Tsis muaj kev nqis tes ua hauv kev lag luam crypto raws li Bitcoin tseem ua lag luam nyob ib ncig ntawm $ 29,000 txog $ 30,000 cheeb tsam. Thawj qhov crypto los ntawm kev ua lag luam cap tau muaj ntau yam txij li Terra ecosystem tau tawg ua rau muaj kev lag luam muag muag.
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Qhov kev tshwm sim "Black Swan" tau dhau los ua ib lub sijhawm phem tshaj plaws rau qhov chaw raws li Bitcoin thiab Ethereum tau sau cov ntaub ntawv poob sib law liag. Thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, BTC tus nqi pauv ntawm $ 29,500 nrog 2% poob hauv 24 teev dhau los.
Raws li ib tug tub luam pseudonym, Bitcoin tuaj yeem npaj rov ntsuas qhov qis ntawm $ 29,000 ua ntej rov pib nws lub zog loj. Tus tub luam cia siab tias BTC tus nqi yuav poob qis dua qib no thiab tom qab ntawd rov qab mus rau $ 35,000.
Qhov no yuav tso Bitcoin ze rau hauv qab ntawm nws qhov tam sim no. Yog li ntawd, ib qho kev txav mus rau upside thiab qee qhov kev pab cuam zoo li muaj laj thawj, yog tias BTC txuas ntxiv mus rau qhov sib txawv.
Nyob rau hauv qhov kev txiav txim siab, tus tub luam pseudonym tau pom zoo kom "ua si qhov sib txawv" thiab rov tshuaj xyuas yog tias BTC tawg saum cov qib no. Tus tub luam hais tias ntawm Twitter:
Ua ntej koj poob siab txog kev ua lag luam tsuas yog nco ntsoov qhov me me ntawm qhov chop yog qhov nyuaj heev rau txhua tus kom paub meej. Thaum ib qho kev taw qhia tau tsim los ntawm no nws yuav yooj yim dua.
A daim ntawv qhia los ntawm QCP Kev Tshawb Fawb pom zoo tias $ 28,700 yog thaj chaw loj ntawm kev txhawb nqa, nyob rau hauv rooj plaub ntawm kev poob qis ntxiv, raws li nws sawv raws li BTC tam sim no 61.8% Fibonacci retracement qib. Cov qib Fibonacci no yog "qhov tseem ceeb", daim ntawv tshaj tawm hais tias, rau Bitcoin hla nws keeb kwm.
Tshwj xeeb tshaj yog nyob rau xyoo 2020, thaum pib ntawm COVID-19 kis thoob qhov txhia chaw xa BTC los ntsuas 61.8% Fibonacci qib ntawm thaj tsam $ 3,800. Cov qib no tau tuav thaum ib qho ntawm BTC qhov kev poob qis tshaj plaws. QCP Kev Tshawb Fawb tau hais tias:
Rau BTC thiab ETH, tam sim no rub tawm tam sim no zoo ib yam rau 2020 Covid drawdown. Nws yog tau hais tias peb pom ib tug luv luv bounce los ntawm cov oversold theem.
Vim li cas Cov Xov Xwm Tsis Zoo Yog Qhov Zoo rau Bitcoin Thiab Risk Assets
Tsis tas li ntawd, tsab ntawv ceeb toom thov BTC, thiab lwm yam kev pheej hmoo-ntawm cov cuab tam zoo li inversely correlated rau xov xwm. Thaum twg "xov xwm zoo" ntawm kev nce nqi, nyiaj poob haujlwm, thiab lwm yam kev ntsuas hauv Asmeskas tawg rau pej xeem, cov cuab tam no zoo li pauv mus rau qhov poob qis.
Qhov cuam tshuam tau tshwm sim los ntawm 2020 txog 2021 raws li xov xwm phem ntawm COVID-19 txhais ua kev txhawb nqa nyiaj txiag. Tam sim no, Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Asmeskas Tsoom Fwv Teb Chaws Reserve (FED) tau txiav txim siab kom tsis txhob muaj kev nce nqi thiab tau pib tshem tawm cov khoom lag luam thoob ntiaj teb thaum nws pib nws txoj haujlwm Quantitative Tightening (QT).
Qhov no yuav yuam kom lub tuam txhab tshem tawm nws daim ntawv tshuav nyiaj li cas rau hauv kev lag luam thoob ntiaj teb. Raws li qhov tshwm sim, Bitcoin thiab cov khoom lag luam tseem yuav raug kev txom nyem nyob rau lub hlis tom ntej, QCP Kev Tshawb Fawb ntseeg. Daim ntawv ceeb toom hais tias:
Qhov kev tso dej ntawm cov kua dej no tsuas yog exacerbated los ntawm QT daim ntawv tshuav nyiaj li cas uas yuav los tom ntej no unwind zoo li, pib lub Rau Hli 1. Peb cia siab tias cov xwm txheej no yuav hnyav rau tus nqi crypto.
Cov lus piav qhia tam sim no hauv cov xov xwm tseem ceeb yog khiav ntawm sab nraum qab ntawm kev nce nqi. Yog tias nws hloov mus rau cov lus xws li "kev lag luam poob qis" lossis "kev lag luam poob qis", US FED yuav raug yuam kom qeeb ntawm nws txoj kev nruj muab qee qhov kev pab rau Bitcoin thiab cov khoom lag luam, daim ntawv tshaj tawm hais.
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Hauv lwm lo lus, yog tias xov xwm hloov ntawm qhov phem mus rau qhov phem dua, Bitcoin tuaj yeem hloov nws txoj kev coj mus rau qhov siab. Nyob rau hauv lub meantime, nws zoo li yuav nyob twj ywm rangebound los yog nrog luv luv nyob rallies.
Tau qhov twg los: https://www.newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/can-bitcoin-bounce-back-to-35k-heres-what-stands-in-the-way/