Thaum Lub Xya Hli 29, US Bureau of Economic Analysis tau tshaj tawm txog Asmeskas cov kev siv nyiaj tus kheej (PCE) tus nqi ntsuas rau lub hli ntawm Lub Rau Hli, thiab daim duab pom qhov loj tshaj 12 lub hlis nce txij li xyoo 1982. Nyob rau tib hnub, Stanford University cov neeg laus ntawm Hoover Institution thiab tus xibfwb ntawm kev lag luam, John Cochrane, tau hais tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve yuav tsum nce tus nqi siab dua 9% txhawm rau tswj kev nce nqi.
PCE Nqe Index nce 4.8 feem pua ntawm ib xyoos dhau los
Kev lag luam Asmeskas tseem tab tom saib tsis zoo txhua lub sijhawm cov ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab kev lag luam lossis cov ntaub ntawv tshaj tawm rau pej xeem. Nyob rau nruab nrab Lub Xya Hli, Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Ua Haujlwm ntawm Cov Neeg Siv Khoom Siv Tus Nqi (CPI) daim ntawv qhia tau luam tawm, thiab nws tau tshaj tawm Lub Rau Hli cov ntaub ntawv CPI tau cuam tshuam txog cov ntaub ntawv sau tseg 9.1% xyoo dhau los. Lub Xya hli ntuj 27, US Federal Reserve taug kev Tsoom Fwv Tsoom Fwv Nyiaj Yug los ntawm 75 hauv paus ntsiab lus (BPS) txhawm rau pab txo cov roj liab liab.
Ob hnub tom qab, Lub Chaw Haujlwm Saib Xyuas Kev Lag Luam (BEA) tau tshaj tawm qhov kev saib xyuas zoo cov ntaub ntawv ntawm tus kheej siv kev siv nyiaj lwm lub npe hu ua PCE. PCE Performance index pom qhov loj tshaj plaws 12-lub hlis dhia nce 6.8% nyob rau lub Rau Hli, ib qho kev nce ntxiv uas tsis tau sau tseg txij li Lub Ib Hlis 1982.
"Los ntawm tib lub hlis ib xyoos dhau los, PCE tus nqi ntsuas rau lub Rau Hli tau nce 6.8 feem pua," BEA qhia cov ntsiab lus. "Tus nqi rau cov khoom lag luam nce 10.4 feem pua thiab cov nqi rau cov kev pabcuam tau nce 4.9 feem pua. Cov nqi khoom noj tau nce 11.2 feem pua thiab cov nqi hluav taws xob tau nce 43.5 feem pua. Tsis suav nrog zaub mov thiab lub zog, PCE tus nqi ntsuas tau nce 4.8 feem pua los ntawm ib xyoos dhau los, "tsoomfwv cov koomhaum cov ntaub ntawv sau tseg. BEA npaj yuav tshaj tawm cov txiaj ntsig los ntawm National Economic Accounts hloov tshiab txhua xyoo rau lub Cuaj Hlis 29.
Tus xibfwb ntawm Kev Lag Luam ntawm Stanford University Xav tias Kub lossis Bitcoin Standard yuav tsis ua haujlwm
Nyob rau tib hnub, tus kws xam nyiaj txiag John Cochrane tau ua kev sib tham nrog Kitco's newsdesk thiab hais tias Asmeskas lub tsev txhab nyiaj hauv nruab nrab yuav tsum tau them cov paj laum siab dua 9%. Cochrane tau hais ntxiv tias tus qauv kub lossis bitcoin yuav tsis tuaj yeem tswj kev nce nqi. Tus xibfwb ntawm kev lag luam ntawm Stanford University tau hais tias "kev pom zoo pom zoo" yog tias Fed yuav tsum nce tus nqi "siab tshaj" thaj tsam 9%.
"Qhov ntawd txhais tau tias, tam sim no nrog 9 feem pua inflation, economists tab tom tham txog 10, 11, lossis 12 feem pua ntawm cov paj laum kom coj [tus nqi] nqis," Cochrane tau hais. "Kuv xav tias Fed thiab kev lag luam suav nrog ntau qhov kev nce nyiaj nce mus rau nws tus kheej yam tsis muaj cov paj laum yuav tsum tau nce siab heev," Stanford tus kws lag luam nyiaj txiag hais rau Kitco News thauj tog rau nkoj David Lin.
Lin kuj nug Cochrane txog tus qauv kub lossis tus qauv bitcoin siv los tswj kev nce nqi. "Thov txim, tsis yog," tus kws lag luam teb. "Raws li tus qauv kub, muaj kev nce nqi ntau thiab deflation. 10 lossis 20 feem pua nce thiab nqis ntawm kev nce nqi thiab kev poob nyiaj txiag, tab sis txhua qhov kev nce nqi tau raug sib tw los ntawm kev poob qis. Kuv thov txim, peb tsis rov qab mus rau kub. " Cochrane ntseeg tias Fed yuav tsum siv txoj cai tswjfwm nruj dua txhawm rau txhawm rau tiv thaiv kev kub ntxhov.
Raws li tus qauv bitcoin, Cochrane tau hais tias nws yog lub tswv yim phem thiab hais kom bitcoin (BTC) yog "tsis muaj nqis." "Nws yog lub tswv yim phem," Cochrane tau hais hauv nws qhov kev xam phaj nrog Lin. "Nyob rau hauv cov nqe lus ntawm nyiaj txiag technology, Bitcoin yog ib qho kev sim rau revive kub, ib yam dab tsi intrinsically tsis muaj nqis uas tib neeg tsuas tuav mus rau vim nws tsis tshua muaj ... Bitcoin kuj yog ib tug neeg pluag heev rau kev ua lag luam nws tus kheej, vim nws yog heev computationally intensive." Cochrane xaus lus:
Cov lus teb zoo tshaj plaws yog peb cov tsoomfwv yuav tsum pib khiav lag luam nyiaj txiag thiab nyiaj txiag txoj cai, thiab ua tib zoo saib xyuas kom muaj kev nce nqi tswj hwm.
Koj xav li cas txog cov ntaub ntawv PCE tshiab thiab tus kws xam nyiaj txiag John Cochrane lub tswv yim? Koj puas xav tias kev txhim kho nyiaj txiag thiab nyiaj txiag txoj cai tuaj yeem pab cuam tshuam US kev nce nqi? Qhia rau peb paub koj xav li cas txog cov ncauj lus no hauv cov lus hauv qab no.
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Disclaimer: Kab lus no tsuas yog rau kev ua ntaub ntawv xwb. Nws tsis yog qhov ncaj qha lossis kev thov rau qhov kev yuav lossis muag, lossis kev pom zoo lossis kev pom zoo ntawm ib yam khoom, kev pabcuam, lossis tuam txhab. Bitcoin.com tsis muab peev, peev nyiaj, cai lij choj, lossis tswv yim nyiaj txiag. Tsis yog cov tuam txhab lossis cov neeg sau ntawv ua lub luag haujlwm, ncaj qha lossis tsis ncaj rau, rau ib qho kev puas tsuaj lossis poob lossis ua rau raug iab liam los ntawm lossis kev sib txuas nrog kev siv lossis kev cia siab rau qee cov ntsiab lus, khoom muag lossis kev pabcuam tau hais hauv tsab xov xwm no.
Tau qhov twg los: https://news.bitcoin.com/us-personal-consumption-expenditures-tap-record-highs-stanford-economist-says-fed-should-increase-rates-above-9/