Michael burry, tus saib xyuas nyiaj txiag, feem ntau hu ua "The Big Short" tau tsim lub koob npe nrov rau kev kwv yees txog tus dav dav nyiaj txiag ciaj uas muag, nrog rau cryptocurrencies. Nws qhov kev kwv yees tseem ceeb rau hnub tim yog kev vaj tsev thiab kev lag luam tom ntej hauv xyoo 2008.
Feem ntau, Burry yog ib tug polarizing daim duab nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb no ntawm ua lag luam. Tseeb, nrog rau cryptocurrency kev ua lag luam tau txais kev muaj koob meej nyob rau xyoo tas los no, Burry tau siv nws tus account Twitter los ua qhov kev kwv yees tseem ceeb thiab cov ntsiab lus hais txog kev lag luam. Finbold tau sau cov kev kwv yees hauv qab no los ntawm Burry:
Kev twv ua ntej # 1: Lub sijhawm rau kub thaum crypto scandals koom ua ke hauv kev sib kis
Nyob rau hauv ib tug deleted tweet Thaum Lub Kaum Ib Hlis 15, Burry tau hais tias kub yuav nce mus rau lub sijhawm, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nrog cov lag luam cryptocurrency raug marred los ntawm kev sib txawv scandals. Qhov tseem ceeb, 2022 kev ua lag luam kho yog ib feem ntawm kev thuam thiab kev lag luam uas ua rau cov neeg siv poob nyiaj ntau.
Burry tau sau tseg tias qhov kev txaj muag zoo li yuav sib koom ua ke hauv 'kev sib kis. Nws cov lus pom zoo hais tias kev thuam yuav ua rau cryptocurrencies tsis txaus nyiam.
Qee qhov kev ua yeeb yaj kiab loj tshaj plaws los ntaus cov sector suav nrog FTX crypto pauv hloov pauv, lub Terra (nkauj hnub nraug hli) ecosystem poob, thiab Celsius Network ntaub ntawv bankruptcy. Raws li kev lag luam crypto kho, cov hlau muaj txiaj ntsig, ntawm qhov tod tes, tau ua tau zoo txawm tias muaj kev lag luam loj loj.
Tam sim no, raws li kev kwv yees, cov neeg ua lag luam txaus siab rau hauv cryptocurrencies tseem raug txwv nrog feem coob nyob ntawm sab nraud. Ntawm qhov tod tes, kub tau kaw qhov kev ua tau zoo tshaj plaws raws li qhov chaw crypto sib ntaus sib tua lub caij ntuj no tsis tu ncua.
Kev twv twv # 2: Bitcoin thiab cov khoom lag luam poob theem thib ob hauv 2022 Q2
Thoob plaws xyoo 2022, ob qho tib si kev lag luam vaj huam sib luag thiab cryptocurrencies tau raug kev hloov kho loj heev thaum muaj kev lag luam macroeconomic uas coj los ntawm kev nce nqi thiab cov paj laum. Raws li kev lag luam kev ua tau zoo los ntawm thawj ib nrab, Burry hinted tias qhov thib ob ib nrab ntawm kev lag luam poob tuaj yeem ua si tawm hauv rau lub hlis dhau los ntawm lub xyoo.
Qhov tseeb, ob qho tib si Bitcoin (BTC) thiab cov khoom lag luam tseem tsis tau khaws txawm tias qhov kev nce nqi qhia pom tias qeeb qeeb.
"Hloov rau kev nce nqi, 2022 thawj ib nrab S&P 500 nqis 25-26%, thiab Nasdaq nqis 34-35%, Bitcoin nqis 64-65%. Qhov ntawd yog ntau yam compression. Ntxiv mus, cov nyiaj tau los compression. Yog li, tej zaum ib nrab ntawm qhov ntawd, "Burry hais.
Nws yog ib qho tsim nyog hais tias tom qab pom cov cim qhia ntawm rally mus txog $18,000, Bitcoin tau ua tsis tiav los tswj cov txiaj ntsig. Qhov kev tawm tsam luv luv tau tshwm sim tom qab Asmeskas kev nce nqi qeeb nrog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve txias rau cov paj laum hikes.
Raws li qhov kev twv ua ntej no, txawm tias Bitcoin ua tau zoo me ntsis, tag nrho qhov chaw crypto tseem nyob hauv lub lag luam dais nrog feem ntau cov cuab tam tab tom nrhiav rau hauv qab.
Kev twv #3: Cia siab tias leej niam ntawm txhua qhov kev sib tsoo
Thaum Lub Rau Hli 2021, 'Loj Luv' kwv yees leej niam ntawm txhua qhov kev sib tsoo rau stocks thiab cryptocurrencies. Raws li Burry, kev sib tsoo los ntawm crypto yuav zoo li kis mus rau 'txoj kev loj', sau tseg tias keeb kwm tsis tau hloov pauv. Nws ua qhov kev twv ua ntej ntawm qhov siab ntawm 2021 crypto nyuj lag luam.
"Tag nrho cov hype / speculation yog ua yog kos hauv khw muag khoom ua ntej leej niam ntawm txhua qhov kev sib tsoo. Thaum crypto poob los ntawm trillions, lossis meme stocks poob los ntawm kaum tawm billions, #MainStreet poob yuav cuam tshuam rau lub teb chaws qhov loj. Keeb kwm tsis hloov, ”nws hais tias.
Tsis tas li ntawd, Burry tau hais tias qhov teeb meem nrog crypto yog leverage. Nws hais ntxiv tias cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsum nkag siab txog kev siv zog ua ntej koom nrog crypto.
Raws li tej yam tshwm sim, qhov kev twv ua ntej tau pom nyob rau hauv 2022 tom qab ob qho tib si cov khoom lag luam thiab cryptocurrencies pom muaj kev sib raug zoo nrog cov peev txheej tseem ceeb. Piv txwv li, lub lag luam crypto poob yuav luag $ 2 trillion hauv peev nyiaj.
Disclaimer: Cov ntsiab lus ntawm lub xaib no yuav tsum tsis txhob suav hais tias yog cov lus qhia txog kev nqis peev. Kev nqis peev yog speculative. Thaum kev nqis peev, koj cov peev nyiaj muaj kev pheej hmoo.
Tau qhov twg los: https://finbold.com/3-notable-crypto-predictions-by-big-short-michael-burry/