Kev lag luam crypto tau poob qis dua $ 1 trillion cim mus rau $ 970 billion ntau yam, vim tias ntau tus txiaj ntsig digital tau poob ntau dua li ib nrab ntawm lawv cov nqi txij li lub Kaum Ib Hlis 2021. Bitcoin poob qis 70% los ntawm tag nrho lub sijhawm siab xyoo tas los, thiab ib daim ntawv tshaj tawm tshiab los ntawm Glassnode Insights hu rau lub lag luam dais tam sim no "tus dais ntawm keeb kwm kev faib ua feem," thaum hais txog tias "nws muaj peev xwm sib cav tias 2022 yog qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws dais lag luam hauv keeb kwm khoom siv digital."
Cov kws tshawb fawb Glassnode: 'Bitcoin Tam sim no tab tom ntsib qhov kev tshwm sim loj tshaj plaws hauv keeb kwm'
Ntau tus neeg nkag siab tias kev lag luam crypto tam sim no nyob hauv kev lag luam dais tab sis tsis muaj leej twg paub tias nws yuav coj mus rau qhov twg lossis thaum twg nws yuav xaus. Bitcoin thiab kev lag luam crypto, feem ntau, tau dhau los ntawm ntau lub lag luam dais thiab Glassnode Insights tsis ntev los no daim ntawv qhia thov nws tsuas yog tej zaum qhov phem tshaj plaws ntawm cov ntaub ntawv. Lub tuam txhab tshuaj ntsuam xyuas Glassnode muab kev tshuaj xyuas ntawm bitcoins (BTC) tus nqi tam sim no poob thiab yuav ua li cas cov cuab tam digital tau qis dua 200-hnub txav nruab nrab (DMA). Lub sijhawm 40-lub lim tiam muab cov neeg lag luam xav txog seb qhov kev hloov pauv tam sim no tseem yuav poob qis dua thiab nws tseem tuaj yeem txheeb xyuas cov nqi hauv pem teb.
Glassnode cov ncej piav qhia txog Mayer Ntau thiab 200DMA thiab lawv tuaj yeem teeb liab li cas rau dais lossis bull market. "Thaum tus nqi pauv qis dua 200DMA, nws feem ntau suav tias yog lub lag luam dais," Glassnode cov ntawv txheeb xyuas. "Thaum tus nqi pauv siab dua 200DMA, nws feem ntau suav tias yog lub khw muag nyuj." Tsis tas li ntawd, Glassnode leverages cov ntaub ntawv zoo li "tus nqi paub," "paub paub txog," thiab kev lag luam tus nqi thiab paub tus nqi oscillator (MVRV Ratio).
"Txoj haujlwm 30-hnub hloov pauv ntawm lub peev xwm pom tau (Z-Score) tso cai rau peb saib cov peev nyiaj hauv ib hlis ntawm cov nyiaj tau los / tawm mus rau hauv BTC cuab tam raws li kev txheeb cais, "Glasnode's blog post piav qhia. "Los ntawm qhov kev ntsuas no, bitcoin tam sim no tab tom ntsib qhov kev tshwm sim loj tshaj plaws tawm hauv keeb kwm, ntaus -2.73 tus qauv sib txawv (SD) los ntawm qhov nruab nrab. Qhov no yog ib qho tag nrho SD loj dua cov xwm txheej loj tshaj plaws tom ntej, tshwm sim thaum kawg ntawm 2018 Dais Kev Lag Luam, thiab ntxiv rau lub Peb Hlis 2020 muag tawm. "
Glassnode tau tshawb fawb thiab sib tham txog kev lag luam dais tam sim no rau qee lub sijhawm thiab thaum Lub Rau Hli 13, nws tau tshaj tawm video hu ua "The Darkest Phase of the Dais." Cov vis dis aus saib seb puas yog los yog tsis yog lub sijhawm kawg lossis lub sijhawm kawg capitulation hauv bitcoin tus nqi voj voog. Keeb kwm, BTC tau poob 80% + qis dua ntawm tag nrho nws cov lag luam dais loj thiab 80% poob ntawm tus nqi los ntawm $ 69K yog $ 13,800 ib chav. Qee tus neeg ua lag luam crypto ntseeg tias qhov kawg ntawm tus dais yuav nyob ze thaum lwm tus xav tias qhov mob max tseem tsis tau tuaj txog. Max mob, qhov tob ntawm kev poob siab, qhov qis tshaj ntawm lows, los yog hauv qab tej zaum yuav tsis nyob rau hauv tseem.
Glassnode cov ntaub ntawv qhia meej tias vim tias bitcoin tau txais loj heev, qhov cuam tshuam tau nthuav dav. "Raws li kev lag luam bitcoin loj hlob dhau lub sijhawm, qhov loj ntawm cov peev txheej USD denominated poob (lossis cov txiaj ntsig) yuav ib txwm ntsuas nrog kev loj hlob hauv network," Glassnode cov ntaub ntawv tshawb fawb hais tias. "Txawm li cas los xij, txawm tias nyob ntawm tus txheeb ze, qhov no tsis txo qis qhov hnyav ntawm qhov poob $ 4+ billion."
Cov kws tshawb fawb Glassnode kuj delve rau hauv Ethereum (UA), ib npib ntau zaus poob qis dua BTC's 80% rub tawm. "Tus nqi Ethereum tau siv 37.5% ntawm nws lub neej kev lag luam hauv kev tswj hwm zoo sib xws raws li tus nqi paub, kev sib piv zoo rau bitcoin ntawm 13.9%," Cov kws tshawb fawb Glassnode tau sau. "Qhov no yuav yog qhov kev xav ntawm keeb kwm tsis ua haujlwm ntawm BTC thaum lub sij hawm dais lag luam raws li cov tub ua lag luam rub peev ntau dua qhov kev pheej hmoo nkhaus, ua rau lub sijhawm ntev dua ETH trading hauv qab tus nqi nqis peev hauv qab. "
Glassnode ntxiv:
Tam sim no lub voj voog qis ntawm MVRV yog 0.60, tsuas yog 277 hnub hauv keeb kwm sau tus nqi qis, sib npaug rau 11% ntawm keeb kwm kev lag luam.
Lub lim tiam dhau los, BTC thiab ETH cov nqi tau nce hauv tus nqi tom qab noj ib qho nyuaj rau lub lim tiam ua ntej thiab tseem sib sau ua ke rau feem ntau ntawm lub lim tiam. BTC cov nqi tseem poob qis 8.1% nyob rau ob lub lis piam dhau los thiab cov cuab yeej crypto txiaj tus nqi USD poob qis 0.3% hauv 24 teev dhau los. ETH Cov txiaj ntsig tau swb 0.1% hauv 24 teev dhau los thiab ob lub lis piam stats qhia ETH tsuas yog poob 1.3% piv rau US duas. Glassnode cov ntawv tshaj tawm qhia tau hais tias cov ntaub ntawv thiab kev tshawb fawb ua tiav taw qhia rau ib qho tseem ceeb tshaj plaws crypto dais lag luam hauv keeb kwm.
Lub Glassnode Insights tsab ntawv ceeb toom xaus los ntawm hais tias:
Cov kev tshawb fawb ntau yam tau piav qhia saum toj no qhia txog qhov loj me ntawm cov neeg ua lag luam poob, qhov ntsuas ntawm kev puas tsuaj peev, thiab cov xwm txheej pom tau tshwm sim nyob rau ob peb lub hlis dhau los. Muab lub sijhawm ntev thiab qhov loj ntawm lub khw lag luam uas muaj nyob, 2022 tuaj yeem sib cav tsim nyog los ua lag luam dais tseem ceeb tshaj plaws hauv keeb kwm ntawm cov cuab tam digital.
Koj xav li cas txog Glassnode tus dais kev lag luam daim ntawv qhia? Koj puas yuav hais tias qhov no yog ib qho kev lag luam uas phem tshaj plaws hauv cov ntaub ntawv? Qhia rau peb paub koj xav li cas txog cov ncauj lus no hauv cov lus hauv qab no.
Duab Credit: Shutterstock, Pixabay, Wiki Cov Lus Qhia
Tau qhov twg los: https://news.bitcoin.com/glassnode-report-says-bitcoins-2022-price-drop-represennts-a-bear-market-of-historic-proportions/