Post-midterm kev xaiv tsa pov tseg? Bitcoin yuav pom $ 12K yog tias qhov no 2018 BTC daim ntawv fractal yog lawm

Thaum Bitcoin (BTC) Cov tub ua lag luam yuav tsis xav txog Tebchaws Meskas qhov kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab lub sijhawm yog qhov tseem ceeb, qhov eerie fractal los ntawm 2018 tuaj yeem muab cov lus qhia rau qhov yuav tshwm sim ua ntej xyoo xaus.

Bitcoin kom ntaus $ 12K- $ 14K tom qab nruab nrab?

Muab piv Bitcoin tus nqi nqis ua ntej lub midterm kev xaiv tsa xyoo 2018 nrog cov ntawm 2022 qhia tau hais tias muaj kev sib tw zoo sib xws hauv kev lag luam dais.

Piv txwv li, BTC tus nqi tau qis dua hauv 2018 thaum tuav cov kab rov tav nyob ze $ 6,000 raws li kev txhawb nqa, tsuas yog ua kom tawg hauv qab nws tom qab kev xaiv tsa ib nrab.

BTC / USD daim ntawv qhia txhua hnub featuring 2018 trend. Tau qhov twg los: TradingView/Aditya Siddhartha Roy

Nyob rau hauv 2022, lub cryptocurrency tau ib nrab ntawm mirrored no qauv. Nws tus nqi tam sim no tos qhov ze hauv qab qhov kev txhawb nqa kab rov tav tam sim no ntawm ib ncig ntawm $ 19,000. Nrog rau kev xaiv tsa nruab nrab lub sijhawm teem rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 8, qhov xwm txheej hais txog kev tawg tuaj yeem tshwm sim sai lossis tom qab, raws li tau piav qhia hauv qab no.

BTC / USD daim ntawv qhia txhua hnub featuring 2022 trend. Tau qhov twg los: TradingView/Aditya Siddhartha Roy

Tus kws tshuaj ntsuam kev lag luam ywj pheej Aditya Siddhartha Roy xav tias Bitcoin tus nqi yuav poob rau hauv $ 12,000- $ 14,000 ntau yog tias muaj kev sib tsoo zoo sib xws. Nws tau sau ntxiv tias cryptocurrency tuaj yeem tawm hauv lub Kaum Ib Hlis lossis Kaum Ob Hlis 2022, ib yam li xyoo 2018.

Kev lag luam ceeb toom rau Bitcoin

Lub bearish kwv yees nto li Bitcoin kev sib raug zoo nrog Asmeskas cov peev txheej loj hlob tuaj raws li Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve cov cai tswj nyiaj txiag. Ob lub khw muaj ua tim khawv txog kev poob siab nyob rau hauv lub sij hawm ntawm US central bank tus nqi nce nyob rau hauv 2022.

Keeb kwm, nyob rau hauv 17 ntawm 19 midterms txij li thaum 1946, lub lag luam Tshuag tau ua tau zoo nyob rau hauv rau lub hlis tom qab kev xaiv tsa tshaj li rau lub hlis tom qab nws.

S&P 500 qhov kev ua haujlwm nruab nrab hauv Asmeskas xyoo kev xaiv tsa ib nrab xyoo. Source: Charles Schwab

Qhov ntawd feem ntau yog vim kev lag luam kev cia siab ntawm tsoomfwv kev siv nyiaj ntau dua los ntawm Congress tshiab, sau ntawv Liz Ann Sonders, Charles Schwab tus thawj tswj hwm kev nqis peev, uas tau sib cav ntxiv tias 2022 tuaj yeem ua tiav qhov txiaj ntsig sib txawv.

"Ib qho ntxiv ntawm cov peev nyiaj zoo li tsis zoo li xyoo no, muab tsoomfwv qib keeb kwm ntawm kev siv nyiaj thiab kev txhawb nqa los teb rau tus kabmob kis," nws piav qhia, ntxiv:

"Kev sib xyaw ua ke ntawm kev nce nqi siab, kev ua tsov ua rog hauv Ukraine, thiab kev sib kis thoob qhov txhia chaw tau ua rau lub voj voog no, tsis zoo li cov xyoo dhau los. Nrog rau ntau lwm lub zog ntawm kev ua si hauv kev ua lag luam, kuv yuav tsis muab qhov hnyav ntau hauv keeb kwm kev ua haujlwm ib nrab xyoo. "

Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov nyiaj tau los tseem siab dua $ 21 trillion. Source: FRED

Raws li qhov tshwm sim, Bitcoin tseem muaj kev pheej hmoo ntawm tailing US cov khoom lag luam qis dua, nrog rau $ 12,000- $ 14,000 nqe hom phiaj hauv kev pom.

Optimistic BTC tus nqi ntsuas

Txawm li cas los xij, ib ntu ntawm kev ua lag luam crypto pom Bitcoin decoupling los ntawm kev lag luam ib txwm muaj, tawm tswv yim tias cryptocurrency yuav tsis tail S&P 500 rau hauv kev xaiv tsa tom qab nruab nrab.

"Qee lub sijhawm, kev ua lag luam yuav raug tswj hwm los ntawm cov neeg hauv zej zog uas yog cov neeg ntseeg ntev hauv BTC thiab tsis zoo li yuav muag thiab cov zej zog thoob ntiaj teb loj hlob uas siv BTC rau kev lag luam," Stephane Ouellette, tus thawj coj ntawm FRNT Financial Inc. , hais rau Bloomberg.

Related: Bitcoin clings rau $ 19K raws li tub luam cog lus capitulation 'yuav tshwm sim'

Ouellette cov lus tshaj tawm tuaj tom qab txhua hnub sib txheeb coefficient ntawm Bitcoin thiab S&P 500 poob rau 0.08 thaum Lub Kaum Hli 9, qhov qis tshaj hauv plaub lub hlis.

BTC / USD thiab SPX txhua hnub sib txheeb coefficient nyob rau hnub tsis ntev los no. Tau qhov twg los: TradingView

Lub caij no, tus naj npawb ntawm cov chaw nyob tshwj xeeb tuav tsawg kawg yog 1 BTC tau mus txog cov ntaub ntawv tshiab siab thaum Lub Kaum Hli 17, tsis zoo li cov qauv pom thaum lub sij hawm 2018 dais lag luam. Qhov no qhia tau tias cov tub ua lag luam tau khaws Bitcoin ntawm tus nqi hauv zos.

Tus lej ntawm Bitcoin chaw nyob tuav tsawg kawg yog 1 BTC. Source: Glassnode 

"Cov ntaub ntawv ntawm cov saw hlau qhia tau hais tias cov neeg tuav khoom muaj kev cia siab tias kev ua lag luam yuav rov qab los, ua kom cov khoom lag luam tseem ceeb muaj txiaj ntsig zoo," raws li rau ib daim ntawv los ntawm crypto pauv Bitfinex.

Tus kws tshuaj ntsuam kev lag luam Wolf tau muab qhov kev xav zoo sib xws, hais txog Bitcoin qhov tsis tshua muaj neeg muag khoom txheeb ze lub zog Performance index (RSI) thiab Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) cov cim ntawm cov kab kos txhua lub limtiam hauv 2022, uas technically qhia txog lub sijhawm ua ntej.

Nyob rau hauv kev sib piv, cov oscillators nyob rau hauv nruab nrab cheeb tsam ua ntej 2018 midterm kev xaiv tsa, lub ntsiab lus BTC tus nqi muaj ntau chav rau poob.

Cov kev xav thiab cov kev xav hais tawm ntawm no tsuas yog cov ntawm tus sau thiab tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam cov kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.com. Txhua qhov kev nqis peev thiab kev lag luam tawm mus cuam tshuam nrog kev pheej hmoo, koj yuav tsum ua koj tus kheej kev tshawb fawb thaum txiav txim siab.