Ntau tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag tau ceeb toom txog kev lag luam loj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas yog tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve ua kom nws tawm tsam kev nce nqi. "Txhua qhov kev loj hlob tsis zoo nyob rau hauv lub ntiaj teb sab nraud txhais tau hais tias Fed yuav tsum tau ua ntau ntxiv txhawm rau coj qhov xwm txheej los tswj," ib tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag tau hais.
Economists ceeb toom txog kev poob qis uas tshwm sim los ntawm Fed cov lus teb rau kev nce nqi
Ntau tus kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam tau ceeb toom tias Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve kev tawm tsam kev nce nqi, uas tseem nyob rau theem siab tshaj plaws nyob rau hauv kaum xyoo, tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev lag luam loj hauv Teb Chaws Asmeskas Nyob rau tom ntej Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Kev Lag Luam Kev Lag Luam (FOMC) lub rooj sib tham hnub Wednesday, US central bank. yuav tsum nce tus nqi paj los ntawm lwm 75 lub hauv paus ntsiab lus - thib plaub 0.75 feem pua ntawm cov ntsiab lus nce hauv kab. Txawm li cas los xij, ntau tus kws tshawb fawb tau ceeb toom tias cov neeg tsim cai lij choj teb rau kev nce nqi tuaj yeem ua rau muaj kev poob qis dua rau Asmeskas kev lag luam, Financial Times tau tshaj tawm hnub Tuesday.
David Wilcox, tus khub laus ntawm Peterson Institute for International Economics, tau hais tias "Txhua qhov kev cuam tshuam tsis zoo [inflation] thiab txhua qhov kev txhim kho tsis zoo hauv ntiaj teb sab nraud txhais tau hais tias Fed yuav tsum tau ua ntau ntxiv txhawm rau coj qhov xwm txheej los tswj," raws li hais. Nws ntxiv:
Ua ntau dua txhais tau tias muaj feem ntau dua ntawm kev lag luam kev lag luam, thiab yog tias [nws] tshwm sim, txhua yam yuav muaj kev lag luam tob dua.
Franklin Templeton Fixed Income Group tus thawj coj ntawm kev nqis peev, Sonal Desai, tau hais tias: "Qhov tseeb yog peb yuav xav pom qee qhov kev lag luam qeeb qeeb kom tshem tawm qee qhov kev xav tau-sab siab tawm."
ING tus thawj coj saib xyuas nyiaj txiag thoob ntiaj teb, James Knightley, ceeb toom: "Los ntawm kev txav mus los thiab nrawm, koj tsuas yog muaj kev tswj hwm tsawg dua." Nws piav qhia:
Qhov siab dua tus nqi davhlau ya nyob twg, qhov ntau dua lub qhov rais rau tag nrho cov nqi qiv nyiaj kom nce ntxiv, [uas] qhia txog kev pheej hmoo loj ntawm kev poob qis heev.
TD Securities 'tus thawj coj thoob ntiaj teb ntawm tus nqi zoo, Priya Misra, tau sau tseg: "Yog tias koj saib US cov ntaub ntawv, nws nyuaj heev rau kev sib cav vim li cas lawv thiaj li yuav tsum poob qis. Tab sis lub sijhawm koj saib daim duab thoob ntiaj teb, qhov xwm txheej UK yuav tsum ua rau lawv ceev faj kom poob qis yam tsis muaj kev sib piv. "
TS Lombard tus thawj coj Asmeskas tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag, Steve Blitz, piav qhia:
Dab tsi ntawm ceg txheem ntseeg yog tias lawv hu tsis raug yog tias kev nce nqi nce siab dua, thiab qhov ntawd txhais tau hais tias nyob rau qee kis ntawm txoj kev lawv yuav tau ua ntau dua kom tau nyiaj rov qab mus rau 2 feem pua.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell tsis tau txiav txim siab txog qhov muaj peev xwm ntawm kev poob qis tom qab lub rooj sib tham FOMC zaum kawg hauv lub Cuaj Hli. "Tsis muaj leej twg paub tias cov txheej txheem no yuav ua rau muaj kev lag luam poob qis lossis yog tias muaj, qhov kev lag luam tseem ceeb npaum li cas," nws hais rau cov xov xwm. Powell tseem tab tom ntsib nom tswv lub siab dhau ntawm Fed qhov kev txiav txim siab nce nqi paj.
Lub lim tiam dhau los, kev tshawb fawb ntawm 257 tus kws tshawb fawb kev lag luam tau pom tias feem ntau ntseeg qhov ntawd kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb nyob ze. Lwm qhov kev tshawb fawb pom tias 98% ntawm cov thawj coj yog npaj rau US recession. Tsis ntev los no, Rich Dad Poor Dad tus sau Robert Kiyosaki tau hais tias Fed tus nqi nce mus ntxiv yuav rhuav tshem Asmeskas kev lag luam, ua rau kev lag luam poob. Economist Peter Schiff zoo ib yam ceeb toom tias Fed nce cov paj laum tuaj yeem ua rau kev lag luam poob qis, muaj teeb meem nyiaj txiag loj, thiab a kev txom nyem loj.
Koj puas xav tias Fed cov lus teb rau kev nce nqi yuav ua rau muaj kev lag luam loj hauv Asmeskas? Qhia rau peb paub hauv nqe lus hauv qab no.
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Disclaimer: Kab lus no tsuas yog rau kev ua ntaub ntawv xwb. Nws tsis yog qhov ncaj qha lossis kev thov rau qhov kev yuav lossis muag, lossis kev pom zoo lossis kev pom zoo ntawm ib yam khoom, kev pabcuam, lossis tuam txhab. Bitcoin.com tsis muab peev, peev nyiaj, cai lij choj, lossis tswv yim nyiaj txiag. Tsis yog cov tuam txhab lossis cov neeg sau ntawv ua lub luag haujlwm, ncaj qha lossis tsis ncaj rau, rau ib qho kev puas tsuaj lossis poob lossis ua rau raug iab liam los ntawm lossis kev sib txuas nrog kev siv lossis kev cia siab rau qee cov ntsiab lus, khoom muag lossis kev pabcuam tau hais hauv tsab xov xwm no.
Tau qhov twg los: https://news.bitcoin.com/economists-warn-of-severe-recession-as-fed-continues-raising-interest-rates-to-fight-inflation/