Daim ntawv tshaj tawm Nyiaj Tsis Ua Lag Luam (NFP) tau tshaj tawm nag hmo hauv United States yog qhov tseem ceeb ntawm lub lim tiam trading. Raws li nws tau nthuav tawm, Asmeskas kev lag luam tau ntxiv cov haujlwm ntau ntxiv nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis tshaj li kev lag luam xav tau, lees paub tus lej ADP tawm ob hnub dhau los.
Kev lag luam Asmeskas tau ntxiv 223k txoj haujlwm tshiab rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, ntau dua li 200k xav tau. Tsis tas li ntawd, tus nqi poob haujlwm poob rau 3.5% los ntawm 3.7% xav tau.
Puas yog koj tab tom nrhiav kom tau cov xov xwm ceev, kub-cov lus qhia thiab kev tsom xam kev ua lag luam?
Sau npe rau Invezz cov ntawv xov xwm, hnub no.
Lawm, kev lag luam teb rau daim ntawv tshaj tawm tam sim ntawd. Cov nyiaj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas tau xaus rau hnub qis dua li cov tub ua lag luam tau hnov mob rau NFP daim ntawv tshaj tawm thiab cov ntaub ntawv ISM Cov Kev Pabcuam tso tawm me ntsis tom qab hnub.
Tebchaws Asmeskas kev ua lag luam tseem nyob ruaj khov
Kev lag luam kev lag luam yuav nyob ib ncig ntawm lub ces kaum, raws li qhia los ntawm ISM Cov Kev Pabcuam uas tau txav mus rau qis dua 50. Tab sis kev lag luam kev lag luam tseem nyob ruaj khov, vim tias cov kev pabcuam kev ua haujlwm tau nyob hauv thaj tsam ntawm 180k txoj haujlwm / hli.
Tab sis muaj teeb meem nrog nag hmo cov ntaub ntawv tsis sib haum. Ntawm qhov tod tes, kev ua lag luam ua haujlwm tseem nyob ruaj khov. Ntawm qhov tod tes, cov kev pabcuam sector cog lus.
Qhov teeb meem yog tias kev ua haujlwm yog qhov taw qhia lagging. Yog li ntawd, cov txiaj ntsig zoo ntawm nag hmo daim ntawv tshaj tawm txoj haujlwm yuav tsum tau noj nrog cov nplej ntsev.
Tus nqi poob haujlwm poob qis
Fed ob txoj haujlwm txhais tau hais tias xav txog kev hloov pauv ntawm tus nqi ntawm cov khoom thiab cov kev pabcuam thiab kev hloov pauv ntawm cov haujlwm thaum teeb tsa tsoomfwv cov nyiaj tau los. Yog li ntawd, tus nqi poob haujlwm poob qis ua rau Fed taug qab los txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau txhawm rau nws
Tab sis kev ua lag luam yog saib tom ntej. Nws twb paub tias cov ntaub ntawv ua haujlwm yog lag luam; Yog li, nws saib lwm cov ntsiab lus uas yuav muab qee qhov qhia txog qhov Fed yuav ua li cas ntxiv.
Kev loj hlob nyiaj txiag tseem nyob nruab nrab
Tej zaum qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws ntawm nag hmo tsab ntawv ceeb toom yog qhov nruab nrab cov nyiaj tau los ntawm ib teev. Kev loj hlob ntawm cov nyiaj ua haujlwm txuas ntxiv mus rau nruab nrab, muab kev cia siab rau cov tub ua lag luam tias cov ntaub ntawv kev nce nyiaj hauv lub lim tiam tom ntej yuav qhia txog kev txo qis ntxiv ntawm cov nqi ntawm cov khoom thiab cov kev pabcuam hauv Tebchaws Meskas.
Yog li ntawd, US dollar selloff pom nyob rau hauv lub xeem ib feem ntawm lub trading hnub yuav tsum tau saib raws li ib tug tshwm sim rau cov tub ua lag luam npaj rau kev nce nqi kom poob sai dua li qhov pib xav tau.
Tau qhov twg los: https://invezz.com/news/2023/01/07/3-reasons-why-the-december-nfp-report-matters-for-markets/