New Jeeps tso tawm ntawm lub khw muag tsheb hauv New York City thaum Lub Kaum Hli 5, 2021.
Spencer Platt | Getty Dluab
DETROIT - Automakers cia siab tias xyoo tas los kev muag tsheb tshiab - qhov phem tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv ntau tshaj kaum xyoo - yuav kos rau hauv qab rau kev ua lag luam, tsawg kawg nyob rau lub sijhawm ze.
Kev lag luam kwv yees li ntawm 13.7 lab mus rau 13.9 lab lub tsheb tshiab tau muag xyoo tas los hauv Asmeskas, kwv yees li 8% mus rau 9% poob qis piv nrog 2021 thiab qib qis tshaj txij li xyoo 2011 thaum muag tau rov qab los ntawm Kev Txom Nyem Loj.
Kev muag khoom sib txawv los ntawm automaker, raws li qhov chaw thiab cov khoom lag luam teeb meem cuam tshuam rau cov tuam txhab sib txawv ntawm lub sijhawm, tab sis feem ntau - nrog General Motors' 2.5% nce raws li qhov tshwj xeeb tshwj xeeb - tau nqis los piv nrog 2021. Ford Tsav, Hyundai thiab Kia txhua tus tau tshaj tawm qhov qis ib tus lej poob qis. Toyota Motor tau poob 9.6%, thaum Hnub qub, Nissan thiab Honda Motor tau tshaj tawm ob tus lej poob ntawm 13%, 25% thiab 29.4%, feem.
Tab sis cov thawj coj hauv kev lag luam tsheb tseem ceev faj txog qhov kev muag khoom yuav rov qab los rau xyoo 2023, tsis hais txog kev poob qis, kev nce paj thiab lwm yam kev txhawj xeeb txog nyiaj txiag. Ib xyoos ib txwm ua ntej tus kabmob kis tau pom ntau dua 17 lab hauv kev muag khoom.
Toyota thiab GM tau hais tias lawv cia siab tias Asmeskas kev muag tsheb yuav nce mus txog 15 lab lub tsheb xyoo no. Qhov ntawd yuav yog kwv yees li 9% nce ntxiv nyob rau xyoo 2022. S&P Ntiaj Teb Kev Mobility thiab Edmunds cia siab tias 2023 lub tsheb tshiab hauv Asmeskas muag yuav yog 14.8 lab, thaum Cox Automotive qhov kev kwv yees ua ntej yog 14.1 lab.
“Peb tau ceev faj zoo txog yav tom ntej. Xyoo 2023, yuav muaj qhov nce siab tsis zoo li peb xav tau tab sis mus rau qhov yog, "Jack Hollis, tus lwm thawj coj ntawm Toyota Motor North America, tau hais thaum lub sijhawm sib tham hnub Wednesday. "Kev thov tseem siab dua peb cov khoom siv."
Yog vim li cas rau qhov kev cia siab yog ob npaug: Kev muag khoom tau nyob ntawm lossis ze rau theem kev poob qis vim yog cov teeb meem ntawm cov khoom thiab cov saw hlau, ntxiv rau qhov kev thov tau nce los ntawm cov neeg siv khoom thiab kev lag luam tom qab xyoo ntawm cov khoom muag tsheb nruj thaum muaj kev sib kis.
Automakers tau tshaj tawm cov ntaub ntawv los yog ze-cov ntaub ntawv tau tshwm sim nyob rau hauv xyoo tas los no thaum muaj kev nruj ntawm cov tsheb tshiab thiab cov neeg siv khoom xav tau. Lawv tau tso nyiaj rau cov kev xav tau zoo raws li cov khoom lag luam qib normalize, vam tias yuav zam kom tsis txhob muaj cov luv nqi hnyav lossis kev txhawb nqa kom txav tsheb.
Qhov kev txo qis sib sib zog nqus ntawm kev lag luam pab tswj kev tsim khoom thiab nce kev muag khoom, txawm li cas los xij ntau tus thawj coj pib tau cog lus tias lawv yuav tsis rov qab mus rau qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm tus nqi ntawm cov txiaj ntsig.
Automakers tuaj yeem cuam tshuam cov khw muag khoom tsis zoo nrog kev muag khoom xa mus rau tsoomfwv thiab tuam txhab xws li cov chaw qiv tsheb. Cov kev muag khoom loj no tau siv lub rooj zaum rov qab rau cov neeg muag khoom muag hauv xyoo tas los no thiab feem ntau tsis tshua muaj txiaj ntsig zoo dua li cov neeg siv khoom tab sis pab txav khoom.
Hollis tau hais tias "Kev xav tau ntawm lub nkoj muaj siab heev, tsis muaj kev ntseeg," nws hais ntxiv tias nws ntseeg tias yuav muaj "kev sib haum xeeb" thoob plaws kev lag luam txog kev txhawb nqa.
Charlie Chesbrough, Cox tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag laus thiab tus thawj coj loj ntawm kev nkag siab txog kev lag luam, tau hais tias nws tsis ntseeg tias kev muag tsheb yuav tshaj tawm qhov tseem ceeb nce ntxiv hauv 2023 - tshwj tsis yog cov tuam txhab tsheb tso cov nqi kom lawv pheej yig dua.
Automakers tau dhau los ua tus nqi khoom lag luam ntau los tsim cov tsheb mus rau cov neeg siv khoom, ua rau cov tsheb kim dua. Qhov ntawd, ua ke nrog skyrocketing cov paj laum, cov nqi roj ntau dua thiab kev nce nqi dav, tau ua rau cov tsheb tshiab xav tau.
"Nov yog ib qho ntawm cov sij hawm tsis tshua muaj uas peb yeej tsis muaj lub tswv yim tias kev lag luam yuav mus li cas. Nws tuaj yeem yooj yim nce lossis nqis los ntawm qhov chaw peb nyob tam sim no, "Chesbrough hais rau CNBC. "Kev nrawm dhau ob peb lub hlis dhau los tau taw qhia rau kev lag luam tsis muaj zog."
Cov khoom lag luam tsheb tau txhim kho mus txog rau thaum xaus ntawm lub xyoo - daim ntawv teev cov nqi tsheb siab thaum kawg yuav yooj yim. Thiab cov ntim ntau dua ua rau muaj peev xwm rau qhov "xav tau kev puas tsuaj" scenario, qhov twg cov khoom siv pib tshaj qhov xav tau.
Ntau tus ntawm Phab Ntsa Street kuj ntshai tias cov hnub tau txais txiaj ntsig tshaj plaws rau cov neeg tsim khoom lag luam yuav nyob tom qab ntawm lawv cov paj laum ntau dua, poob nqi tsheb siv thiab ib qho normalization ntawm kev muag khoom sib xyaw kom deb ntawm cov qauv thauj khoom tag nrho.
Chesbrough tau hais tias muaj "kev pheej hmoo poob qis rau kev ua lag luam" thaum muaj kev lag luam puv ntoob. Tab sis nws tau hais tias qhov kev cuam tshuam yuav tsis tshwm sim ntau npaum li yav dhau los vim tias ntau cov nyiaj tau los qis thiab cov neeg qiv nyiaj subprime, uas feem ntau yuav tawm ntawm lub tsheb tshiab thaum muaj kev poob qis, tau ua tiav vim tias cov khoom muag qis thiab cov ntaub ntawv khaws tseg- tus nqi siab.
Xyoo tas los qhov kev muag khoom tag nrho tseem yog qhov kwv yees vim tias tsis yog txhua tus neeg tsim tsheb tau tshaj tawm cov txiaj ntsig. Motor Intelligence qhia txog kev muag khoom ze li ntawm 13.9 lab units xyoo tas los, Cox Automotive kwv yees muag ntawm 13.8 lab thiab Edmunds thiab Wards Intelligence kwv yees 13.7 lab.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/06/2022-us-auto-sales-are-worst-in-more-than-a-decade-.html