PlanB: 40% ntawm Bitcoin yog poob

Hnub no PlanB tau tshaj tawm ib daim ntawv qhia uas nws qhia tias tam sim no 40% ntawm Bitcoin uas twb muaj lawm yuav poob. 

Hauv kev muaj tiag, qhov no tsuas yog kev kwv yees, txawm hais tias raws li cov ntaub ntawv tiag tiag, vim tias tus nqi yuav khoom ntawm txhua tus Satoshi hauv hav zoov tsis paub tiag tiag. 

Txawm li cas los xij, rau txhua feem ntawm BTC, nws muaj peev xwm paub qhov tseeb hnub ntawm qhov kev hloov pauv kawg tau sau tseg rau ntawm Bitcoin blockchain nyob rau hauv uas nws tau koom nrog, thiab xav tias tus nqi ua lag luam ntawm lub sijhawm meej yuav ntau dua lossis tsawg dua tus nqi yuav khoom. 

Kev siv cov txheej txheem no, yuav muaj tshwm sim txog 7.6 lab BTC tam sim no, thiab nws tuaj yeem xav tias lawv tau yuav ntau xyoo ntawm tus nqi siab dua li tam sim no ntawm $ 22,000. 

PlanB txoj kev tsom xam qhia tus naj npawb ntawm Bitcoin ntawm qhov poob

Tam sim no muaj nyob ib ncig ntawm 3 lab BTC uas tau ploj mus ib txhis

Raws li kev txheeb xyuas thawj zaug, qhov no yuav zoo li qhov feem pua ​​​​me me, tab sis ntawm qhov seem 11.5 lab BTC, muaj ntau qhov tam sim no. ploj mus ib txhis, vim tias lawv siv tsis tau zoo vim qhov poob ntawm qhov chaw nyob ntiag tug uas lawv khaws cia, uas yog qhov tseem ceeb rau lawv siv. 

Txij li nws tau kwv yees tias qhov poob BTC tuaj yeem yog ntau dua 3 lab, nws txhais tau tias BTC tseem nyob hauv kev yuav khoom ntawm tus nqi qis dua $ 22,000 tuaj yeem tsawg dua 8.5 lab, tsis ntau tshaj li 7.6 lab poob. 

PlanB kuj tau taw qhia tias yav dhau los tsis tau muaj qhov feem pua ​​​​ntawm ntau dua 40% ntawm Bitcoin ntawm qhov poob, thiab thaum muaj xwm txheej zoo sib xws lawv tau siv sijhawm li ob peb lub hlis xwb. Lub sijhawm ntev tshaj plaws nrog 40% ntawm BTC ntawm qhov poob yog qhov txaus ntshai dais lag luam ntawm 2014/2015, ib qho nram qab no cov Mt.Gox kev poob nyiaj, thaum nws siv tag nrho 9 lub hlis rau qhov ntsuas no poob qis. 

Qhov no tsuas yog lub sijhawm 5th hauv tag nrho keeb kwm ntawm Bitcoin uas nws tau poob rau qib no, nrog tsawg dua 60% ntawm BTC hauv cov nyiaj tau los.  

Txog tam sim no, qhov no twb tau mus txog li peb lub hlis, qhov ob zaug yav dhau los nws siv sijhawm tsawg dua, thiab ob zaug nws kav ntev dua. Nws yog ib nqi sau cia hais tias ob lub sij hawm thaum nws kav ntev dua, nws yog thaum lub sij hawm ob lub post-halving dais lag luam. Qhov tam sim no yog qhov thib peb tom qab ib nrab dais lag luam. 

Tej yam zoo li no kuj muaj nyob rau ntawm daim duab ntawm lub npe hu ua paub tus nqi, raws li kev kwv yees tib yam. Raws li daim duab no, txawm li cas los xij, nws tau tsawg dua ib hlis thiab ib nrab txij li tus nqi ntawm BTC tau qis dua tus nqi paub. Hauv kev ua lag luam dais ntawm 2014/2015, nws nyob ntawd yuav luag kaum ib lub hlis.


Tau qhov twg los: https://en.cryptonomist.ch/2022/07/25/planb-40-of-bitcoin-is-at-a-loss/