Txawm hais tias ntau tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam thiab cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xav tias US kev nce nqi yuav poob qis hauv 2023 piv nrog rau xyoo tas los, Michael Wilkerson, tus tsim ntawm Stormwall Advisors, xav tias tus nqi nce siab tuaj yeem nce siab txog 12% thaum kawg ntawm lub xyoo no. Lub teb chaws tus nqi nce nyiaj tau txias dua li ntawm xya lub hlis dhau los, tab sis Wilkerson hais tias Tsoomfwv Meskas Lub Tebchaws "yuav ua rau muaj hluav taws kub hnyiab."
Stormwall Advisors 'Michael Wilkerson ntseeg hais tias US Yuav 'Pom Lwm Qhov Kev Sib Tw' hauv kev nce nqi
Ob lub hlis dhau los, ntau cov ntawv tshaj tawm tau hais tias kev nce nqi nce siab, thiab hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas, tus nqi siv khoom lag luam (CPI) muaj. poob rau xya lub hlis sib law liag txij li nws siab nyob rau lub Rau Hli 2022. Nyob rau hauv ib qho tsis ntev los no kev sib tham nruab nrab ntawm Kitco News thauj tog rau nkoj Michelle Makori thiab Michael Wilkerson, tus tsim ntawm Stormwall Advisors, Wilkerson qhia nws qhov kev cia siab ntawm lwm qhov kev nce nqi hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas. Thaum lees paub tias nws txoj kev xav yog nyob rau hauv haiv neeg tsawg, Wilkerson tau hais ntxiv tias "kev nce nqi tsis txav mus rau hauv txoj hauv kev; koj pom qee qhov kev caij tsheb kauj vab. "
"Kuv tsis ntseeg tias peb tau pom qhov kawg ntawm kev nce nqi thiab kuv xav tias peb yuav pom lwm qhov nce ntxiv," Wilkerson tau hais thaum nws xam phaj. "Txawm hais tias nws yog 8% lossis 12%, thiab kuv tsis tuaj yeem hais meej tias nws yuav zoo li cas thaum kawg ntawm 2023, tab sis kuv ntseeg tias nws muaj peev xwm ua rau peb pom peb tus kheej rov qab rau hauv qhov ntau xyoo no."
Wilkerson tau piav qhia txog yuav ua li cas cov nyiaj M2 tau loj hlob txij li xyoo 2008 thiab tau nthuav dav ntxiv thaum lub sijhawm Covid-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw. Raws li tus thawj coj ntawm Stormwall Advisors thiab tus sau ntawm "Vim li cas America Matters: Cov Ntaub Ntawv rau Kev Tshaj Tawm Tshiab," Wilkerson tau lees tias qhov kev nce nyiaj hauv cov nyiaj tau los ua rau muaj kev nce nqi ntxiv, raws li pom los ntawm cov qauv keeb kwm. Nws ntseeg tias, los ntawm kev xav ntawm cov neeg tsim cai, kev nce nqi yog qhov kev xaiv zoo dua vim nws yog "tsawg dua ntawm ob qhov kev phem."
Wilkerson hais rau Makori tias "Fed yuav khiav tawm ntawm lub zog hluav taws xob," Wilkerson hais rau Makori. "Thaum kawg, qhov no dhau los ua kev lag luam tawm ntawm kev cuam tshuam ntawm kev nce nyiaj txiag, tua tus zaj nyiaj txiag, thiab tso cai rau kev lag luam poob qis thiab kev poob haujlwm nce. Thiab tsoomfwv, ib txwm thiab txhua qhov chaw, xaiv kev nce nqi, "nws hais ntxiv.
Txawm li cas los xij, ntau tus kws tshuaj ntsuam thiab cov kws tshawb fawb ntseeg tias kev nce nqi yuav txo qis xyoo no. Piv txwv li, economist Mohamed El-Erian: koj puas xav tau ntau tus thwjtim? ntawm University of Cambridge xav tau kev nce nqi kom dhau los ua "nqa" nyob ib ncig ntawm 4% hauv ib nrab xyoo. Adam Posen, tus thawj tswj hwm ntawm Peterson lub koom haum rau International Economics thiab yav dhau los Bank of England tus thawj coj, cia siab tias US kev nce nqi yuav ncav cuag 3% nyob rau thaum xaus ntawm 2023. "Tau los ntawm kev nce nqi siab uas peb tam sim no mus rau 3% yog ci. hauv, "Posen hais tias thaum kawg ntawm lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2022.
Thaum nws tham nrog Makori, Wilkerson tau qhia txog qhov tsis sib xws thiab hais txog tias tus nqi nce nqi yuav nce mus txog thaum kawg. Wilkerson tau hais tias "Cov nyiaj tau los nce 40 feem pua ntawm xyoo 2000," Wilkerson tau hais. "Tsis tau muaj ib lub sijhawm hauv keeb kwm thaum cov nyiaj tau nce los ntawm qhov ntau yam tsis tau ua rau kev nce nqi - tus nqi nce nqi ib txwm nce nrog cov nyiaj nce nqi."
Koj puas pom zoo nrog Wilkerson qhov kev tsis sib haum xeeb ntawm kev nce nqi, lossis koj puas xav tias qhov kev kwv yees ntawm lwm tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag yuav muaj tseeb? Qhia koj cov kev xav txog cov ncauj lus no hauv cov lus hauv qab no.
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Disclaimer: Kab lus no tsuas yog rau kev ua ntaub ntawv xwb. Nws tsis yog qhov ncaj qha lossis kev thov rau qhov kev yuav lossis muag, lossis kev pom zoo lossis kev pom zoo ntawm ib yam khoom, kev pabcuam, lossis tuam txhab. Bitcoin.com tsis muab peev, peev nyiaj, cai lij choj, lossis tswv yim nyiaj txiag. Tsis yog cov tuam txhab lossis cov neeg sau ntawv ua lub luag haujlwm, ncaj qha lossis tsis ncaj rau, rau ib qho kev puas tsuaj lossis poob lossis ua rau raug iab liam los ntawm lossis kev sib txuas nrog kev siv lossis kev cia siab rau qee cov ntsiab lus, khoom muag lossis kev pabcuam tau hais hauv tsab xov xwm no.
Tau qhov twg los: https://news.bitcoin.com/market-strategist-michael-wilkerson-believes-us-inflation-could-rise-to-12-by-year-end-despite-predictions-of-decrease/