Tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag David Rosenberg tau ceeb toom txog "kev poob qis" thiab kev lag luam yuav tshwm sim rau Asmeskas kev lag luam. Hais txog Philadelphia Fed's manufacturing index chart, nws hais tias: "Ua tib zoo saib ntawm daim ntawv qhia no thiab qhia kuv tias peb tab tom mus rau hauv 'mos' lossis 'tsis muaj' tsaws. Ntau dua li 'crash' tsaws."
Economist Cia siab tias yuav tsaws tsaws
Tus kws tshaj lij nyiaj txiag David Rosenberg tau ceeb toom tias Asmeskas kev lag luam yuav raug coj mus rau qhov kev sib tsoo hauv tweet lub lim tiam dhau los. Rosenberg yog tus thawj tswj hwm thiab tus thawj coj nyiaj txiag ntawm Rosenberg Research. Yav dhau los nws yog tus thawj coj nyiaj txiag thiab tus kws tshaj lij ntawm kev tswj hwm kev lag luam ntiag tug Gluskin Sheff thiab tus thawj coj ntawm North American economist ntawm Merrill Lynch hauv New York.
Sib koom ib daim ntawv qhia ntawm Twitter hnub Thursday qhia txog Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve Bank ntawm Philadelphia txoj kev lag luam kev lag luam txij li xyoo 1968, nws tau sau tias:
Ua tib zoo saib ntawm daim duab no thiab qhia kuv tias peb tab tom mus rau hauv 'mos' lossis 'tsis muaj' tsaws. Ntau dua li 'crash' tsaws.
Rosenberg tau sau tseg ntxiv tias Philadelphia Federal Reserve (Philly Fed) tau kwv yees qhov kev poob qis hauv Tebchaws Meskas nrog 100% qhov tseeb yav dhau los. Nws sau tias:
Philly Fed ntawm qib uas yog 8 rau 8 ntawm kev hu xov tooj rov qab thiab tsis muaj lub taub hau cuav.
Lub Philadelphia Fed Manufacturing Index yog ua raws li Kev Tshawb Fawb Kev Lag Luam txhua hli ntawm cov tuam txhab nyob rau hauv Thib Peb Tsoom Fwv Tebchaws Reserve District, uas yog tsev rau ntau dua 13.3 lab tus tib neeg hauv Delaware, yav qab teb New Jersey, thiab sab hnub tuaj thiab nruab nrab Pennsylvania. Qhov kev ntsuam xyuas tau ua txhua lub hlis txij li lub Tsib Hlis 1968. Qhov ntsuas hauv Asmeskas tau nce 1 taw tes rau -23.2 hauv lub Peb Hlis.
Charlie Billo, tus kws tshaj lij kev lag luam ntawm lub tuam txhab kev tswj hwm kev muaj nyiaj txiag Creative Planning, zoo ib yam piav qhia hauv Twitter thaum Lub Ob Hlis yuav ua li cas Philly Fed Manufacturing Index tau kwv yees qhov kev poob qis yav dhau los, hais tias:
Yav dhau los (cov ntaub ntawv txij li xyoo 1968), txhua lub sijhawm qhov ntsuas no nyob ntawm lossis qis dua qib tam sim no US kev lag luam yog nyob rau hauv lossis nce mus txog kev lag luam.
Ntau lub suab nrov hauv kev lag luam nyiaj txiag tau kwv yees qhov kev poob qis thiab kev lag luam loj rau Asmeskas kev lag luam. Rich Dad Poor Dad sau Robert Kiyosaki tsis ntev los no tau ceeb toom ntawm "kev sib tsoo ua ntej." Tus neeg ua lag luam "Loj luv" Michael Burry piv cov kev lag luam kev lag luam tam sim no rau Panic ntawm 1907. Economist Peter Schiff xav tias qhov teeb meem nyiaj txiag tam sim no yuav phem dua li xyoo 2008. Meanwhile, venture capitalist Balaji Srinivasan tau hais rau hnub Friday tias hyperinflation tshwm sim tam sim no, cia siab tias yuav tus nqi ntawm bitcoin dhia mus rau $ 1 lab hauv tsawg dua 90 hnub.
Koj puas pom zoo nrog tus kws tshawb fawb nyiaj txiag David Rosenberg tias Asmeskas kev lag luam yog nyob rau ntawm txoj hauv kev mus rau kev sib tsoo thiab kev poob qis? Qhia rau peb paub hauv nqe lus hauv qab no.
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Disclaimer: Kab lus no tsuas yog rau kev ua ntaub ntawv xwb. Nws tsis yog qhov ncaj qha lossis kev thov rau qhov kev yuav lossis muag, lossis kev pom zoo lossis kev pom zoo ntawm ib yam khoom, kev pabcuam, lossis tuam txhab. Bitcoin.com tsis muab kev nqes peev, se, kev cai lij choj, lossis kev qhia nyiaj txiag. Tsis yog cov tuam txhab lossis cov neeg sau ntawv ua lub luag haujlwm, ncaj qha lossis tsis ncaj rau, rau ib qho kev puas tsuaj lossis poob lossis ua rau raug iab liam los ntawm lossis kev sib txuas nrog kev siv lossis kev cia siab rau qee cov ntsiab lus, khoom muag lossis kev pabcuam tau hais hauv tsab xov xwm no.
Tau qhov twg los: https://news.bitcoin.com/economist-david-rosenberg-warns-of-crash-landing-and-recession-citing-fed-data/