BTC tus nqi rov qab mus rau $ 43K - 5 yam yuav tsum tau saib hauv Bitcoin lub lim tiam no

Bitcoin (BTC) yog nyob rau hauv kev sib ntaus sib tua rau lub lim tiam no raws li lub limtiam kaw buoys bulls 'ua rau thiab so tawm ob peb lub lis piam downside - nws puas tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv?

Tom qab sib tw $ 42,000 nyob rau lub asthiv, muaj kev ceev faj ntawm kev cia siab vim tias qib siab tseem nyob hauv kev ua si. Hnub Sunday pom qhov kev thawb tshiab, nrog rau kev nce qib thaum hmo ntuj tawm tsam $ 43,000 ua ntej kev sib sau tshiab.

Nrog rau hnub Monday lub Phab ntsa Street qhib thawj zaug kom xa ntau qhov kev kub ntxhov hauv cov khoom lag luam loj loj pom nyob rau lub lim tiam dhau los, ib puag ncig rau cov tub lag luam crypto yog qhov txaus nyiam nyob rau lub Ob Hlis.

Nrog nws cov kev sib raug zoo tseem ceeb, Bitcoin yog li rhiab rau kev txav mus los thiab nqis - tab sis cov peev txheej tsis kam txav mus rau ib qho kev sib koom ua ke.

Nrhiav kev taw qhia, hodlers tseem yuav nco ntsoov lub Ib Hlis qhov qis qis, thiab cov no kuj tseem tshiab hauv lub siab ntawm cov kws tshuaj ntsuam uas tsis tau txo qis qhov muaj peev xwm rov qab mus rau $ 30,000.

Nrog ib yam dab tsi ntawm ib lub lim tiam ntawm reckoning rau nws qhov kev nce qib tshiab ua ntej, Cointelegraph saib Bitcoin kev ua lag luam thiab tsib lub zog ntawm kev ua si uas tuaj yeem pab tsim qhov twg BTC tus nqi ua haujlwm tom ntej.

Bitcoin dodges qhov kev puas tsuaj loj

Lub asthiv tsis muaj qhov sib tw rau Bitcoin qhov kev tawm tsam tshiab txawm hais tias nws feem ntau qis dua muab cov av muaj txiaj ntsig rau ob qho tib si "fakeouts" thiab "fakedowns."

$ 40,000 tuav raws li kev txhawb nqa, thiab cov kws tshuaj ntsuam tau xav pom $ 41,000 tsim los ua lub hauv paus ntev mus rau yav tom ntej.

“Nov yog qhov kuv pom tej yam. Ntev npaum li $ BTC tuav 39k (raws li tau hais ua ntej) ces txhua xyoo qhib tom ntej, "tus tub luam thiab tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Pentoshi sau ua ke Hnub Sunday.

"Imo 80% ntawm alt yuav lag, 20% yuav coj / ua raws."

Lub xyoo qhib rau 2022 sawv ntawm ib ncig ntawm $ 46,200, tus nqi theem uas tau los ze zog tom qab BTC / USD tsoo los ntawm nws lub asthiv tsis kam cheeb tsam mus rau hauv zos highs ntawm $ 43,070 ntawm Bitstamp.

BTC / USD 1-teev daim ntawv teev tswm ciab (Bitstamp). Tau qhov twg los: TradingView

Cov kws tshuaj ntsuam xyuas thiab cov tub luam Credible Crypto ntseeg hais tias qhov kev nqis tes ua tam sim no tuaj yeem muab pov thawj tias Bitcoin yog pib nws thib tsib nyob rau hauv ib tug series ntawm impulse txav stretching rov qab ob peb xyoos.

Yuav tsum yog qhov ntawd, nws zoo li altcoins yuav pib poob qhov teeb meem rau BTC, nws ntxiv, zoo li nrog kev ua yeeb yam classic bull.

"Yog hais tias kuv qhov kev tshawb fawb yog qhov tseeb thiab $ BTC yog qhov tseeb pib nws yog qhov kawg 5th nthwv dej ntawm no, cia siab tias $ BTC yuav nyiag qhov yeeb yam, twj tso kua mis, ua rau muaj kev cuam tshuam thawj zaug, tab sis tom qab ntawd rally / ntes ib yam li peb tau pom thaum ob lub xeem dhau los. impulses (3-14k thiab 12-65k), ”nws piav qhia.

Saib rau qhov downside, whales yuav tuav cov lus teb. Cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm cov saw hlau saib xyuas Whalemap qhia tau hais tias thaj tsam ntawm $ 38,000 tseem yog thaj chaw tseem ceeb ntawm kev txaus siab rau whales, uas lub lim tiam dhau los pib ntxiv rau lawv txoj haujlwm nyob ntawd.

BTC / USD ntawm $ 43,000 yog lub sijhawm no qhov siab tshaj plaws txij li Lub Ib Hlis 17, qhov loj tshaj plaws cryptocurrency erasing ntau tshaj ob lub lis piam poob hauv hnub.

Inflation nyob twj ywm "tiag" ua ntej Lub Ib Hlis CPI nyeem ntawv

Cov khoom lag luam tau tsim lub caij nplooj ntoos hlav rau Bitcoin qhov kev tawm ntawm $ 30,000- $ 40,000 txoj kev hauv lub lim tiam dhau los, tab sis "nce nkaus xwb" tsis yog qhov ua rau cov khoom muaj nqis loj.

Ntawm cov thev naus laus zis loj, zaj dab neeg yog ib qho ntawm Amazon qhov txiaj ntsig thiab Meta qhov poob, muab qhov xav paub dichotomy uas Bitcoin thaum kawg siv rau nws kom zoo dua.

Tib txoj kev tuaj yeem txuas ntxiv mus rau lub lim tiam no? Cov khoom lag luam tsis yog ib leeg, raws li cov roj txuas ntxiv nws cov txiaj ntsig thiab cov lus piav qhia kev nce nqi nce nrog nws.

"Kev nce nqi yuav ncaws Fed's _ss. Kev nce nqi yog qhov tseeb, "tus tub luam qub qub Peter Brandt hais tias Hnub Monday, tsom rau US daim ntawv cog lus.

"Qhov no yog vim dej nyab ntawm cov nyiaj tau los ntxiv hauv ob xyoos dhau los. $$$ ntau. Fed yog txoj hauv qab txoj kev nkhaus hauv kev nce nqi. Daim ntawv ceeb toom 10-Yr yog mus rau 2.35% nyob rau lub sijhawm ze thiab 3.0% nyob rau ob peb xyoos tom ntej. "

Nws hais ntxiv tias kev nce nqi tseem qis qis dua piv nrog cov ntu thaum xyoo pua dhau los, tab sis nws tuaj yeem muaj txoj hauv kev ntev tseem nce ntxiv.

Pentoshi lub sijhawm ntawd forecast tus nqi roj ntau dua $100 tuaj.

"Cov roj zoo li nws yuav mus thoob ntau dua $ 100 ntawm tus nqi no. 20% nce hauv thawj 5 lub lis piam ntawm lub xyoo, 13% thaum Lub Ib Hlis. Yog tias koj nyiam kev nce nqi ua ntej, koj yuav nyiam nws thaum Roj tshaj $ 100. Cov neeg siv khoom tus lej nce mus, "nws tweeted.

Hnub Monday Lub Phab Ntsa Street qhib tuaj yeem yog li muab kev lees paub ntawm Bitcoin qhov txiaj ntsig lossis cuam tshuam rau tog neeg rau kev puas tsuaj ib zaug ntxiv. Thaum lub sijhawm sau ntawv, yav tom ntej tau taw qhia downhill tom qab S&P 500 lub limtiam zoo tshaj plaws ntawm 2022.

Cov ntaub ntawv no qhia tau hais tias Bitcoin's Nasdaq correlation yog maj mam ebbing.

Hnub Thursday yuav pom qhov kev tso tawm ntawm Lub Ib Hlis Lub Ib Hlis Cov Nqi Them Nqi (CPI) cov ntaub ntawv, uas tuaj yeem muab kev txhawb nqa ntxiv rau kev nce nqi yog tias cov nuj nqis poob sab nraud.

Nyiaj daus las puas yuav dhia dej?

Muaj qee yam afoot nrog US duas - txawm tias cov khoom lag luam los ntawm kev tsis muaj zog thaum ntxov.

Nyob rau lub Ob Hlis thaum ntxov, ib qho kev sib tw yeej thoob plaws tag nrho ntawm 2021 sai sai tig qaub rau USD bulls, thiab lub lim tiam dhau los tau pom ncaj qha downside rau US dollar txiaj Performance index (DXY).

Tom qab dhau 97 thawj zaug hauv ib xyoos, DXY tau ntsib nrog kev tiv thaiv ruaj khov thiab tam sim no rov qab qis dua 95.6. Bar luv luv poob rau ib nrab Lub Ib Hlis, qhov no sawv cev rau nws qib qis tshaj txij thaum nruab nrab Lub Kaum Ib Hlis - ib yam li BTC / USD tau ua nws tam sim no $ 69,000 txhua lub sijhawm siab.

Kev tshuaj xyuas qhov teeb tsa tam sim no, tub luam, tub lag luam thiab ua lag luam Bob Loukas yog qhov tsis ntseeg.

“Qhov kev nthuav dav heev hauv $USD. Tej zaum ib tug ntxiab?" nws mus lub lim tiam dhau los.

"Ib yam yog qhov tseeb, Nqe Nqi yog ib txwm ua ntej ntawm qhov peb xav tias (macro / xwm txheej) yuav tsum yog tus nqi tsav tsheb."

Bitcoin yog ib txwm inversely correlated rau DXY, thiab ib tug ntse rov qab mus rau upside yuav undermine tus nqi zog yooj yim.

Tebchaws Asmeskas txiaj ntsig cov txiaj ntsig (DXY) 1-hnub ntawv teev qhia tswm ciab. Tau qhov twg los: TradingView

"Tsis txhob dag, tab sis DXY tab tom pib zoo li nws xav kho hnyav dua," Cointelegraph contributor Michaël van de Poppe ib yam. forecast.

He sau tseg tias European Central Bank (ECB) tuav tawm ntawm cov paj laum nce siab rau cov nyiaj ntxiv.

"Lub sij hawm ntev -> yuav yog lub teeb liab zoo rau Bitcoin thiab pheej hmoo-ntawm cov khoom muaj nqis yog tias DXY tab tom qhia qhov tsis muaj zog ntxiv," nws hais.

Cov neeg tuav lub sijhawm luv luv pib rov qab mus rau cov nyiaj tau los

Cov neeg tab tom nrhiav rau cov cim qhia tias lub sijhawm ntev Bitcoin tus nqi hauv qab tiag tiag nyob rau hauv kev xav tau tsis mus yos hav zoov los ntawm ntau cov ntaub ntawv nyob rau lub lim tiam no.

Raws li tau sau tseg los ntawm on-chain thiab voj voog analytics account hauv paus, feem ntawm BTC khoom tswj los ntawm lub sij hawm luv luv hodlers pib zuam upwards tom qab poob mus rau theem uas coincide nrog macro nqi lows.

"Zoo li qhov macro hauv qab yog nyob rau hauv," hauv paus Commented Hnub Monday.

Qhov kev siv nyiaj tau los sib piv (SOPR) rau cov neeg tuav lub sijhawm luv luv tau pom nws thawj lub sijhawm thaws saum 1 lub cim txij li Christmas hnub so.

Tus nqi nce mus txog 1 los ntawm hauv qab no qhia tias cov neeg tuav lub sijhawm luv luv ntawm qhov nruab nrab pib muag ntawm cov nyiaj tau los ntau dua li qhov poob.

Bitcoin luv-term tuav SOPR daim ntawv. Tau qhov twg los: CryptoQuant

Ntawm lub ntsiab lus ntawm kev muaj txiaj ntsig, yuav luag 25% ntawm BTC cov khoom tseem nyob hauv qab dej, lub sijhawm no, piv nrog 16.7% ntawm cov khoom muag ntawm $ 30,000 thiab $ 41,500.

"Bitcoin yog qhov hnyav me ntsis ntawm no, tab sis NumberGoUp yog tshuaj rau qhov ntawd," Twitter account TXMC pauv Commented ntawm cov ntaub ntawv los ntawm on-chain analytics tuam txhab Glassnode.

Bitcoin URPD annotated daim ntawv. Source: TXMC Trades/Twitter

Kev xav ob lub qhov muag thawj zaug tawm ntawm "kev ntshai" txij li txhua lub sijhawm siab

Qhov ntev dua Bitcoin tus nqi linger, qhov cuam tshuam loj dua lawv muaj rau txawm tias qhov kev xav zoo tshaj plaws.

Related: Top 5 cryptocurrencies saib lub lim tiam no: BTC, ETH, NEAR, MANA, LEO

Crypto Fear & Greed Index, uas tau siv feem ntau ntawm lub hli tas los hauv nws thaj tsam "kev ntshai heev", tam sim no nyob rau ntawm qhov kev tawm tsam ntawm "kev ntshai" tag nrho.

Qhov kev txav no yuav ua rau lub Index thawj zaug hloov mus rau thaj chaw "nruab nrab" txij li lub Kaum Ib Hlis cov ntaub ntawv siab, thiab yog li qee yam ntawm kev rov qab xav dua nyob rau ob lub hlis dhau los.

Rau kev sib piv, tsuas yog ib lub lim tiam dhau los, Index tau sawv ntawm 20/100, thaum tam sim no theem yog 45/100 - ntau dua ob npaug ntawm nws qhov ntsuas qhov qub.

Keeb kwm tau qhia tias tus yuam sij rau kev xav tau zoo, uas cov tub lag luam tsis "pw hauv" los yuav lossis muag tom qab tus nqi tshwj xeeb, nyob hauv kev ntsuas BTC tus nqi. "Slow and steady" kev nce qib yog yam uas cov tub lag luam nyiam nrhiav kom muaj kev ntseeg siab ntawm kev sib tw ntev.

Crypto Ntshai & Greed Index. Tau qhov twg los: Alternative.me

Ntawm lub ntsiab lus ntawm Lub Ib Hlis Index qis, txawm li cas los xij, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Philip Swift tau muab ib daim ntawv ceeb toom.

"Charting Ntshai & Greed qhab nia tiv thaiv tus nqi bitcoin qhia tau hais tias qhov qhab nia tuaj yeem qis heev ntawm cov ntsiab lus uas tsis yog tus nqi qis," nws sau tseg lub lim tiam dhau los, sib piv cov duab keeb kwm.

"Tab sis nws yog qhov nthuav kom nco ntsoov tias ncua sij hawm ntawm Kev Ntshai heev (sub 25) rau + 3wks zoo li teeb liab qis qis." 

Crypto Ntshai & Greed Index annotated chart. Tau qhov twg los: Philip Swift / Twitter

Cov kev xav thiab cov kev xav hais tawm ntawm no tsuas yog cov ntawm tus sau thiab tsis tas yuav cuam tshuam cov kev xav ntawm Cointelegraph.com. Txhua qhov kev nqis peev thiab kev lag luam tawm mus cuam tshuam nrog kev pheej hmoo, koj yuav tsum ua koj tus kheej kev tshawb fawb thaum txiav txim siab.