Tus nqi Bitcoin tuaj yeem pom qhov nce siab tseem ceeb hnub Friday, Lub Kaum Ob Hlis 23 thaum 8:30 teev sawv ntxov (EST) yog tias Core Tus Kheej Cov Nqi Them Nqi Them Nqi (PCE) tuaj zoo dua li qhov xav tau. Thiab qhov yuav muaj siab!
Tus nqi Bitcoin tau hnyav heev nyob ntawm cov ntaub ntawv macro thiab cov kev txiav txim siab ntawm Teb Chaws Asmeskas Federal Reserve (FED) tsis ntev los no. Qhov kawg FOMC rooj sib tham ntawm lub xyoo nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis 13 tau muab ib qho kev xav tsis thoob, txawm tias tus neeg siv khoom tus nqi ntsuas (CPI) tuaj zoo dua li qhov xav tau.
Txawm li cas los xij, muaj kev ntes. Tom qab lub rooj sib tham FOMC, cov lus xaiv tau tshwm sim tias tus thawj tswj hwm Jerome Powell tsis quav ntsej txog CPI cov ntaub ntawv uas tuaj txog ob peb teev ua ntej lub rooj sib tham, txawm hais tias nws tau thov qhov kev tawm tsam hauv lub rooj sib tham xov xwm. Hauv Wall Street, ntau tus kws tshuaj ntsuam tau hais tawm, liam Powell ntawm kev dag ntxias.
Vim li cas Hnub Nyoog PCE tseem ceeb heev
Qhov teeb meem yog tias Fed qhov kev kwv yees rau qhov tseem ceeb PCE kev nce nqi zoo li siab dhau lawm tom qab cov ntaub ntawv CPI tsis muaj zog txaus ntshai, raws li Tomas Lee, tus kws tshuaj ntsuam ntawm Fundstrat, sau.
Raws li kev kwv yees kev lag luam pom tau hais tias, FED tau tsa lub hom phiaj nyiaj txiag PCE rau xyoo 2022 los ntawm 4.5% mus rau 4.8%. Nrog rau qhov ntawd, Powell ntxiv rau "siab dua rau ntev" piav qhia. Tab sis muaj qee yam "khob," raws li Lee tau piav qhia. Qhov feem pua ntawm ib hlis-rau-hli hloov pauv hauv kev nce nqi yuav tsum tau nce siab kom ncav cuag FED lub hom phiaj 4.8%.
Lee xav paub seb FED tuaj yeem kwv yees li cas 4.8% core PCE kev nce nqi hauv 2022 thaum kev nce nqi nce mus rau 4.1-4.2%. "Yuav ua li cas Fed kev kwv yees kom deb li deb?" Lee sau.
Tus kws tshuaj ntsuam taw qhia txog kev tawm tsam ransomware ntawm Haver Analytics uas yog vim li cas rau qhov sib txawv loj no. Vim yog qhov kev tawm tsam, Haver Analytics yuav tsis tuaj yeem hloov kho cov ntaub ntawv, uas yog vim li cas Jerome Powell thiab FOMC pawg neeg tsis quav ntsej cov ntaub ntawv zoo.
Yog li, raws li tus kws tshuaj ntsuam Fundstrat, hnub no PCE tso tawm yog qhov tseem ceeb heev. Lee sau:
Peb xav tias tus nqi PCE tseem ceeb yuav yog 0.10% piv rau Cleveland Fed kev nce nqi tam sim no kwv yees ntawm 0.26%. Ib daim duab qis dua 0.40% yuav ua rau #FOMC daim duab ntawm 4.8% siab dhau.
Zoo kawg li, PCE kuj tseem yog cov ntaub ntawv tseem ceeb rau US central bank. FED cov kev kwv yees thiab nws lub hom phiaj 2% tsis yog raws li CPI, tab sis ntawm PCE. Tus neeg siv Twitter ZeroHedge kwv yees raws li qhov tseeb no:
Yog tias tag kis tus tub ntxhais PCE yog 4.5% lossis qis dua (~ 75% txoj hauv kev), tag nrho FOMC repricing tau tawg tawm - tsis muaj txoj hauv kev 4.8% core PCE nyob rau lub Kaum Ob Hlis, SEP / Dots repricing thiab davhlau ya nyob twg tus nqi tumbles.
Qhov cuam tshuam rau tus nqi Bitcoin
Yog tias PCE poob qis dua FED qhov kev cia siab, txoj kev xav yuav pom qhov kev pom zoo niaj hnub no thiab tuaj yeem tshem tawm qhov kev xav tsis zoo. FED tej zaum yuav raug yuam kom rov kho nws cov kev kwv yees raws li PCE qhia tias kev nce nqi yog tswj hwm.
Qhov no tuaj yeem ua rau FED ua qhov tseem ceeb dua ntawm lub rooj sib tham tom ntej, nrog kev lag luam ua ntej-khiav qhov no thaum ntxov li niaj hnub no. Thaum kawg, PCE tso tawm tuaj yeem ua rau cov nyiaj tsis muaj zog, ua rau muaj kev pheej hmoo zoo li Bitcoin.
Thaum lub sijhawm xovxwm, tus nqi Bitcoin sawv ntawm $ 16,827. Niaj hnub no, zoo li ob peb hnub dhau los, qib $ 16,900 yuav yog qhov tseem ceeb raws li qhov tseem ceeb tshaj plaws tiv thaiv tam sim no.
Yog tias muaj lub zog thawb saum qhov kev tawm tsam no, lub hom phiaj tom ntej yuav yog thaj tsam $ 17,400. Txwv tsis pub, cov tub ua lag luam Bitcoin yuav tsum tau saib xyuas qhov kev txhawb nqa ntawm $ 16,400.
Cov duab tshwj xeeb los ntawm Traxer / Unsplash, Daim Ntawv Qhia los ntawm TradingView.com
Tau qhov twg los: https://newsbtc.com/news/bitcoin/bitcoin-poised-to-rally-big-time-on-pce/