Peb nug cov kws tshaj lij hauv tsev thiab qiv nyiaj thiab cov kws tshawb fawb txog nyiaj txiag tias lawv kwv yees li cas yuav tshwm sim rau lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav no.
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Peb nug cov kws tshaj lij hauv tsev thiab qiv nyiaj thiab cov kws tshawb fawb txog nyiaj txiag seb lawv kwv yees li cas yuav tshwm sim hauv kev lag luam vaj tsev nyob rau lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav no thiab ntxiv mus rau xyoo 2022. Nov yog qhov lawv tau hais rau peb. (Koj tuaj yeem nrhiav cov nqi tsev qis tshaj plaws uas koj tuaj yeem tsim nyog rau ntawm no.)
Kev twv ua ntej 1: Tej zaum yuav muaj kev sib tw tsawg dua rau cov tsev nqi siab dua
Cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj tau nce ntxiv: Cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj ntawm 30-xyoo tus nqi qiv nyiaj tau nce txog 5% lub hlis no, thawj zaug uas tau tshwm sim txij li xyoo 2011, thiab cov kws tshaj lij hais tias lawv yuav nce mus ntxiv. "Feem ntau cov neeg yuav khoom pib lawv cov nqi ntau npaum li cas lawv tuaj yeem them taus txhua lub hlis thiab cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj yuav nce mus rau qhov qiv nyiaj raws li tus nqi nce. Yog li ntawd, qhov nce ntawm cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj txhais tau hais tias cov neeg yuav khoom hauv tsev yuav tau hloov kho lawv cov kev cia siab, thiab pib yuav khoom hauv cov nqi qis dua. Peb yuav pom kev sib tw tsawg dua rau cov tsev muaj nqi dua thiab kev sib tw ntau dua rau cov tsev qis dua, "hais tias Holden Lewis, tus kws tshaj lij hauv tsev thiab qiv nyiaj ntawm Nerdwallet hais.
Kev twv twv 2: Kev nce nqi tsev yuav yuam qee tus neeg yuav khoom tawm ntawm lub khw
"Muaj ntau tus neeg yuav khoom yuav raug yuam tawm ntawm kev ua lag luam vim tias muaj kev cuam tshuam rau kev them taus los ntawm kev nce cov paj laum," hais tias Lawrence Yun, tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag ntawm National Association of Realtors (NAR). "Tus nqi tsev 15% nce thiab cov paj paj tam sim no nce mus txog 5% tau txhawb nqa lub luag haujlwm them nqi tsev txhua hli ... (Koj tuaj yeem nrhiav cov nqi tsev qis tshaj plaws uas koj tuaj yeem tsim nyog rau ntawm no.)
Kev twv twv 3: Cov nqi tsev yuav nce mus ntxiv, tab sis kev loj hlob yuav qeeb me ntsis
"Txhua lub tuam txhab vaj tsev loj nrog kev tshaj tawm pej xeem, suav nrog CoreLogic thiab Fannie Mae, kwv yees tias cov nqi tsev yuav nce siab dua rau xyoo tom ntej," Fortune tshaj tawm lub lim tiam no. Tab sis cov xov xwm zoo rau cov neeg yuav khoom yog tias tus nqi hauv tsev loj hlob tuaj yeem qeeb me ntsis hauv 2022, cov kws tshaj lij hais. Zillow hais tias kev loj hlob ntawm tus nqi hauv tsev txhua xyoo yuav "txuas ntxiv mus txog lub caij nplooj ntoo hlav, nce siab ntawm 22% hauv lub Tsib Hlis ua ntej maj mam qeeb mus rau 17.8% thaum Lub Ob Hlis 2023." Nicole Bachaud, tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag Zillow, piav qhia tias: "Peb yuav pom tus nqi loj hlob qeeb tom qab lub xyoo no vim tias qhov kev xav tau rov qab los vim cov neeg yuav khoom txaus tau tsoo lub qab nthab ntawm cov nqi nce thiab cov nqi tsev qiv nyiaj."
Uas tau hais tias, tsis txhob cia siab tias qhov no yuav dhau los ua tus muag khoom lub khw txhua lub sijhawm sai sai, cov kws tshaj lij hais. "Qhov kev nce nqi hauv tsev qiv nyiaj tau nce siab yog thawb ntau tus neeg yuav tsev tawm ntawm lub khw, tab sis nws kuj zoo li ua rau qee tus tswv tsev tsis txhob muag. Nrog kev thov thiab muab ob qho tib si swb, kev ua lag luam tsis zoo li tig los ntawm tus neeg muag khoom lag luam mus rau tus neeg yuav khoom lag luam sai sai, "Redfin Chief Economist Daryl Fairweather hais tias nyob rau hauv ib daim ntawv qhia.
Kev twv twv 4: Qee tus neeg ua haujlwm yuav ntsib kev txiav txim siab nyuaj txog kev rov qab mus ua haujlwm ntawm tus kheej, thiab qhov ntawd yuav cuam tshuam rau lawv txoj kev xaiv vaj tsev.
"Lub Plaub Hlis zoo li yuav pom qhov kev txhim kho dav dav hauv cov neeg siv khoom lag luam, suav nrog kev mus ncig ntau dua li kev txwv tsis pub muaj kev sib kis ploj mus thiab peb tau tawm mus rau qhov qub qub. Thaum cov tuam txhab hloov pauv mus rau qhov chaw ua haujlwm ib puag ncig thiab sim coax cov neeg ua haujlwm rov qab mus rau qhov cubicles thiab mus rau hauv cov neeg coob coob, kev them nyiaj nce ntxiv uas tsis tau ua raws li cov nqi roj, pluas su, khaub ncaws thiab chaw zov me nyuam yuav ua rau muaj kev xav tau yooj yim. Kev vam meej ntawm kev ua haujlwm nyob deb li ob xyoos dhau los tsis yog tsuas yog rov hais dua kev coj noj coj ua thiab kev cia siab xwb, tab sis kuj tau tso cai rau cov neeg Asmeskas nrhiav cov vaj tsev pheej yig dua nyob deb ntawm cov nqi siab hauv plawv nroog, "hais tias George Ratiu, tus kws tshawb fawb laus ntawm Realtor.com. Nws muaj peev xwm hais tias qee cov neeg uas xav tias lawv tsis tas yuav rov qab mus ua haujlwm ntawm tus kheej yuav tsum tau ua tiag tiag, uas txhais tau tias peb tuaj yeem pom cov neeg tsiv tawm ntawm cov tsev nyob deb nroog ntau dua lawv tau yuav thaum lub sijhawm muaj tus kabmob kis mus rau ntau lub nroog.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.marketwatch.com/picks/4-predictions-for-the-housing-market-in-2022-from-economists-and-real-estate-pros-01650321632?siteid=yhoof2&yptr=yahoo