sib txuas lus thiab cov neeg siv khoom raws li muaj cai... ib leeg ua li ib nrab ntawm lub khw muag khoom ntawm S&P 500. "

Suzuki thiab nws lub tuam txhab ua tus tech npuas hu lig Lub Rau Hli. Kev kwv yees tau tsim los ntawm kev xav tias qhov kev txaus siab nce ib puag ncig yuav ua rau cov khoom lag luam loj hlob, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog thev naus laus zis.

Meanwhile, Nasdaq tab tom los tawm nws lub hli phem tshaj plaws txij li xyoo 2008. Lub tech-heavy index dhia 1.6% rau hnub Monday. Tab sis, nws tseem tawm yuav luag 23% los ntawm nws qhov siab txhua lub sijhawm, ntaus rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 22, 2021.

Txawm li cas los xij, Suzuki tseem nyob twj ywm hauv cov khoom lag luam.

Txhawm rau huab cua muaj peev xwm sib tsoo, Suzuki tab tom ua txoj hauv kev barbell. Ntawm qhov kawg, nws nyiam cov khoom lag luam uas feem ntau tau txais txiaj ntsig hauv ib puag ncig kev lag luam, tshwj xeeb lub zog, ntaub ntawv thiab nyiaj txiag. Nws teev cov khoom tiv thaiv, uas suav nrog cov khoom siv raw khoom, nyob rau sab tod los.

Nws tau hais tias "Feem ntau ntawm cov neeg tau txais txiaj ntsig nyiaj txiag zoo li tuaj nrog ntau lub voj voog," nws hais. "Qhov ntxiv tias kev lag luam txuas ntxiv qeeb, tej zaum koj yuav xav hloov qhov kev xav ntawm qhov barbell kom deb ntawm cov neeg tau txais txiaj ntsig nyiaj txiag thiab mus rau ntau lub npe tiv thaiv."

Suzuki lees paub cov tub ua lag luam tau them tus nqi them rau kev lag luam nyab xeeb. Txawm li cas los xij, nws ntseeg tias nws tsim nyog.

"Yog tias koj rov qab mus saib tag nrho cov lag luam dais hauv 20 txog 30 xyoo dhau los, saib qhov pib qhov kev ntsuas rau cov khoom tiv thaiv. Lawv yeej tsis pheej yig mus rau hauv lub lag luam dais, "Suzuki hais. "Lawv yog tus nqi txheeb ze rau lwm lub khw uas cov nyiaj tau los kwv yees tej zaum yuav siab dhau."

Disclaimer

Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/05/02/50percent-of-market-is-in-a-bubble-dan-suzuki-warns-as-fed-gets-ready-to-meet. html