Tus nqi Bitcoin tseem nyob qis dua $ 19,000 thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, tsis deb ntawm lub zos qis ntawm $ 18,300. Thaum lub Tus Nqi Khoom Siv Tus Nqi (CPI) thiab Tus Tsim Khoom Nqe Index (PPI) cov ntaub ntawv tau tshaj tawm lub lim tiam dhau los, tus nqi BTC poob qis rau qib nqi xwb.
Tsis xav txog rau ntau tus, ib qho kev rov qab sai heev tshwm sim, ntes luv luv ntawm kev tiv thaiv. Nrog lub Kaum Ib Hlis 02 - thaum lub FED ntsib dua - hauv siab, tus nqi Bitcoin tsis muaj chaw ntau kom poob qis dua qib ntawd tam sim no. Ntxiv mus, saib ntawm on-chain qhia tias lwm qhov kev sib tsoo yog ua tau nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm luv luv, txawm hais tias muaj cov cim zoo ib yam.
raws li rau CryptoQuant, lub teeb liab ua lag luam tshwm sim thaum tus nqi paub ntawm txhua tus neeg tuav lub sijhawm ntev (xiav kab) mus rau saum tus nqi paub ntawm tag nrho cov nyiaj npib yuav (kab liab) thiab thaum tus nqi BTC poob qis dua tus nqi ntawm cov neeg tuav ntev. thiab paub tus nqi ntawm tag nrho cov npib.
Kev tshuaj xyuas xaus lus tias tus nqi Bitcoin tau nyob hauv lub lag luam dais rau 124 hnub. Hauv qhov kev hwm no, qhov poob ntawm $ 6,000 txog $ 3,000 yog piv rau tus nqi poob ntawm $ 30,000 txog $ 18.000, raws li qhov feem pua qis qis hauv khw dais kawg ntawm $ 6,000 txog $ 3,000 yog 50%.
Uas tau hais tias, hauv qab tej zaum yuav tsis tau pom dua:
Qhov poob ntawm $ 30.7k rau $ 18.2k yog 41%. Ib qho 50% poob ntawm $ 30.7k yuav muab BTC ntawm $ 15k (-18% ntawm tus nqi tam sim no). Zoo ib yam li tus nqi $14.7k delta.
Contradictory On-Chain Data rau Bitcoin
Nrog Santiment, lwm qhov kev pabcuam loj hauv kev txheeb xyuas tau hais tias kev ua lag luam Bitcoin xav tau qhov zoo tshaj plaws pom kev sib sau nyob rau lub sijhawm no, thaum cov tub lag luam me tseem poob qis thiab kis mus rau kev puas tsuaj thiab kev ntxhov siab.
Txawm li cas los xij, cov ntaub ntawv tsis sib xws tau tshwm sim hauv qhov no. Yog li, Bitcoin qhov me me rau nruab nrab qhov chaw nyob (nrog 0.1 txog 10 BTC) tsis ntev los no tau mus txog txhua lub sijhawm siab ntawm 15.9% ntawm cov khoom muaj. Nyob rau tib lub sijhawm, whales nrog 100 txog 10,000 BTC tau sau tseg 3-xyoo qis ntawm 45.6% ntawm cov khoom siv.
Nyob rau sab bullish, Bitcoin tau ntsib ib qho loj heev ntawm cov nyiaj npib los ntawm kev sib pauv thaum Lub Kaum Hli 18. Santiment tau sau cov ntim loj tshaj plaws txhua hnub hauv 4 lub hlis, suav txog 40,572 BTC. Nrog rau qhov no, cov nyiaj npib ntawm txhua qhov kev sib pauv tau poob rau 8.48%. Qhov no txhais tau hais tias qhov kev pheej hmoo ntawm kev muag khoom yav tom ntej tau txo qis me ntsis.
Cov ntaub ntawv Bullish kuj tau tshaj tawm los ntawm qhov thib peb loj ntawm cov ntaub ntawv xov xwm hauv Glassnode. Bitcoin khoom uas tsis tau tsiv mus nyob rau hauv 6 lub hlis dhau los yog nce mus txog qhov qis txhua lub sijhawm. Tam sim no nws sawv ntawm 18.12% ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj lossis kwv yees li 3.485 lab BTC. Glassnode sau:
Keeb kwm, tsawg heev ntawm cov khoom siv txawb feem ntau tshwm sim tom qab lub lag luam dais ntev.
Jim Bianco, Thawj Tswj Hwm ntawm Bianco Research LLC, tsis ntev los no hais tawm ib tug qub tub luam cov lus hais, "Tsis txhob luv lub lag luam dull," uas yuav siv ntau dua puas tau rau lub lag luam Bitcoin.
Raws li nws qhov kev txheeb xyuas, qhov pom tau tias qhov tsis muaj tseeb txhais tau tias qhov rov qab los lossis qhov tsis muaj tseeb yog nyob rau ntawm 2-xyoo qis thiab tau sau ib qho qis tshaj plaws ntawm txhua lub sijhawm.
Kev lag luam hauv qab ntawm apathy, tsis excitement. BTC thiab ETH muaj apathy. S&P 500 yog ze li qhov sib txawv, raws li cov nqi txav mus ib puag ncig zoo li video game. Qhov no kuj yuav yog lwm qhov cim ntawm TradFi / Crypto nruj kev sib raug zoo. Yog tias muaj, qhov no yog qhov ntev-khiav bullish rau crypto.
Diverging volatility yog li ntawd yog ib qho cim ntawm qhov kev hloov pauv no thiab thaum kawg ua rau muaj qhov zoo rau lub sijhawm ntev.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/will-bitcoin-see-a-repeat-of-november-2018/