Vim li cas cov khoom muag tuaj yeem pom poob sai sai, Xov Xwm Zoo rau Bitcoin?

Cov khoom lag luam thoob ntiaj teb tuaj yeem tab tom yuav raug ntaus, qhov kev txav mus los yuav txhais tau qee qhov kev pab rau Bitcoin thiab kev lag luam crypto. Cov cuab yeej cuab tam nascent tau ntsib kev poob qis vim US Federal Reserve (FED) tau teeb tsa kom tsis txhob muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv.

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Thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, Bitcoin (BTC) pauv ntawm $ 31,300 nrog 4% cov txiaj ntsig hauv 24 teev dhau los. Hauv lub lim tiam dhau los, tus qauv crypto txiaj tau sau 6% cov txiaj ntsig. BTC tus nqi thaum kawg tau tawg nws lub lis piam sib law liag ntawm kev ua lag luam liab.

Cov qauv tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv mus rau lub sijhawm luv. Raws li a daim ntawv qhia los ntawm Senior Commodity Strategist rau Bloomberg Intelligence Mike McGlone, cov khoom muag tej zaum yuav tig mus rau qhov tsis zoo.

cov daim ntawv qhia thov cov hauv qab no raws li nws tshuaj xyuas Bloomberg Cov Khoom Muag Khoom Muag Index thiab cov xwm txheej qhia txog qhov nce ntawm kev muag siab rau cov haujlwm no:

Cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem hloov pauv mus rau qhov kev poob qis hauv 2H, ib yam li lawv tau ua hauv 2008, Peb pom qhov sib piv hauv 2022 thiab nce kev pheej hmoo rau qhov zoo sib xws, kwv yees li 50% plunge (…). Slumping lumber thiab tooj liab tej zaum yuav ceeb toom ntxov tias qhov kev kho tus nqi siab dua yog nce traction.

Kev ua tsov ua rog Russia-Ukraine, McGlone tau hais tias, thiab kev poob qis hauv ntiaj teb cov nyiaj tau los. Tus kws tshaj lij tau hais tias qhov kev nthuav dav ntawm cov nyiaj tau los hauv Asmeskas, vim yog qhov tshwm sim ntawm COVID-19 kev sib kis, tau thim rov qab.

Nrog rau cov lus piav qhia txav deb ntawm tus kab mob no, kev nkag siab tias lub ntiaj teb tab tom hloov mus los ntawm COVID-19, thiab kev nce nyiaj nce siab hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas, yog qhov tseem ceeb hauv qab qhov nce ntawm cov khoom muag. Qhov no tuaj yeem yog lub taub hau rau cov haujlwm no hauv lub sijhawm luv luv, tab sis xov xwm zoo rau Bitcoin. McGlone sau tseg:

Yog tias cov khoom lag luam nce ntxiv, muaj kev hem thawj rau kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam, thiab Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve tuaj yeem cuam tshuam ntxiv rau kev nce nqi ntxiv. Kub tej zaum yuav yog 2H nqe thawj coj.

Ntau Ntshav Hauv Bitcoin Ua Ntej? Vim li cas FED nrhiav kev mob hauv cov khoom muaj nqis txaus ntshai

Raws li NewsBTC tau tshaj tawm, kev poob qis hauv cov khoom lag luam tuaj yeem cuam tshuam qhov cuam tshuam rau Bitcoin thiab pheej hmoo ntawm cov khoom muaj nqis. Yog tias FED pom nws txoj cai nruj raws li kev ua tau zoo, nws tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev nruj dua.

Kev sib tw tshiab hauv cov khoom lag luam yog "kev hem thawj" rau kev loj hlob ntawm kev lag luam, uas yuav qhia rau FED tias nws yuav tsum muaj ntau dua hawkish, uas yuav hloov mus rau qhov mob ntau dua rau Bitcoin. McGlone tau sau tseg cov hauv qab no hauv qhov xwm txheej no raws li BTC tus nqi, cuam tshuam nrog cov khoom lag luam ib txwm muaj, xws li S&P 500 thiab Nasdaq 100 yog tam sim no ua lag luam saum cov kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb:

Lub S&P 500 txhawb nqa qis dua 4,000 sawv cev rau kev sib tw rau txhua qhov kev pheej hmoo, tshwj xeeb tshaj yog cov hlau, thiab kev txhawb nqa kub. Yog tias tus nqi sib npaug tseem poob qis, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav tau txais qee qhov kev pab cuam ntes kev nce nqi (…).

Kev cia siab ntawm kev ua lag luam ntawm kev nce paj ntau dua, uas txhais tau tias mob ntau dua rau Bitcoin thiab cov khoom lag luam, tau poob qis, McGlone tau hais. Cov kws tshaj lij hais tias qhov kev cia siab nce siab nce siab ntawm 2.5% thiab tam sim no sawv ntawm ib ncig ntawm 2%.

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Tom qab qhov kev poob qis tseem ceeb ntawm tus nqi ntawm cov khoom lag luam ib txwm muaj, Asmeskas cov tuam txhab nyiaj txiag zoo li ua tau zoo ntawm kev txwv kev nce nqi. Txawm li cas los xij, McGlone ntxiv, qhov mob hauv Bitcoin, cov khoom lag luam, thiab kev pheej hmoo ntawm cov khoom muaj nqis tuaj yeem nyob rau theem pib:

tab sis lub hauv paus muaj peev xwm rau qhov peb pom tias qhov kev thim rov qab zoo ntawm cov cuab tam muaj kev pheej hmoo hauv 2022 tshwm sim thaum ntxov (…) txawm hais tias 20% thim rov qab hauv S&P 500 qhia tias tus nqi tsis txaus poob.