On-Chain MVRV Indicator Teeb rau Bitcoin Bull Market Path

Lub lag luam crypto yog ib txwm nyob rau hauv lub xeev ntawm flux, nrog cov nqi nce siab thiab poob qis tsis tu ncua. Txawm li cas los xij, kev txhim kho tsis ntev los no tuaj yeem qhia qhov pib ntawm lub lag luam bull mus ntev rau Bitcoin thiab altcoins.

Ib qho tseem ceeb ntawm cov saw hlau Bitcoin qhov taw qhia, MVRV, tau tawg tawm ntawm thaj chaw muag khoom, thiab keeb kwm, qhov xwm txheej no tau teeb tsa. pib ntawm lub lag luam bull.

Nkag siab txog MVRV thiab Nws Ua Haujlwm Li Cas

MVRV stands rau Kev Lag Luam Tus Nqi rau Kev Pom Zoo Tus Nqi, qhov taw qhia mus sij hawm ntev Bitcoin. Nws kwv yees thaum tus nqi ntawm BTC yog qis dua nws lub npe hu ua "tus nqi ncaj ncees." Nws cov derivative, MVRV Z-Score, yog siv los txiav txim seb Bitcoin puas yog overvalued lossis undervalued txheeb ze rau nws "tus nqi ncaj ncees," coj mus rau hauv tus account tus qauv sib txawv ntawm tag nrho cov ntaub ntawv keeb kwm kev lag luam peev.

MVRV Z-Score feem ntau txav mus rau hauv peb thaj tsam, tab sis qee zaus nws tuaj yeem txav tawm ntawm lawv thaum lub sijhawm huab cua hnyav lossis dais kev lag luam.

Qhov chaw ntsuab ntawm 0 thiab -0.5 yog txhais raws li tus nqi Bitcoin hauv qab "tus nqi ncaj ncees", qhov nruab nrab ntawm 0 thiab 7 yog suav tias yog "tus nqi ncaj ncees", thiab thaj chaw liab ntawm 7 thiab 9 yog txhais raws li Bitcoin. tus nqi siab dua "tus nqi ncaj ncees."

Keeb kwm, thaum MVRV Z-Score nyob rau hauv cheeb tsam ntsuab, nws taw qhia lub sij hawm ntawm Bitcoin nqi hauv qab. Hloov pauv, thaum qhov ntsuas tau nyob hauv thaj chaw liab, nws tau qhia txog lub sijhawm yuav los txog thiab lub sijhawm overbought hauv khw BTC.

Tam sim no, MVRV tau tawg tawm ntawm qhov chaw yuav khoom, uas tau sib sau ua ke ntawm BTC tus nqi yav dhau los.

Bitcoin Exits Buy Zone

Cryptocurrency kev lag luam Analyst @CryptoNoob_1 tsis ntev los no tweeted ib daim ntawv qhia ntawm MVRV, qhia txog qhov poob qis hauv qab 200-hnub nruab nrab thiab taw qhia tias lub Ib Hlis tsis ntev los no nce hauv BTC kev ua lag luam ua rau muaj kev tawg ntawm thaj chaw no. Nws hais tias "tus nqi ib txwm tau nce sai sai tom qab qhov xwm txheej no."

Thaum qhov no yog ib qho kev vam meej, muaj lub sij hawm ntawm fakeouts yav dhau los, qhov twg qhov taw qhia tau tawg tab sis tom qab ntawd rov qab los sim nws dua.

Tseem, nrog rau BTC tus nqi tawg tawm ntawm lub sij hawm ntev logarithmic tsis kam kab (liab) txij li thaum nws tag nrho lub sij hawm siab ntawm $ 69,000 thaum lub Kaum Ib Hlis 10, 2021, thiab MVRV Z-Score nqe lus rau kev rov ntsuam xyuas ntawm thaj tsam oversold ( xiav kab), ob qho xwm txheej yuav tshwm sim ib txhij, muab cov pov thawj muaj zog rau kev rov pib dua ntawm kev lag luam crypto bull.

Skepticism Reigns

Lub lag luam crypto tau ntsib qhov kev xav tsis thoob thaum lig. Ntawm ib sab, qee cov khw muag khoom lag luam tsis ntseeg tias Bitcoin poob qis hauv lub Kaum Ib Hlis. Ntawm qhov tod tes, kev xaiv cov ntawv cog lus tau qhia tias muaj kev ntseeg siab tias cov hauv qab tau mus txog qhov tseeb.

Qhov no dichotomy tau tsim lub sijhawm tshwj xeeb rau cov tub ua lag luam uas tuaj yeem ua qhov kev kwv yees tseeb txog kev lag luam crypto yav tom ntej. Rau cov neeg uas ntseeg hais tias cov tshiab lows nyob rau hauv lub qab ntug, ib tug zoo kev lag luam awaits.

Ib qho tseem ceeb qhia txog qhov muaj peev xwm rau kev lag luam zoo yog delta rau 15,000 BTC, luv nqi ntawm 0.14 thiab mus rau 2024, siv lub Kaum Ob Hlis 23 ua tus tso npe.

Qhov no delta yog ib qho kev ntsuas ntawm qhov kev hloov ntawm qhov kev xaiv tus nqi txheeb ze rau qhov kev hloov ntawm cov khoom vaj khoom tsev tus nqi. Nyob rau hauv cov ntaub ntawv no, ib tug tsawg delta qhia ib tug qis rhiab heev ntawm cov kev xaiv nqi rau kev hloov nyob rau hauv tus nqi ntawm Bitcoin, implying ib tug tsawg dua kev pheej hmoo.