Bitcoin (BTC) npaj tawm lub Kaum Ib Hlis Ntuj dhau los ntawm $ 16,000 - dab tsi tuaj yeem yog ntawm cov ntawv qhia zaub mov rau BTC nqi lub lim tiam no?
Nyob rau hauv ib lub sij hawm ntawm dab tsi tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Willy Woo tau hu ua "tsis tau pom dua ua ntej," Bitcoin nyob deb ntawm cov ntoo tom qab poob ntau dua 20% lub hlis no.
Qhov cuam tshuam ntawm FTX implosion tseem tsis paub, thiab cov cim ceeb toom txuas ntxiv mus txawm tias tom qab thawj nthwv dej ntawm crypto lag luam poob.
Hauv tshwj xeeb lub lim tiam no, ob lub qhov muag nyob ntawm cov miners, uas tau pom cov txiaj ntsig tau los ntawm qhov chaw poob nqi thiab nce tus nqi hash.
Upheaval nyob hauv huab cua, thiab yog tias lwm "capitulation" ntawm cov miners tshwm sim, tag nrho cov ecosystem tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev poob siab ntxiv.
Raws li "max mob" looms rau qhov nruab nrab hodler, Cointelegraph yuav saib qee qhov tseem ceeb cuam tshuam rau BTC / USD nyob rau lub sijhawm luv.
Bitcoin miners vim "capitulation" - kws tshuaj ntsuam
Zoo li lwm tus, Bitcoin miners tab tom pom kev nyem loj thaum nws los muag cov khoom BTC ntawm cov nyiaj tau los.
Nws tseem yuav pom tseeb npaum li cas kev mob nyiaj txiag qhov nruab nrab miner nyob rau hauv, tab sis ib qho kev ntsuas classic tab tom npaj hu ua "capitulation" ib zaug ntxiv.
cia li lub hlis tom qab lub sijhawm kawg li ntawd, Hash Ribbons yog ceeb toom tias tej yam kev mob yog rov ua unsustainable.
Hash Ribbons siv ob qhov nruab nrab qhov nruab nrab ntawm hash tus nqi los txiav txim siab txog kev koom nrog cov miner hauv Bitcoin network. Crossovers ntawm cov kab sib txawv qhia txog cov theem capitulatory thiab rov qab los.
Rau Kripto Mevismi, tus pab txhawb rau ntawm-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant, lub sijhawm tab tom los txog rau yav dhau los rov tshwm sim.
"Yog li tam sim no bitcoin nyuaj heev rau cov miners yog li ntawd txhais tau tias; cov nqi tau nce siab dua thiab kev ua lag luam hauv ib puag ncig zoo li no tau nyuaj dua, "nws tau sau rau hauv a blog ncej.
“Yog vim li cas cov miners tsis ua haujlwm tag nrho. Yog tias lawv muaj cov tshuab mining tiam tshiab, lawv muab tso rau hauv kev ua haujlwm tab sis yog tag nrho. Kev nce nqi nce siab thiab tib neeg xav tias muaj txiaj ntsig ntawm cov nqi nyob, tus nqi bitcoin poob qis, tus nqi tsuas thiab qhov nyuaj tau nce siab dua. Ib puag ncig nyuaj rau cov miners. "
Kripto Mevismi tau hais ntxiv tias qhov kev hloov pauv tseem ceeb hauv kev nyuaj tsuas tuaj yeem pab tau qhov teeb meem no.
Kwv yees los ntawm BTC.com rau qhov kev hloov kho tom ntej ntawm Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 6 muab qhov nyuaj poob ntawm 6.4% thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv. Yog tias nws mus rau fruition, nws yuav yog qhov poob loj tshaj plaws txij li Lub Xya Hli 2021.
BTC.com thiab lwm tus zoo li kwv yees tias tus nqi hash tam sim no poob qis los ntawm cov ntaub ntawv qib raws li cov miners ua haujlwm poob qis.
BTC/USD qhov muag volatility nyob rau hauv lub hli kaw
BTC/USD tau tswj kom tsis txhob poob qhov tseem ceeb txhua lub lim tiam ntawm qhov kawg tswm ciab kaw rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 27.
Nyob ib ncig ntawm $ 16,400, qhov kaw txhua lub limtiam yog qhov siab dua li lub lim tiam dhau los, nrog cov khub tseem ncig ob xyoos qis, cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Cointelegraph Ciaj uas muag Pro thiab TradingView qhia tau hais tias.
Nrog rau qhov tsis muaj qhov tsis sib haum xeeb uas ua rau tus nqi ua haujlwm niaj hnub, cov tub lag luam thiab cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tseem ceeb toom rau cov kauj ruam tom ntej.
"Nws yog hnub so ntev lub lis piam yog li cia siab tias yuav muaj dab tsi txaus siab thaum peb tsiv mus rau Lub Limtiam thiab Lub Hlis kaw," on-chain analytics Resource Indicators sau nyob rau hauv ib feem ntawm a tweet lub lim tiam dhau los.
A ncej tom ntej rov hais dua tias lub Kaum Ib Hlis 30 kaw yuav ua rau muaj kev tsis txaus ntseeg tshiab, nrog BTC / USD tam sim no 21.25% nqis piv rau lub hli pib.
Qhov no ua rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2022 Bitcoin qhov phem tshaj lub Kaum Ib Hlis txij li nws lub xyoo dhau los ua lag luam xyoo 2018, cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Coinglass tshaj tawm.
Nyob rau lub sijhawm luv luv, tus tub luam nrov Crypto Tony lub sijhawm tseem ceeb $ 16,000 ua ib thaj chaw tseem ceeb los tig rau qib siab dua kom nkag mus rau tom ntej, thaum ua tib zoo xav txog lub sijhawm ntev.
"Kev qis qis nrog rau kev sib koom ua ke hauv qab thaj tsam loj. Yog tias koj xav nkag mus nyab xeeb, tos kom tig ntawm qhov qis, "nws sau ua ke thaum lub weekend.
Raws li Cointelegraph nthuav qhia, Bitcoin tus dais tom ntej kev lag luam hauv qab yog qhov kev sib tham ntawm lub sijhawm tam sim no, thiab qee lub hom phiaj tau dhau los ua neeg nyiam dua lwm tus.
Ib tus neeg hais tawm suab hu rau qhov kev poob qis ntxiv, Il Capo ntawm Crypto, yog li rov hais dua nws lub tswv yim tias $ 12,000 tuaj yeem yog tom ntej rau BTC / USD.
highlighting kev sib raug zoo ntawm perpetual yav tom ntej trading ntim thiab qhov chaw tus nqi, nws ceeb toom tias tam sim no kev lag luam qauv tsis txhawb kev nce ntxiv.
"12000-14000 yog qhov zoo. 40-50% poob rau altcoins, "nws hais ntxiv.
Nyob rau hauv lub hiav txwv Bitcoin, hodlers sau
Loj los yog me me, cov pej xeem ntawm Bitcoin ecosystem yog "kev txhoj puab heev" ntxiv rau nws BTC raug rau lub hlis no.
Nyob rau hauv ib qho kev pom zoo rau kev nyem rau yav tom ntej - qhov twg qhov kev thov tuaj yeem tawm tsam ib feem loj ntawm cov khoom tsis txaus ntseeg - kev sib sau zoo li sib sau ua ke.
Raws li on-chain analytics tuam txhab Glassnode, nws yog cov khw muag khoom lag luam feem ntau yog lub luag haujlwm rau cov qauv tam sim no.
Cov tub ua lag luam me, raug xa mus rau ntau yam "crabs" thiab "cwj" nyob ntawm lub hnab nyiaj tshuav nyiaj li cas, tau nce hauv cov lej.
"Bitcoin Shrimps (< 1$ BTC) tau ntxiv 96.2k $ BTC rau lawv cov tuav txij li FTX vau, qhov nyiaj tshuav txhua lub sijhawm nce ntxiv. Cov pab pawg tam sim no tam sim no tuav ntau dua 1.21M $ BTC, sib npaug rau 6.3% ntawm cov khoom xa tuaj, "Glasnode tau qhia hauv Twitter xov hais txog qhov tshwm sim.
Ib tsab xov xwm ntxiv tau sau tseg:
"Crabs (txog 10 $ BTC) kuj tau pom qhov sib npaug hnyav nce ntawm 191.6k $ BTC nyob rau 30-hnub dhau los. Qhov no yog kev ntseeg siab txhua lub sijhawm-siab, thim rov qab lub Xya Hli 2022 ncov ntawm 126k $ BTC / hli. "
Raws li Cointelegraph qhia, ib feem ntawm qhov nce hauv cov lej me me tuaj yeem poob qis los pauv cov neeg siv rho nyiaj mus rau qhov chaw khaws cia.
Woo chij inbound "max mob"
Rau Willy Woo, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam tom qab cov ntaub ntawv txheeb cais nrov Woobull, cov kev ntsuas ntawm cov saw hlau tau taw qhia rau Bitcoin qhov tom ntej macro hauv qab yuav tshwm sim.
Qhia txog peb ntawm lawv lub asthiv no, Woo tau qhia tias rau txhua qhov kev xav thiab lub hom phiaj, Bitcoin yog coj raws nraim li nws tau ua nyob rau hauv lub qhov taub ntawm lub lag luam dais yav dhau los.
Ib feem ntawm cov khoom siv BTC tuav ntawm qhov tsis paub txog kev poob, piv txwv li, tab tom mus txog qhov qis qis, qhov tshwm sim los ntawm "Max Pain" qauv.
"Bitcoin hauv qab tau ze rau hauv Max Pain qauv. Keeb kwm BTC tus nqi nce mus txog macro voj voog hauv qab thaum 58% -61% ntawm cov nyiaj npib hauv qab dej (txiv kab ntxwv). Ntsuab ntxoov ntxoo kho rau cov nyiaj npib kaw hauv GBTC Trust, "Woo piav qhia nrog rau daim duab.
Txuas ntxiv, nws tau sau tseg tias MVRV Ratio tus nqi rau BTC / USD kuj tseem tsom rau thaj tsam "yuav khoom", uas muaj keeb kwm muab cov tub ua lag luam muaj peev xwm tshaj plaws.
MVRV yog Bitcoin lub lag luam cap faib los ntawm kev paub cap - tus nqi tag nrho ntawm txhua tus Bitcoin kawg txav. Tus lej tshwm sim tau xa mus yuav thiab muag thaj chaw sib xws rau tus nqi siab heev.
"MVRV piv yog tob rau hauv thaj tsam tus nqi," Woo cov lus tawm tswv yim Hais.
"Raws li qhov teeb meem no peb tau nyob rau hauv qab (1) txog thaum FTX dawb swan debacle coj peb rov qab mus rau thaj chaw yuav khoom (2)."
Woo daim ntawv thib peb, Cov Hnub Nyoog Kawg Nkaus (CVDD), yog nyuam qhuav npog los ntawm Cointelegraph.
"Siv cov kab kos ntawm koj tus kheej qhov kev txiav txim siab, peb nyob rau lub sijhawm tsis tau muaj dua los ntawm kev txo qis," nws hais ntxiv, ceeb toom tias "Cov voj voog dhau los tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam txog yav tom ntej."
Macro mus ob peb vas rocked los ntawm Tuam Tshoj tawm tsam
Qee tus yuam sij kev lag luam cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm Tebchaws Meskas yog lub sijhawm rau lub lim tiam no, tab sis cov kws tshuaj xyuas crypto tau tsom mus rau Tuam Tshoj ntau dua.
Nrog rau cov xwm txheej uas twb muaj lawm quo dai ntawm kev nce nqi, kev tsis sib haum xeeb hauv lub ntiaj teb lub Hoobkas tuaj yeem cuam tshuam kev ua lag luam, qee qhov ceeb toom.
Tuam Tshoj tab tom tuav ntawm nthwv dej ntawm kev tawm tsam tawm tsam tsoomfwv txoj cai ntawm COVID-19, nrog ntau lub nroog tiv thaiv kev kaw haujlwm kom thov kom xaus rau "COVID xoom."
Nrog rau qhov no hauv siab, cov khoom muaj nqis pheej hmoo tuaj yeem nyob rau hauv kev caij tsheb hnyav yog tias qhov xwm txheej tsis muaj kev tswj hwm.
"Qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Bitcoin tsis tuaj yeem tawg, yog li peb tseem koom ua ke hauv thaj tsam ntawd. Ntawm kev txhawb nqa tam sim no, "Michaël van de Poppe, tus tsim thiab CEO ntawm tuam txhab lag luam Yim Yim, piav qhia.
"Yog tias qhov no ploj lawm, kuv xav tias qhov qis dua tshiab yuav pom ntawm kev lag luam, tej zaum nyob ntawm Tuam Tshoj & FTX sib kis rau lub lim tiam no."
Txawm hais tias cov xov xwm tseem ceeb tau ceeb toom txog qhov muaj feem cuam tshuam rau hnub, nrog John Toro, tus thawj coj ntawm kev lag luam ntawm kev sib pauv Independent Reserve, qhia Bloomberg hais tias "qhov kev pheej hmoo kis tau nce siab tau raug xa mus rau hauv cryptocurrency complex."
Kev lag luam hauv Asia tau qis qis qis rau hnub, nrog Hong Kong's Hang Seng thiab Shanghai Composite Index poob 1.6% thiab 0.75%, raws li lub sijhawm sau ntawv.
Bitcoin hauv qab ntawm cov roj crude
Ntawm daim ntawv txheeb xyuas macro, Bitcoin tam sim no nyob rau hauv kab rau "kev ua tau zoo" hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas cov nqe lus, ib tus kws tshuaj ntsuam paub zoo tau hais.
Nyob rau hauv WTI cov ntsiab lus roj crude, BTC tus nqi txiav txim yog twb nyob rau hauv macro qis - thiab keeb kwm hu rau ib tug resurgence, uas muaj xws li ib tug tseem ceeb txaus siab qauv tiv thaiv USD.
"Peb kawg nyob hauv qab channel," TechDev paub tseeb thaum lub weekend.
"Bitcoin cov roj crude (lub zog) kev yuav khoom lub zog tau nce siab thaum lub Plaub Hlis 2021. Tam sim no zoo li npaj siab rau lwm ceg ntawm kev ua tau zoo (thiab nce hauv tus nqi USD).
Ib daim ntawv qhia nrog kos ib qho piv txwv rau Bitcoin qhov kev ua tau zoo ntawm lub qhov taub ntawm lub lag luam dais kawg nyob rau xyoo 2018.
Raws li Cointelegraph qhia, lub sijhawm no, TechDev nyob deb ntawm tib lub suab hu rau upside rau tus cwj pwm BTC nqi nqis mus rau xyoo tshiab.
Cov kev xav, cov kev xav thiab kev xav ntawm no yog tus sau phau ntawv ib leeg thiab tsis tas yuav muaj kev cuam tshuam lossis sawv cev ntawm kev pom thiab kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.
Tau qhov twg los: https://cointelegraph.com/news/new-btc-miner-capitulation-5-things-to-know-in-bitcoin-this-week