Ethereum

Ethereum derivatives zoo li poob qis, tab sis cov tub lag luam ntseeg tias ETH hauv qab yog nyob rau hauv

11/29/2022
Cov Xov Xwm Bitcoin Ethereum

Ether (ETH) rallied 5.5% nyob rau thaum ntxov lub Kaum Ib Hlis 29, reclaiming qhov tseem ceeb $1,200 kev txhawb nqa. Txawm li cas los xij, thaum txheeb xyuas lub sijhawm ntev dua, 24% kev ua haujlwm tsis zoo hauv 30 hnub dhau los cuam tshuam rau cov tub ua lag luam kev xav. Ntxiv mus, cov tub ua lag luam 'mob siab phem tom qab BlockFi tau foob rau kev lag luam rau Kaum Ib Hlis Ntuj 28.

Newsflow tseem tsis zoo tom qab Tebchaws Meskas Lub Tsev Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Nyiaj Txiag Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ruaj Ntseg Txawv Tebchaws (OFAC) tshaj tawm ib qho kev daws teeb meem nrog crypto pauv Kraken rau "kev ua txhaum cai ntawm kev rau txim rau Iran." Hauv tsab ntawv tshaj tawm Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 28, OFAC tau hais tias Kraken tau pom zoo them ntau dua $ 362,000 los daws nws cov peev txheej kev lav phib xaub.

Ntxiv mus, nyob rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 28, cov chaw muab kev pabcuam crypto nyiaj txiag Silvergate Capital tsis lees paub cov lus xaiv ntawm kev nthuav tawm tseem ceeb rau BlockFi kev lag luam. Silvergate tau hais ntxiv tias nws qhov kev poob qis tsawg dua $ 20 lab hauv cov cuab tam digital thiab rov hais dua tias BlockFi tsis yog tus saib xyuas rau nws cov nyiaj qiv nyiaj crypto-collateralized.

Cov tub lag luam ntshai tias Ether tuaj yeem poob qis dua $ 800 yog tias lub lag luam dais txuas ntxiv. Ib qho piv txwv los ntawm Crypto Twitter tus tub luam Il Capo Ntawm Crypto:

Peb saib Ether derivatives cov ntaub ntawv kom nkag siab yog tias cov kev lag luam phem zuj zus tau cuam tshuam rau cov neeg ua lag luam crypto kev xav.

duab

Cov tub lag luam Pro tau maj mam tawm ntawm qib kev ntshai

Cov khw muag khoom lag luam feem ntau zam tsis dhau peb lub hlis tom ntej vim lawv cov nqi sib txawv ntawm cov khw muag khoom. Lawv yog cov kws ua lag luam nyiam cov cuab yeej siv vim lawv tiv thaiv kev hloov pauv ntawm cov nyiaj tau los uas feem ntau tshwm sim hauv daim ntawv cog lus yav tom ntej.

Ob lub hlis yav tom ntej tus nqi them txhua xyoo yuav tsum pauv ntawm +4% txog +8% hauv kev lag luam noj qab haus huv los them cov nqi thiab cov kev pheej hmoo cuam tshuam. Yog li, thaum kev lag luam yav tom ntej ntawm qhov luv nqi piv rau cov khw muag khoom ib txwm muaj, nws qhia tias tsis muaj kev ntseeg siab los ntawm cov neeg yuav khoom - qhov taw qhia bearish.

Ether 2-hli yav tom ntej tus nqi them txhua xyoo. Source: Laevitas

Daim ntawv qhia saum toj no qhia tau hais tias cov tub lag luam derivatives tseem poob qis vim Ether tus nqi them rau yav tom ntej tsis zoo. Txawm li cas los xij, nws tsawg kawg tau pom qee qhov kev txhim kho me ntsis thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 29. Bears tuaj yeem hais txog qhov peb nyob deb npaum li cas los ntawm qhov nruab nrab-rau-bullish 0% mus rau 4% hwm, tab sis tom qab ntawm 71% poob hauv ib xyoos tuav qhov hnyav heev. .

Txawm li cas los xij, cov tub lag luam kuj yuav tsum txheeb xyuas Ether cov kev xaiv lag luam kom tshem tawm cov khoom siv sab nraud tshwj xeeb rau cov cuab yeej yav tom ntej.

Kev xaiv cov tub luam tsis xav kom muaj kev sib tw tam sim

25% delta skew yog ib qho kev qhia thaum cov neeg tsim khoom lag luam thiab cov rooj sib tham arbitrage yog overcharge rau upside lossis downside tiv thaiv.

Hauv kev lag luam dais, kev xaiv cov tub ua lag luam muab qhov sib txawv ntau dua rau cov nqi pov tseg, ua rau qhov taw qhia skew nce siab tshaj 10%. Ntawm qhov tod tes, kev lag luam bullish nyiam tsav qhov taw qhia skew hauv qab -10%, txhais tau tias cov kev xaiv bearish tau txo qis.

Ether 60-hnub xaiv 25% delta skew: Source: Laevitas

Lub delta skew tau nqis mus rau lub lim tiam dhau los, qhia tias cov tub lag luam xaiv tau yooj yim dua muab kev tiv thaiv downside.

Raws li 60-hnub delta skew sawv ntawm 18%, whales thiab cov khw muag khoom yog tus nqi siab dua ntawm cov nqi pov tseg rau Ether. Yog li ntawd, ob qho tib si kev xaiv thiab kev ua lag luam yav tom ntej taw qhia rau cov tub lag luam uas ntshai tsam rov sim dua ntawm $ 1,070 qis yog qhov kev kawm ntuj rau ETH.

Los ntawm qhov kev xav pom zoo, cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm cov khoom lag luam tsom iav Glassnode qhia tau tias Kaum ib hlis 2022 muag-tawm yog plaub-loj tshaj rau Bitcoin (BTC). Qhov kev txav mus los tau ua rau xya-hnub pom tau tias poob ntawm $ 10.2 billion.

Yog li ntawd, qhov tsis sib xws yog qhov kev txiav txim siab rau cov neeg tuav Ether tau dhau mus thiab cov uas tso cov thawj koom ruam tam sim no - tawm tsam ETH cov txiaj ntsig kev ntsuas - yuav kawg tawm tom ntej.