Hash Ribbons Qhia Kev Yuav Lub Sijhawm rau Bitcoin

Thawj zaug hauv 2023 thiab thawj zaug hauv 5 lub hlis, lub teeb liab xiav yuav Bitcoin los ntawm qhov taw qhia Hash Ribbons tau flashed. Keeb kwm, cov teeb liab no muaj kev ua haujlwm siab thiab ncaj qha ntsig txog kev noj qab haus huv ntawm Bitcoin network nrog rau cov haujlwm ntawm cov miners.

Txawm li cas los xij, Hash Ribbons yuav teeb liab tsis yog infallible. Txog thaum lig 2021, nws zoo li yuav luag tsis tuaj yeem poob thaum yuav Bitcoin tom qab lub teeb liab raug rho tawm haujlwm. Tsis tsuas yog tus nqi zoo li ib txwm nce tom qab lub teeb liab no, tab sis BTC kuj tseem yuav tsum tsis txhob poob qis dua qhov qis uas tam sim ntawd ua ntej lub teeb liab no.

Txawm li cas los xij, raws li peb yuav pom hauv kev tshuaj ntsuam hauv qab no, 2022 dais lag luam tau tawg cov lus dab neeg no thiab. Nws muab tawm tias xyoo dhau los qhov kev poob qis ua rau tus nqi mus qib hauv qab qis cuam ​​tshuam nrog lub teeb liab xiav los ntawm Hash Ribbons ntawm ob lub sijhawm.

Nag hmo, lub teeb liab yuav rov tshwm sim dua. Nws puas yuav ua haujlwm rau lub sijhawm no, raws li nws feem ntau tau ua haujlwm yav dhau los, thiab puas yuav BTC yuav tsis rov qab los hauv qab ntawm $ 15,479 teem rau lub Kaum Ib Hlis 21, 2022?

Bitcoin Network Hash tus nqi nce mus txog qhov siab tshiab

Qhov taw qhia Hash Ribbons yog raws li tus lej hash, uas yog ib qho tseem ceeb qhia txog kev ua tau zoo ntawm Bitcoin network. Hash tus nqi sawv cev rau tus nqi ntawm kev suav lub zog uas txhua tus BTC miners tab tom tsim tam sim no.

Interestingly, txawm hais tias tus nqi ntawm BTC poob loj heev thiab qhov tseeb tias tsis ntev los no lub Kaum Ib Hlis nws yog 77% qis dua nws lub sijhawm siab (ATH), lub network kev suav lub zog tau loj hlob rau feem ntau ntawm 2022. Ib qho kev nce loj ntawm cov hash tus nqi tau pom nyob rau thawj ob lub lis piam ntawm 2023.

Raws li qhov tshwm sim, qhov taw qhia 14-hnub txav nruab nrab tau nyuam qhuav sau qhov tshiab txhua lub sijhawm siab (270 EH / s), txawm tias qhov tseeb tias BTC tus nqi tam sim no nyob rau theem ntawm 2017 bull market peak (13 EH / s) . Tam sim no suav lub zog ntawm Bitcoin network hnub no yog ntau tshaj 20x ntau dua tsib xyoos dhau los. Tus nqi ntawm Bitcoin yuav luag zoo ib yam: nyob ib ncig ntawm $ 20,000.

Hash Ribbons yog dab tsi?

Hash Ribbons yog nyob ntawm kev sib raug zoo nruab nrab ntawm ob qhov nruab nrab txav (SMAs) ntawm qhov ntsuas tus lej hash: 30-hnub SMA thiab 60-hnub SMA. Tsis tas li ntawd, qhov taw qhia hais txog 10-hnub thiab 20-hnub txav nruab nrab ntawm tus nqi BTC. Nyob rau hauv ib tug nutshell, tiam ntawm ib tug xiav yuav teeb liab tshwm sim nyob rau hauv 3 theem:

1. Miners capitulation: 30D SMA poob qis dua 60D SMA, thiab daim ntawv Hash Ribbons hloov liab.
2. Xaus ntawm capitulation: 30D SMA nce siab tshaj 60D SMA, lub teeb ntsuab teeb, thiab daim ntawv Hash Ribbons ua ntsuab.
3. Rov qab ntawm BTC tus nqi momentum: 10D SMA ntawm Bitcoin nqi nce siab tshaj 20D SMA, xiav dot teeb nrog lub teeb liab yuav.

Hauv daim ntawv qhia hauv qab no, peb pom tag nrho cov xwm txheej thaum Hash Ribbons yuav teeb liab tau flashed txij li xyoo 2015. Nws tsim nyog ntxiv tias ua ntej 2015, lub teeb liab flashed ob peb zaug, tab sis cov khoom xa rov qab tau loj heev uas peb tsis suav nrog lawv hauv qhov no. tsom xam.

Keeb kwm rov qab los tom qab Hash Ribbons teeb liab

Ib qho kev txhais lus ntawm kev yuav teeb liab los ntawm Hash Ribbons yog tias tus nqi Bitcoin hauv qab yog tsim tam sim ua ntej lub teeb liab yog macro lag luam hauv qab. Hauv lwm lo lus, tus nqi BTC yuav tsum tsis txhob poob qis dua qhov qis pom ua ntej lub teeb liab.

Qhov kev txhais no - txawm hais tias feem ntau yog - twb tau dag 3 zaug hauv ob peb xyoos dhau los (txiv kab ntxwv xub). Qhov no tshwm sim rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 2019, thiab Lub Yim Hli 2021, thiab lub teeb liab dhau los ntawm Lub Yim Hli 2022. Hauv txhua qhov xwm txheej no, tus nqi BTC poob qis (ob zaug hauv 2022) qis dua yav dhau los lows.

Txawm li cas los xij, hauv qhov seem 7 ntawm 10 qhov xwm txheej keeb kwm, qhov yuav teeb liab los ntawm Hash Ribbons yog qhov tseeb qhov taw qhia ntawm macro hauv qab ntawm tus nqi Bitcoin (lub voj voog liab). Ntxiv mus, txawm nyob rau hauv 3 rooj plaub uas qhov no tsis tshwm sim, tus nqi BTC pib nce.

Yog li, yog tias ib tus xav suav tag nrho qhov nce ntawm 10 lub cim dhau los thiab tom qab ntawd nruab nrab lawv, qhov tshwm sim yog 557%. Qhov ntawd yog ntau npaum li cas Bitcoin nce nyob rau nruab nrab los ntawm hauv qab ua ntej lub teeb liab los ntawm Hash Ribbons mus rau sab saum toj ntawm lub khw muag nyuj los yog lub teeb liab tom ntej. Yog tias BTC tam sim no nce los ntawm 557%, ntsuas los ntawm hauv qab ntawm $ 15,479 (lub voj voog ntsuab), nws yuav raug nqi $ 101,697 ntawm lub ncov ntawm lub khw muag nyuj tom ntej.

Puas tau Bitcoin ncav cuag Macro hauv qab?

Thaum Lub Ib Hlis 14, 2023, lub teeb liab yuav los ntawm Hash Ribbons flashed dua. Yog tias qhov kev ua tau zoo keeb kwm ntawm qhov ntsuas tau txhawb nqa lub sijhawm no, nws tuaj yeem muab kev lees paub ntxiv tias qhov macro hauv qab ntawm tus nqi BTC twb tau mus txog. Hauv qhov no, nws yuav yog $ 15,479 qib (kab ntsuab).

Hash Ribbons qhov taw qhia tus tsim @caprioleio kev tweeted nag hmo tias "tus nqi qis feem ntau tshwm sim thaum lub sij hawm capitulation thiab ua ntej peb pom hash tus nqi rov qab." Yog hais tias muaj, ces, raws li nyob rau hauv ntau yam keeb kwm, lub capitulation ntawm Bitcoin miners yuav correlated nrog ib tug macro qab nyob rau hauv tus nqi BTC.

Ntawm qhov tod tes, kev ua lag luam siab phem ntawm 2022 tau pom tias tsis muaj ib qho taw qhia tuaj yeem ntseeg qhov muag tsis pom. Ob leeg on-chain tsom xam, technical indicators, and price action in the previous year have debunked many of the myths around Bitcoin and the cryptocurrency market.

Puas yuav Hash Ribbon rov tau txais nws lub koob npe nrov lossis nyob twj ywm ib qho kev xav paub keeb kwm? Ob peb lub hlis tom ntej no yuav muab cov lus teb.

Rau BeInCrypto qhov tseeb crypto lag luam tsom xam, nias ntawm no.