Fidelity exec hais tias Bitcoin yog 'technically oversold,' ua $ 40K ib 'kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb'

Qhov mob retracement hauv Bitcoin (BTC) kev ua lag luam ua ntej lub lim tiam no xa tus nqi qis dua $ 40,000 thawj zaug txij li lub Cuaj Hli 2021.

Ntau tus kws tshuaj ntsuam tau kwv yees qhov kev poob qis mus txuas ntxiv mus rau $ 30,000 txog $ 35,000 ntau yam, tab sis tus nqi tau rov qab $ 40,000 raws li kev txhawb nqa dua thiab hnub Wednesday BTC ua qhov nrawm dua li $ 44,000. Qhov kev cia siab no rov ua dua qhov kev cia siab tias $ 40,000 qib yog kab tias qhov twg Bitcoin yuav qis dua ua ntej nws txuas ntxiv mus siab dua hauv 2022.

Jurrien Timmer, tus thawj coj ntawm ntiaj teb macro ntawm Fidelity Investments, hu ua $ 40,000 ib qho "kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb," ceeb toom tias Bitcoin tau dhau los ua "kev tshaj tawm thev naus laus zis" nyob ze rau theem, uas yuav ua rau muaj nyiaj rov qab los rau lub sijhawm luv.

*BTC / USD daim ntawv qhia tus nqi txhua hnub. Tau qhov twg los: TradingView*

Ntawm qhov tseem ceeb ntawm Timmer qhov kev pom zoo yog peb lub zog: Stochastic RSI, tus qauv hu ua S-curve thiab qhov piv ntawm Bitcoin rau kub.

Qhov tseeb thaws hauv Bitcoin's Stochastic RSI

Hauv kev nthuav dav, Stochastic RSI yog qhov taw qhia lub sijhawm uas sib piv cov cuab yeej cuab tam tus nqi kaw nrog nws qhov siab-tsawg nyob rau lub sijhawm tshwj xeeb. Qhov taw qhia oscillates ntawm 0 thiab 100, nrog rau thaj tsam saum toj no 80 signaling "overbought" thiab cheeb tsam hauv qab 20 ceeb toom ntawm "oversold" tej yam kev mob.

Qhov taw qhia pab cov tub lag luam hauv kev pom cov kev hloov pauv hloov pauv los ntawm kev taug qab kev sib raug zoo ntawm nws qhov siab-tsawg ntau (%K) thiab qhov nruab nrab txav ntawm tib qhov siab-tsawg ntau (%D). Yog li, kev ua lag luam rov qab yuav lub teeb liab yog tias % K nthwv dej hla % D nthwv dej hauv qab hauv thaj chaw muag khoom.

Ib yam li ntawd, nws rov qab muag teeb liab yog tias % K kab hla % D kab los ntawm saum toj no hauv thaj chaw overbought.

Raws li Timmer sau tseg, Bitcoin's %K nthwv dej tau nce siab tshaj li %D nthwv dej, qhia txog kev yuav khoom ib yam li tus nqi tswj kev txhawb nqa siab dua $ 40,000.

*BTC / USD tus nqi daim ntawv qhia txog nws qhov pivot tsis ntev los no ntawm kev txhawb nqa thiab Stochastic RSI nyeem. Tau qhov twg los: Fidelity*

"Bitcoin tau mus txog ib txoj kab hauv cov xuab zeb ntawm $ 40,000 thiab tam sim no yog technically oversold," tweeted Timmer thaum ntxov hnub Wednesday, ntxiv tias "zoo li $ 30,000 qib $ 40,000 zoo li yog qhov chaw txhawb nqa tseem ceeb."

Nqe raws li tus qauv S-nqaj

Timmer tau txheeb xyuas ntxiv qhov kev xav tau nkhaus - raws li qhia los ntawm tus pin nthwv dej hauv daim duab hauv qab no - uas yog qhov tseem ceeb hauv kev kwv yees qhov kawg ntawm Bitcoin qhov kev poob qis txij li xyoo 2012.

*Bitcoin muab khoom thiab thov qauv. Tau qhov twg los: Fidelity*

Nyob nruab nrab ntawm lub Plaub Hlis thiab Lub Rau Hli 2021, qhov nkhaus tau ua raws li BTC tus nqi kev nqis tes ua hauv kev rov qab los ntawm $ 30,000, thiab tam sim no, nws tau ua raws li qhov kev txhawb nqa tib yam nyob ze $ 40,000 uas ua rau muaj peev xwm ua kom BTC rov qab tuaj yeem mus txog qib ze $ 100,000.

Related: Phab ntsa Street tseem tsis tau ntseeg ntawm Bitcoin $ 100K xyoo no: JPMorgan daim ntawv ntsuam xyuas

"Lub $ 30,000 qib hauv 2021 muab kev txhawb nqa raws li kuv qhov kev thov qauv (S-nqaj qauv)," sau Timmer, ntxiv:

"Tib qib ntawd zoo li tau nce mus txog $ 40,000, muab kev txhawb nqa tseem ceeb ib zaug ntxiv. Nws yog lub hom phiaj txav mus uas feem ntau muab cov thauj tog rau nkoj rau tus nqi. "

BTC / Kub piv qhia tias Bitcoin yog oversold

Bitcoin kuj zoo li oversold, albeit "nruab nrab," hais txog nws tus nqi-kev ua tau zoo tiv thaiv kub. Raws li Timmer tau sau tseg, lub npe hu ua BTC / Kub piv tau poob rau kev txhawb nqa ntawm 22 tom qab topping tawm ob zaug ntawm 37.4 hauv 2021.

*Bitcoin vs kub. Tau qhov twg los: FMRCo, Bloomberg, Fidelity*

Lub caij no, lub plunge thawb qhov piv ntawm Bollinger Bands rau hauv thaj chaw muag khoom, ib qho kev yuav khoom qub uas qhia tias peev tuaj yeem pib txav los ntawm kub mus rau Bitcoin kev lag luam.

Txhua yam nyob rau hauv tag nrho, cov kab kos qhia kuv tias Bitcoin yuav tsum muaj ob qho tib si kev thiab kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 40k. Nws tsis txhais hais tias nws mus tsis tau, tab sis nws zoo li $40k yog tus tshiab $30k. / TUB
- Jurrien Timmer (@TimmerFidelity) Lub ib hlis ntuj 11, 2022

Qhov kev twv ua ntej tuaj nyob rau hauv txoj kab nrog Bloomberg Intelligence qhov kev pom crypto tsis ntev los no. Penned los ntawm lawv tus kws tshaj lij cov khoom lag luam loj, Mike McGlone, tsab ntawv ceeb toom tau txheeb xyuas cov peev kev hloov pauv ntawm kub thiab mus rau hauv kev ua lag luam Bitcoin. McGlone tseem tau sau tseg tias qhov kev hloov pauv yuav txuas ntxiv tshwj xeeb tshaj tawm ze li plaub-xyoo caum siab hauv kev nce nqi uas yog qhov tshwm sim ntawm US Federal Reserve txoj cai nyiaj txiag xoob.

"Peb pom kub yuav nce mus txog $ 2,000 ib ooj los ntawm 2022, tab sis Bitcoin kom nce ntawm qhov nrawm dua," McGlone tau sau.

Cov kev xav thiab cov kev xav hais tawm ntawm no tsuas yog cov ntawm tus sau thiab tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam cov kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.com. Txhua qhov kev nqis peev thiab kev lag luam tawm mus cuam tshuam nrog kev pheej hmoo, koj yuav tsum ua koj tus kheej kev tshawb fawb thaum txiav txim siab.